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The 2020 Super Bowl pregame thread

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Their defense is a beautiful mystery.

Their defense ranks among league leaders in passer rating allowed for 10+ yard passes and they avoid the big plays. And they don't do well, by account of casual viewers, on short passes, tight end coverage, etc.

All that would lead you to believe they play a bend-don't-break style of letting teams have those short/intermediate gains and figuring they'll stop them in the red zone, where settling for a field goal puts you at a disadvantage against the Chiefs offense.

But then...want to guess which team is worst in the NFL for red zone touchdown percentage allowed?
Brady is

36 touchdowns
0 interceptions

in the red zone
 
It seems like everyone picking the Chiefs are unable to explain their pick in depth because of their spontaeneous orgasm regarding Mahomes, Hill, and Kelce. To be fair, I'd probably still pick the Chiefs straight up, but ************, some of these predictions are so over the top.

The Chiefs have played nothing like expected against the Browns (expected blowout) and the Bills (expected squeaker). Would be cool if some people paid to analyze and write about football could actually explain why the Chiefs, like all teams in the cap era, are great and vulnerable at the same time. A team with a point differential of +111 (sixth in the NFL) simply doesn't justify a take that the Chiefs will win no matter what because they're that good.
 
Their interior OL isn‘t close to average.

Yeah, funny how Fisher and Schwartz aren’t very important now, and yet they cost about $25M combined.



He is a traditional pocket passer. He can buy more time in the pocket and sometimes scramble, but there’s no way he won’t be heavily impacted without two pro bowl/all-pro tackles.

When the Chiefs played the Saints, Fisher was a last minute decision and played despite being hurt. The Chiefs struggled all game to protect Mahomes and allowed four sacks.

Mahomes is also playing with a turf toe injury. Running around in the backfield and chucking it 40 yards is more of a rare highlight reel play than a normal outcome. It’s not that Mahomes won’t beat the pressure sometimes; it’s that it will limit the Chiefs playbook and give them more negative plays/incompletions to overcome.
Looking at the personnel in more detail I see what you mean. Allegretti got a 66.2 from PFF. Reiter a 70.2 and Wisnewski scored a middling 60.2.

Wylie actually graded out pretty well last year, but this year PFF gives him a 54.9... and I assume that those ratings are as a guard. He is replacing Remmers who was replacing Schwartz . Remmers scored a solid 70.2 (at RT, not LT) , but Schwartz was a 74.7.

Remmers will now replace Fisher who was the highest graded man on their line at 80. Not sure what Remmers would have been graded as an LT, but I would have to assume it would be lower than 70.2.

By itself replacing Fisher with Remmers is not enough to alter the outcome, but now they got worse at three positions (RG, RT and LT) and are facing the best defensive front that they have this postseason. Vea did not play in Week 12.

I watched the highlights from Week 12 and came away with a few impressions.

1. Brady was under pressure
2. He threw up some pickable passes (two were)
3. KC skill players always seem to find a way to get open
 
Looking at the personnel in more detail I see what you mean. Allegretti got a 66.2 from PFF. Reiter a 70.2 and Wisnewski scored a middling 60.2.

Wylie actually graded out pretty well last year, but this year PFF gives him a 54.9... and I assume that those ratings are as a guard. He is replacing Remmers who was replacing Schwartz . Remmers scored a solid 70.2 (at RT, not LT) , but Schwartz was a 74.7.

Remmers will now replace Fisher who was the highest graded man on their line at 80. Not sure what Remmers would have been graded as an LT, but I would have to assume it would be lower than 70.2.

By itself replacing Fisher with Remmers is not enough to alter the outcome, but now they got worse at three positions (RG, RT and LT) and are facing the best defensive front that they have this postseason. Vea did not play in Week 12.

I watched the highlights from Week 12 and came away with a few impressions.

1. Brady was under pressure
2. He threw up some pickable passes (two were)
3. KC skill players always seem to find a way to get open

Bucs played one safety. That won’t happen again. A lot of miscommunication on defense. It was basically a one man show. Bucs offense just started slow. That won’t happen again. This OL is playing much better.
 
Hill went crazy in that game. I doubt hill will be going for 269 again.
 
Bucs played one safety. That won’t happen again. A lot of miscommunication on defense. It was basically a one man show. Bucs offense just started slow. That won’t happen again. This OL is playing much better.
the offensive line has been great lately. I just hope they don’t pull a 2007 on Sunday
 
the offensive line has been great lately. I just hope they don’t pull a 2007 on Sunday

They need to very good. Discipline as well. If brady has time he will pick apart that defense. Need to use crosses etc.
 
Looking at the personnel in more detail I see what you mean. Allegretti got a 66.2 from PFF. Reiter a 70.2 and Wisnewski scored a middling 60.2.

Wylie actually graded out pretty well last year, but this year PFF gives him a 54.9... and I assume that those ratings are as a guard. He is replacing Remmers who was replacing Schwartz . Remmers scored a solid 70.2 (at RT, not LT) , but Schwartz was a 74.7.

Remmers will now replace Fisher who was the highest graded man on their line at 80. Not sure what Remmers would have been graded as an LT, but I would have to assume it would be lower than 70.2.

By itself replacing Fisher with Remmers is not enough to alter the outcome, but now they got worse at three positions (RG, RT and LT) and are facing the best defensive front that they have this postseason. Vea did not play in Week 12.

I watched the highlights from Week 12 and came away with a few impressions.

1. Brady was under pressure
2. He threw up some pickable passes (two were)
3. KC skill players always seem to find a way to get open

Thanks for the breakdown.

Brady has thrown a lot of crap passes this postseason. If you just go back and look at those 10-12 minute highlight clips of the Saints and Packers games as refreshers, it's really remarkable the team is still alive right now.

Against the Saints, he got away with a really easy interception on the sidelines, as the Saints DB somehow forgot to tap his second foot. Then he threw a pass over the middle on another miscommunication that was a diving play and would be intercepted like 75% of the time. And later in the game, a sideline out that got jumped, once again fortunate not to be picked.

Against the Packers, there's the three INTs and also the one just before halftime (14 seconds, 3rd and 3), pressure comes up the middle, and Brady just chucks it down the sidelines. The DB there misses an INT by about five feet and then immediately seems to regret not diving. Just a floater into double coverage with the receiver (Brate!) not close.

I know all QBs throw balls that are INT-able but aren't, but these really stand out as horrendous situational passes. The type of miscues that result in floater balls to be picked seem to happen a few times a game, whereas in New England it was maybe a few times per season. Mainly Brady throws high floaters in Tampa Bay, and missing them has big consequences, whereas he threw so many low frozen ropes in New England.

It's concerning...I still think the Tampa offense is very much a work in progress, which is great for the next few years but I really hope they can get it all together for Sunday. It's one thing to get beat by a better team and quite another to serve them turnovers on a silver platter because your offense doesn't understand what it's trying to do against certain defenses.

Kansas City, on the other hand, it seems like Mahomes rarely has to put the ball into tight windows because guys are so friggin wide open.
 
Chiefs offense will be too much for the bucs defense. Brady and co will have to score almost every time they have the ball. Chiefs will do those weird little flip to kelce plays and make the bucs look silly
 
At the end of regulation the score is tied. The Bucs win the coin toss and score. Mahomes never touches the ball in overtime.......again. Missouri and eastern Kansas implode. Special session of the competition committee in 5, 4.....
 
Chiefs offense will be too much for the bucs defense. Brady and co will have to score almost every time they have the ball. Chiefs will do those weird little flip to kelce plays and make the bucs look silly

That’s what all the pundits are going by. Man this reminds me of 2007 or even 2013 when the donkeys where destroyed by Seattle.
 
That’s what all the pundits are going by. Man this reminds me of 2007 or even 2013 when the donkeys where destroyed by Seattle.
this chiefs offense is still really good but people are acting like it’s the 2018 chiefs offense which was way better
 
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