Pursuit of the Bye (1st Seed)

[PATSYLICIOUS]

Does a win today win the division?

Only if buffalo loses too

 

[Real fan 02]

Does a win today win the division?

Win and a bills loss..

 

[4thQComeback]

That's not something I'm arguing at all. Why would SOS matter more than SOV?

The argument was the Broncos played a much tougher schedule than the Patriots and the point differential is because of that not because Broncos are overrated.

My argument is the fact the Broncos played a weak schedule and has a poor point differential and won many 1 score games is not a sustainable winning way to play and would expect higher likelihood than other teams to take a step back fin wins and losses next year when that luck doesn't repeat itself and schedule is harder. I say argument but that's just a proven statistical fact. Also leads to Broncos not being as good this year as the Win Loss record would indicate.

The fact the Patriots have been able to have a much larger point differential with a very similar schedule leads to the conclusion they are less likely to take a step back.

It's a 35% effect on things, it's not foolproof, just a fact.

You are literally saying SOV > SOS.
At the end of the day, literally no one other than fantasy football enthusiasts care about point differential. A win is a win in the NFL.
Point differential often says very little about the game day performance. Denver had 40mins of possession against the Chiefs on Christmas Day and won by 7. Total domination in terms of time of possession.

 

[4thQComeback]

Yes but 100% statistically irrelevant unlike point differential.

While tough schedules can prepare teams, data suggests there's no strong, consistent correlation between a tough regular-season schedule and more playoff success; some analytics show strength of schedule (SOS) has little predictive power for playoff wins, and teams with easier schedules often make deep runs, meaning good teams rise regardless of opponents, but it's their overall quality, not just schedule difficulty, that drives playoff success, with momentum often being a myth.

If you have played against more playoff bound teams, the likelihood is that your SOV is going to be less than a team that has played less playoff bound teams. That’s just simple logic.

 

[NFL Mystique]

Does a win today win the division?

Only if Buffalo loses. Otherwise, it comes down to week 18 and beating Miami. Because the Jets sure as heck are not going into Buffalo and winning.

 

[Huckleberry1]

“Below average QB”
Bo Nix has the second most wins 23 for a QB in only their 2nd season. Level with Andrew Luck and only 1 behind Russell Wilson.

On a team with the best defense in football and substantial offensive talent. He's decent, that's about it.

 

[Huckleberry1]

The bye is gone if the Chargers don't win tonight, they will rest everyone next week since they'll have nothing to play for.

If they win they're playing for the division.

That depends upon how Harbaugh views potential opponents. Belichick once threw a game against Miami so they could face Jacksonville, but I agree that it lessens the likelihood of them getting the #1. It looks like it will be the Texans in Foxborough. It will be interesting to see how Stroud handles the cold. He played at OSU, but it's been warm for him since entering the pro's.

 

[4thQComeback]

On a team with the best defense in football and substantial offensive talent. He's decent, that's about it.

3rd best defense in football.
But again, most wins in first 2 seasons, most TD’s and most pass attempts. For a 2nd year QB, you’d take that.

 

[Huckleberry1]

3rd best defense in football.
But again, most wins in first 2 seasons, most TD’s and most pass attempts. For a 2nd year QB, you’d take that.

I would take Maye 100x out of 100x

 

[VrabelJr]

On a team with the best defense in football and substantial offensive talent. He's decent, that's about it.

I don’t like that we sound like Colts fans during the early 2000s when they would constantly diminish how good Brady was. Bo Nix is a good QB and getting better.

 

[4thQComeback]

I don’t like that we sound like Colts fans during the early 2000s when they would constantly diminish how good Brady was. Bo Nix is a good QB and getting better.

^This^

 

[4thQComeback]

I would take Maye 100x out of 100x

Both Maye and Nix are decent QB’s and both at this stage are unproven in the postseason.

 

[Huckleberry1]

3rd best defense in football.
But again, most wins in first 2 seasons, most TD’s and most pass attempts. For a 2nd year QB, you’d take that.

Lmao, you're a Bronco's fan.

 

[TommyD4207]

I don’t like that we sound like Colts fans during the early 2000s when they would constantly diminish how good Brady was. Bo Nix is a good QB and getting better.

 

[Huckleberry1]

Both Maye and Nix are decent QB’s and both at this stage are unproven in the postseason.

I'll take Maye every time.

 

[Huckleberry1]

I don’t like that we sound like Colts fans during the early 2000s when they would constantly diminish how good Brady was. Bo Nix is a good QB and getting better.

I said he's decent, that's the truth.

 

[Huckleberry1]

I don’t like that we sound like Colts fans during the early 2000s when they would constantly diminish how good Brady was. Bo Nix is a good QB and getting better.

Ok, out of 100 how many times would you take Nix over Maye?

 

[4thQComeback]

Lmao, you're a Bronco's fan.

What if anything in my comment was incorrect. Nothing.

 

[Huckleberry1]

What if anything in my comment was incorrect. Nothing.

You're a Bronco's fan, correct?

 

[Huckleberry1]

What if anything in my comment was incorrect. Nothing.

If you are going to come in here as a fan of another team then make that clear, don't come in here pretending your just another Patriot fan, that's called trolling.