Pointless Analysis: What is the NFL winning percentage when a team scores 38?

[SoCal Bong]

Wondering if someone has a database and can look that up.

My wild guess says 38 points wins 85 - 90% of the time.

 

[RayClay]

Wondering if someone has a database and can look that up.

My wild guess says 38 points wins 85 - 90% of the time.

I'll go 90-95. Unless you're pass happy, you are keeping the ball away from the other team too.

 

[alamo]

Wondering if someone has a database and can look that up.

My wild guess says 38 points wins 85 - 90% of the time.

85.7% this season, 6-1.

 

[RayClay]

85.7% this season, 6-1.

Good deal. Where can you get those stats?

 

[DarrylS]

85.7% this season, 6-1.

Isn't the 1 the Cincinnati loss to the Browns??

 

[Mix]

Since the '97 season teams win 94.8% of the time when scoring 38 or more points.

2007: 7-1 (.875)
2006: 27-2 (.931)
2005: 29-0 (1.000)
2004: 30-3 (.909)
2003: 36-2 (.947)
2002: 29-3 (.906)
2001: 28-2 (.933)
2000: 37-0 (1.000)
1999: 30-1 (.968)
1998: 30-1 (.968)
1997: 27-2 (.931)

TOTAL: 310-17 (.948)

 

[RayClay]

Since the '97 season teams win 94.8% of the time when scoring 38 or more points.

2007: 7-1 (.875)
2006: 27-2 (.931)
2005: 29-0 (1.000)
2004: 30-3 (.909)
2003: 36-2 (.947)
2002: 29-3 (.906)
2001: 28-2 (.933)
2000: 37-0 (1.000)
1999: 30-1 (.968)
1998: 30-1 (.968)
1997: 27-2 (.931)

TOTAL: 310-17 (.948)

I like your stats better.

 

[italian pat patriot]

i was thinking 88%-90% range...

 

[PatsFanInVa]

Staggeringly, a team that scores 38 points wins 100% of the time when the opposing team scores 14 or fewer.

 

[T-ShirtDynasty]

Staggeringly, a team that scores 38 points wins 100% of the time when the opposing team scores 14 or fewer.

nice.

 

[SoCal Bong]

Since the '97 season teams win 94.8% of the time when scoring 38 or more points.

TOTAL: 310-17 (.948)

Does it make sense to include "or more"? I know that dramatically reduces the sample size but that would probably be more applicable than including games where a team scored 40+.

Thanks for looking that up and calculating it in any case.

 

[signbabybrady]

I say lets keep scoring 38 points and are chances to win will be better than 95%. Sounds easy right? well actually yes when you have Tom throwing to Moss.