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In the Starting Line-Up
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- Nov 13, 2007
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I've seen a bunch of discussion about the nickel because of our first round selection, so I'll borrow this from another board --- an accounting of week one nickel snaps from last year.
pro football focus has almost every game up for week 1 already, so I really wanted to dig in there and use it somehow.
http://profootballfocus.com/by_week.php?ta...eid=&stats=
I decided to go in there and count up 3+ wr formations, and corresponding nickel snaps --- nickel inclusive of big nickel, dime, etc, and anything over 4 db's.
basically, the way it worked out is pretty much every team roughly mirrors the 3+ receiver set w/their nickels, w/a few exceptions which I'll note.
also, I had intended to just asterisk all stats that might have been inflated by the score in the 4th quarter, but then realized it's so many I might just put up a second post subtracting the 4th quarter out completely.
in order from highest 3+ wr set %:
(note: I don't have philly/car yet)
I'll bold unusually low or high total snaps in both the upper and lower groups, respectively.
IND (v jax 14-12) 55 3+ wr snaps of 71 total snaps (77%)
AZ (v sf 16-20) 53/72 (74%)
PITT (v ten 13-10) 53/74 (72%) -------- 9 of 9 in OT leaving 44/65 (68%) in regulation
CLE (v min 20-34) 47/67 (70%)
WAS (@nyg 17-23) 33/49 (67%)
NE (v buf 25-24) 50/82 (61%)
MIA (@atl 7-19 ) 35/59 (60%)
HOU (v nyj 7-24) 30/50 (60%)
DEN (@cin 12-7 ) 31/56 (55%)
STL (@sea 0-28) 35/65 (54%)
GB (v chi 21-15) 30/58 (52%)
BUF (@ne 24-25) 29/56 (52%)
OAK (v sd 20-24) 36/73 (50%)
KC (@bal 24-38) 22/47 (47%)
CIN (v den 7-12) 28/63 (45%)
SD (@oak 24-20) 28/69 (40%)
SEA (v stl 28-0 ) 24/70 (34%)
JAX (@ind 12-14) 19/58 (33%)
NO ( v det 45-27) 22/75 (30%)
CHI (@gb 15-21) 21/72 (30%)
DET (@no 27-45) 18/60 (30%)
TB (v dal 21-34) 22/76 (29%)
NYJ (@hou 24-7 ) 22/80 (28%)
NYG (v was 23-17) 17/66 (26%)
MIN (@cle 34-20) 16/65 (25%)
TEN (@pit 10-13) 16/65 (25%)
BAL (v kc 38-24) 21/90 (23%)
SF (@az 20-16) 15/64 (23%)
ATL (v mia 19-7) 12/68 (18%)
DAL (@tb 34-21) 8/53 (15%)
ranking them by % was pretty arbitrary, as absolute snaps are really all that matters if you're concerned about player participation and game stats, but these things will change from game to game.
note -- the following teams played a bit different number of nickel snaps compared to what you might expect given their opponent's formations:
TB played 18 nickel snaps, while their opponent played only 8 corresponding offensive snaps
MIA 21 nickel snaps vs 12 expected
GB 47 vs 21 expected
SEA only 27 vs 35 expected
and here's the list again updated with the first 3 game quarters broken out:
first 3 quarters 3wr/total snaps -- whole game
WEEK 1
*IND (v jax 14-12) 43/54 (80%) -- (55/71 - 77%)
*AZ (v sf 16-20) 37/55 (67%) -- 53/72 (74%)
*PITT (v ten 13-10) 30/48 (63%) -- 53/74 (72%)
WAS (@nyg 17-23) 23/39 (59%) -- 33/49 (67%)
DEN (@cin 12-7 ) 22/41 (54%) -- 31/56 (55%)
HOU (v nyj 7-24) 21/39 (54%) -- 32/50 (64%)
*NE (v buf 25-24) 31/60 (52%) -- 50/82 (61%)
PHI (@car 38-10) 26/51 (50%) -- 34/69 (50%)
GB (v chi 21-15) 23/46 (50%) -- 30/58 (52%)
MIA (@atl 7-19 ) 21/42 (50%) -- 35/59 (60%)
OAK (v sd 20-24) 26/56 (46%) -- 36/73 (50%)
CLE (v min 20-34) 16/36 (44%) -- 47/67 (70%)
BUF (@ne 24-25) 15/36 (42%) -- 29/56 (52%)
KC (@bal 24-38) 11/27 (40%) -- 22/47 (47%)
NYJ (@hou 24-7 ) 22/58 (38%) -- 22/80 (28%)
STL (@sea 0-28) 18/48 (38%) -- 35/65 (54%)
NO ( v det 45-27) 19/54 (35%) -- 22/75 (30%)
SD (@oak 24-20) 17/49 (35%) -- 28/69 (40%)
SEA (v stl 28-0 ) 17/52 (33%) -- 24/70 (34%)
CIN (v den 7-12) 16/48 (33%) -- 28/63 (45%)
CHI (@gb 15-21) 16/53 (30%) -- 21/72 (30%)
JAX (@ind 12-14) 13/43 (30%) -- 19/58 (33%)
DET (@no 27-45) 14/50 (28%) -- 18/60 (30%)
BAL (v kc 38-24) 18/67 (27%) -- 21/90 (23%)
MIN (@cle 34-20) 14/51 (27%) -- 16/65 (25%)
TEN (@pit 10-13) 14/51 (27%) -- 16/65 (25%)
CAR (v phi 10-38) 11/52 (21%) -- 32/74 (43%)
SF (@az 20-16) 9/42 (21%) -- 15/64 (23%)
NYG (v was 23-17) 9/43 (20%) -- 17/66 (26%)
DAL (@tb 34-21) 8/43 (19%) -- 8/53 (15%)
ATL (v mia 19-7) 7/48 (15%) -- 12/68 (18%)
TB (v dal 21-34) 7/52 (13%) -- 22/76 (29%)
ranking them by % was pretty arbitrary, as absolute snaps are really all that matters if you're concerned about player participation and game stats, but these things will change from game to game.
note -- the following teams played a bit different number of nickel snaps compared to what you might expect given their opponent's formations:
TB (v DAL) played 18 nickel snaps, while their opponent played only 8 corresponding offensive snaps
MIA (@ATL) 21 nickel snaps vs 12 expected
GB (v CHI) 47 vs 21 expected
SEA (v STL) only 27 vs 35 expected
pro football focus has almost every game up for week 1 already, so I really wanted to dig in there and use it somehow.
http://profootballfocus.com/by_week.php?ta...eid=&stats=
I decided to go in there and count up 3+ wr formations, and corresponding nickel snaps --- nickel inclusive of big nickel, dime, etc, and anything over 4 db's.
basically, the way it worked out is pretty much every team roughly mirrors the 3+ receiver set w/their nickels, w/a few exceptions which I'll note.
also, I had intended to just asterisk all stats that might have been inflated by the score in the 4th quarter, but then realized it's so many I might just put up a second post subtracting the 4th quarter out completely.
in order from highest 3+ wr set %:
(note: I don't have philly/car yet)
I'll bold unusually low or high total snaps in both the upper and lower groups, respectively.
IND (v jax 14-12) 55 3+ wr snaps of 71 total snaps (77%)
AZ (v sf 16-20) 53/72 (74%)
PITT (v ten 13-10) 53/74 (72%) -------- 9 of 9 in OT leaving 44/65 (68%) in regulation
CLE (v min 20-34) 47/67 (70%)
WAS (@nyg 17-23) 33/49 (67%)
NE (v buf 25-24) 50/82 (61%)
MIA (@atl 7-19 ) 35/59 (60%)
HOU (v nyj 7-24) 30/50 (60%)
DEN (@cin 12-7 ) 31/56 (55%)
STL (@sea 0-28) 35/65 (54%)
GB (v chi 21-15) 30/58 (52%)
BUF (@ne 24-25) 29/56 (52%)
OAK (v sd 20-24) 36/73 (50%)
KC (@bal 24-38) 22/47 (47%)
CIN (v den 7-12) 28/63 (45%)
SD (@oak 24-20) 28/69 (40%)
SEA (v stl 28-0 ) 24/70 (34%)
JAX (@ind 12-14) 19/58 (33%)
NO ( v det 45-27) 22/75 (30%)
CHI (@gb 15-21) 21/72 (30%)
DET (@no 27-45) 18/60 (30%)
TB (v dal 21-34) 22/76 (29%)
NYJ (@hou 24-7 ) 22/80 (28%)
NYG (v was 23-17) 17/66 (26%)
MIN (@cle 34-20) 16/65 (25%)
TEN (@pit 10-13) 16/65 (25%)
BAL (v kc 38-24) 21/90 (23%)
SF (@az 20-16) 15/64 (23%)
ATL (v mia 19-7) 12/68 (18%)
DAL (@tb 34-21) 8/53 (15%)
ranking them by % was pretty arbitrary, as absolute snaps are really all that matters if you're concerned about player participation and game stats, but these things will change from game to game.
note -- the following teams played a bit different number of nickel snaps compared to what you might expect given their opponent's formations:
TB played 18 nickel snaps, while their opponent played only 8 corresponding offensive snaps
MIA 21 nickel snaps vs 12 expected
GB 47 vs 21 expected
SEA only 27 vs 35 expected
and here's the list again updated with the first 3 game quarters broken out:
first 3 quarters 3wr/total snaps -- whole game
WEEK 1
*IND (v jax 14-12) 43/54 (80%) -- (55/71 - 77%)
*AZ (v sf 16-20) 37/55 (67%) -- 53/72 (74%)
*PITT (v ten 13-10) 30/48 (63%) -- 53/74 (72%)
WAS (@nyg 17-23) 23/39 (59%) -- 33/49 (67%)
DEN (@cin 12-7 ) 22/41 (54%) -- 31/56 (55%)
HOU (v nyj 7-24) 21/39 (54%) -- 32/50 (64%)
*NE (v buf 25-24) 31/60 (52%) -- 50/82 (61%)
PHI (@car 38-10) 26/51 (50%) -- 34/69 (50%)
GB (v chi 21-15) 23/46 (50%) -- 30/58 (52%)
MIA (@atl 7-19 ) 21/42 (50%) -- 35/59 (60%)
OAK (v sd 20-24) 26/56 (46%) -- 36/73 (50%)
CLE (v min 20-34) 16/36 (44%) -- 47/67 (70%)
BUF (@ne 24-25) 15/36 (42%) -- 29/56 (52%)
KC (@bal 24-38) 11/27 (40%) -- 22/47 (47%)
NYJ (@hou 24-7 ) 22/58 (38%) -- 22/80 (28%)
STL (@sea 0-28) 18/48 (38%) -- 35/65 (54%)
NO ( v det 45-27) 19/54 (35%) -- 22/75 (30%)
SD (@oak 24-20) 17/49 (35%) -- 28/69 (40%)
SEA (v stl 28-0 ) 17/52 (33%) -- 24/70 (34%)
CIN (v den 7-12) 16/48 (33%) -- 28/63 (45%)
CHI (@gb 15-21) 16/53 (30%) -- 21/72 (30%)
JAX (@ind 12-14) 13/43 (30%) -- 19/58 (33%)
DET (@no 27-45) 14/50 (28%) -- 18/60 (30%)
BAL (v kc 38-24) 18/67 (27%) -- 21/90 (23%)
MIN (@cle 34-20) 14/51 (27%) -- 16/65 (25%)
TEN (@pit 10-13) 14/51 (27%) -- 16/65 (25%)
CAR (v phi 10-38) 11/52 (21%) -- 32/74 (43%)
SF (@az 20-16) 9/42 (21%) -- 15/64 (23%)
NYG (v was 23-17) 9/43 (20%) -- 17/66 (26%)
DAL (@tb 34-21) 8/43 (19%) -- 8/53 (15%)
ATL (v mia 19-7) 7/48 (15%) -- 12/68 (18%)
TB (v dal 21-34) 7/52 (13%) -- 22/76 (29%)
ranking them by % was pretty arbitrary, as absolute snaps are really all that matters if you're concerned about player participation and game stats, but these things will change from game to game.
note -- the following teams played a bit different number of nickel snaps compared to what you might expect given their opponent's formations:
TB (v DAL) played 18 nickel snaps, while their opponent played only 8 corresponding offensive snaps
MIA (@ATL) 21 nickel snaps vs 12 expected
GB (v CHI) 47 vs 21 expected
SEA (v STL) only 27 vs 35 expected