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NFL GAME DAY DISCUSSION AFCCG: Bengals at Chiefs

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jmt57

Moderator
Staff member
AFCCG: 12-7 Cincinnati Bengals at 14-5 Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs are favored by 7, with an over/under of 54½.


Cincinnati Bengals 2021 Season:
DateOpponentResultLocationW/LDiv
09/12MinnesotaW 27-24Home1-00-0
09/19ChicagoL 17-20Away1-10-0
09/26PittsburghW 24-10Away2-11-0
09/30JacksonvilleW 24-21Home3-11-0
10/10Green BayL 22-25Home3-21-0
10/17DetroitW 34-11Away4-21-0
10/24BaltimoreW 41-17Away5-22-0
10/31NY JetsL 31-34Away5-32-0
11/07ClevelandL 16-41Home5-42-1
11/21Las VegasW 32-13Away6-42-1
11/28PittsburghW 41-10Home7-43-1
12/05LA ChargersL 22-41Home7-53-1
12/12San FranciscoL 23-26Home7-63-1
12/19DenverW 15-10Away8-63-1
12/26BaltimoreW 41-21Home9-64-1
01/02Kansas CityW 34-31Home10-64-1
01/09ClevelandL 16-21Away10-74-2
01/15Las VegasW 26-19Home11-74-2
01/22TennesseeW 19-16Away12-74-2
01/30Kansas City3:00 pmAway


Kansas City Chiefs 2021 Season:
DateOpponentResultLocationW/LDiv
09/12ClevelandW 33-29Home1-00-0
09/19BaltimoreL 35-36Away1-10-0
09/26LA ChargersL 24-30Home1-20-1
10/03PhiladelphiaW 42-30Away2-20-1
10/10BuffaloL 20-38Home2-30-1
10/17WashingtonW 31-13Away3-30-1
10/24TennesseeL 3-27Away3-40-1
11/01NY GiantsW 20-17Home4-40-1
11/07Green BayW 13-7Home5-40-1
11/14Las VegasW 41-14Away6-41-1
11/21DallasW 19-9Home7-41-1
12/05DenverW 22-9Home8-42-1
12/12Las VegasW 48-9Home9-43-1
12/16LA ChargersW 34-28Away10-44-1
12/26PittsburghW 36-10Home11-44-1
01/02CincinnatiL 31-34Away11-54-1
01/08DenverW 28-24Away12-55-1
01/16PittsburghW 42-21Home13-55-1
01/23BuffaloW 42-36Home14-55-1
01/30Cincinnati3:00 pmHome


Bengals Team Stats and Rankings:
CIN OffenseValue (rank)CIN DefenseValue (rank)
Points/Game26.6 (#8)Opp Points/Game21.6 (#13)
Yards/Game357.8 (#14)Opp Yards/Game352.7 (#19)
Points/Play0.431 (#6)Opp Points/Play0.343 (#11)
Yards/Play5.8 (#8)Opp Yards/Play5.6 (#23)
3D Conversion %40.17% (#15)Opp 3D Conv %40.89% (#21)
4D Conversion %66.67% (#3)Opp 4D Conv %38.10% (#2)
RZ Scoring % (TD)57.63% (#18)Opp RZ Scoring % (TD)55.74% (#14)
TDs/Game3.0 (#9)Opp TDs/Game2.5 (#12)


Chiefs Team Stats and Rankings:
KC OffenseValue (rank)KC DefenseValue (rank)
Points/Game29.7 (#4)Opp Points/Game22.2 (#16)
Yards/Game409.3 (#1)Opp Yards/Game365.8 (#26)
Points/Play0.443 (#4)Opp Points/Play0.354 (#16)
Yards/Play6.1 (#1)Opp Yards/Play5.8 (#28)
3D Conversion %53.48% (#1)Opp 3D Conv %40.61% (#20)
4D Conversion %68.75% (#2)Opp 4D Conv %67.57% (#31)
RZ Scoring % (TD)62.34% (#10)Opp RZ Scoring % (TD)59.68% (#18)
TDs/Game3.6 (#4)Opp TDs/Game2.7 (#21)
 

denverpatsfan

PatsFans.com Supporter
PatsFans.com Supporter
2020 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
Are they expecting a back door cover by the Bengals? Or does Vegas have no respect for the Chefs D? I would have thought this line would be double digits?
 

jmt57

Moderator
Staff member
Are they expecting a back door cover by the Bengals? Or does Vegas have no respect for the Chefs D? I would have thought this line would be double digits?
Good question. From what I am reading the vast majority of money is on the Chiefs, both money line as well as against the spread.

 

Wax Frog

Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
The Super Bowl instantly becomes less stressful for me to watch if the Bengals can win today. The Chiefs are the only team left that I dislike.
It'd be nice to get to watch a SB as entertainment rather than take my usual DGAF-til-4th-quarter-check-in approach.
 

Triumph

Hall of Fame Poster
Are they expecting a back door cover by the Bengals? Or does Vegas have no respect for the Chefs D? I would have thought this line would be double digits?
The Bengals barely beat KC in the Natti and KC could have won that game if they had just let Cinci score thereby leaving 1 minute on the clock and likely 2 timeouts.

The Chiefs are not losing because Mahomes is playing on another level.
 

MahomestoKelce

Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job
I'd be stunned if the Bengals won this game.

They need at least three TD's off three TO's. Whether a pick six. 6 points off a fumble etc. Chiefs don't give the ball away much. Bengals could use a special teams TD too.

Bengals OL is in shambles. That means there will be 4 to 5 drives with a fg or less. Can't win that way against a lethal offense.

Joe Burrow can have the game of his life. Yet, that still doesn't mean they win. See: Josh Allen.

The only team left (IMO) who can beat the Chiefs are the Rams. And that is dependent upon good Stafford showing up. Not the one prone to head shaking picks.

So there is a chance for Cincy to win. But it's going to take turnovers and special teams.
 

MahomestoKelce

Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job
Rams will be favored and should be favored.
Rams will be favored against the Chiefs?

Why?

Yes the Rams offense is capable of putting up crooked numbers. But Stafford is a huge wild card. I'm not a huge fan of Favre like QB's who can throw a 60 yard bomb at any minute. Yet, are just as likely to throw a pick six.

It would be similar to the Patriots-Falcons SB. Atlanta had better receivers as a whole. But NE had the better and more trustworthy QB. And that's how the game played out. Brady was Brady. Ryan was...a notch below.
 

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