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FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2016 Football Outsiders Awards
21.4% Tom Brady, QB, NE
13.0% Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
9.7% Dak Prescott, QB, DAL
5.9% Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5.0% Drew Brees, QB, NO
4.6% DeMarco Murray, RB, TEN
3.4% Philip Rivers, QB, LACH
2.9% Kirk Cousins, QB, WAS
To the people who can't stop betting against Tommy boy, over and over again...
21.4% Tom Brady, QB, NE
13.0% Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
9.7% Dak Prescott, QB, DAL
5.9% Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5.0% Drew Brees, QB, NO
4.6% DeMarco Murray, RB, TEN
3.4% Philip Rivers, QB, LACH
2.9% Kirk Cousins, QB, WAS
Tom Brady will be 40 years old in 2017. Only twice have quarterbacks in their 40s thrown for more than 20 touchdowns in a season: Warren Moon had 25 with Seattle in 1997, and Brett Favre had 33 with Minnesota in 2009. Brady has shown no signs of slowing down, but the fact is that he is well past the age when most quarterbacks are washed up, and it's not like he could get much better. Speaking of which, Matt Ryan was better in 2016 than he ever had been before. That makes him an obvious candidate for regression as well.
To the people who can't stop betting against Tommy boy, over and over again...