People thought they would be contenders on name recognition which is lazy. There is a difference between talent and winners and that is yet to be determined. So many teams in the NFL were thought to be loaded, only to fall flat on their faces. That is what I think is going to happen in Tampa. The talent alone will win them some games but overall they will come up short in so many areas, up to and including the will to win no matter the cost.
We’re one game into the season...and they faced objectively the hardest game on their schedule.
People thought they’d be contenders because:
-They ranked in the top 5 best defensive teams by DVOA in 2019.
-Their run defense was the best in the league by most metrics in the second half of the season.
-Their QB in 2019 threw 30 INTs and they are replacing him with Tom Brady.
-They have two pro bowl wide receivers and excellent talent/depth at wide receiver and tight end.
-Their offensive line and secondary appear to be their biggest weaknesses but aren’t standout bad like the worst units on some other teams.
It‘s not like they‘ve assembled some fantasy football team. Most of these guys have played together. Replacing a terrible QB with a great one is often the recipe for a turnaround in the NFL. This is nothing like the dream team Eagles or some other historical examples...there was no free agent frenzy.
Also, a few things lost in the disappointment:
Brees averaged 5.3 ypa
Saints rushing was 2.5 ypa
Those are incredibly low for one of the best offenses in the league. Again, the defense largely suffered from the offense’s mistakes, along with some bad penalties (which may or may not be correctable with piggy as head coach.)
Brady was 17/22 throwing to Godwin, Miller, Howard, and Gronk. It’s not like he lacks chemistry with everyone. He and Evans clearly need to put in some extra work; while Brady has has issues with some receivers, he always seems to get it right with the ultra talented guys, and frankly running Evans on deep routes only a would be effective as well until they get on the same page.