Well I don't mean the wheels will fully come off... but they will run in more TDs at the goal line instead of pass. Stafford will have a few ints. He'll have some bad games. I think he ends the year 40 TDs 7 Ints or something like that. Still really good. But considering he doesn't run well at all and Maye has done what he's done with a lot less, he can beat that.
If Stafford ends something like 41 TDs 7 Ints 66% 7.8YPA and 4500 yards or something.
Maye ends 33 TDs 8 Ints 500 rushing yards 4 rushing 71% 8.8YPA an 4400 yards. I think you give it to Maye.
You need to consider he has worse everything... WRs, OL, RB and Defense. Plus a new system to learn. And if they get first seed in the AFC i don't see how it isn't him if they are about this close... Even if LAR also get the first seed.
Now if Stafford get 45 TDs and a similar stat line than the above, that is probably too much, but i don't think that happens.