primetime
Pro Bowl Player
- Joined
- Jun 15, 2005
- Messages
- 13,627
- Reaction score
- 15,375
Yeah, it's not really an apples to apples comparison though because Chubb spent most of the season as a change of pace back for Carlos Hyde, coming in only for occasional carries when the defense was gassed despite being a clearly better runner. Not to say he's not the real deal, he's performed damn well since Hyde got traded, but that 3 carry, 100 yard game did wonders for his YPC
They've actually had very similar seasons statistically. Sony has 127 carries to Chubb's 121. Ten of Sony's carries have come inside the opponent's 5 yard line, while Chubb has only been handed the ball four times inside the opponent's five yard line.
If you remove those goal line runs, Chubb has 39 runs of 5 yards or more (exactly one-third of his total runs) while Sony has 43 runs of 5 yards or more (36.8 percent). It's a fairly negligible difference.
Sony has 23 carries of no gain or a loss (18.1 percent), compared to 30 for Chubb (24.8 percent). Of note is that five of those carries came at the opponent's one yard line. For Chubb, only one of those carries came at the goal line. 14 carries for Chubb have been a loss, with 7 of them being losses of 2 yards or more, including two losses of 4 yards. For Sony, only nine have been a loss (with one of these at the goal line) and only four have been losses of 2 yards or more.
In other words, they're about equally consistent in terms of churning out chunk gains, with a slight but relatively unimportant edge to Sony. Chubb's been a bigger home run hitter, with touchdown runs of 92, 63, and 41 yards, while Sony's three longest runs are 34, 33, and 31. However, Chubb's also been more prone to negative runs and no gains.
Per Football Outsiders, New England's line has played better than Cleveland's, so overall they're really playing equal football. Chubb may be playing ever so slightly better because those huge runs can be really important, but they also tend to be a bit random and it wouldn't surprise me at all if Sony has one or two in the next few games.