First of all, “just lose out” is incredibly unlikely. We have won 28% of our games so far (33% with cam), and we have some of our easiest games remaining.
Second, there are TEN teams renter into today with 2 or less wins. Plenty of them with 0 or 1. It is simply unlikely to get the “top” spot when there are ten teams in the mix for it. If we were all starting with 0 wins and teams were equal, you’d say 10%. But we have a better team than some of the teams at the bottom and we have more wins to start with.
Third, the #3 pick in the draft probably doesn’t get you Lawrence. So again, it becomes more unlikely.
i know some people here love soaking in patriots failures, but i don’t think people are being realistic about Lawrence. They just say “we suck, let’s get Lawrence” because we’re way worse than most years, ignoring that plenty of other teams suck big time