FG% as a function of distance

[ctpatsfan77]

This was inspired by a post on another thread.

I happened to look this up on Pro-Football-Reference, so it's not quite as spectacular a feat of detective work as it sounds.

In any case, here's the question I'm asking above:

Over the last three years, what percentage of field goals from 33–37 yards out (i.e., from between the opponent's 16 to the opponent's 20) have been converted, leaguewide?

I'll post the answer a little later. I'm just curious as to what you think the correct answer is.

 

[PatsFan24]

I guessed 85% but have no idea

 

[ctpatsfan77]

:bump2: C'mon, take a guess, folks.

I'll give the answer when I see at least 20 people have guessed.

 

[cstjohn17]

If I had an ounce of motivation I would look this up myself... but I don't so there it is...

 

[kennyb]

I guessed 90%.

 

[FourierSeries]

I'm assuming the answer is counterintuitive? So while most of us are expecting it to be around 90-95% it's actually 75-80%? Otherwise I don't see the point of this thread.

 

[Galeb]

Normally I probably would have put 90%. I put 95% because this season isn't finished yet so there is a significant amount of cold weather kicks removed from the average sample.

 

[chasa]

21 votes are in dooo ittttt

 

[ctpatsfan77]

21 votes are in dooo ittttt

Believe it or not, the three-year average for kicks in the mid-30s is . . .

85.4%

Even though we tend to think of kicks of <40 yards as "automatics" and "must makes," they're not. It's really only <30 that it starts moving into "inexcusable" territory.