Post Your Way too Early Season Predictions For Maye/Receivers

[PatsFan2]

Last season, Maye finished with 2276 yards along with 15 touchdowns and 10 INTs, based on a terrible offensive line and a rough group of wideouts through the 13 games he appeared in.

Looking at who they have ... I think they'll be better but they have some tough calls to make, and here's what I have:

WR (6) Stefon Diggs, Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III, Kayshon Boutte
RB (3) Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson, TreVeyon Henderson
TE (3) Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, Jaheim Bell

It sounds like, based on what Reiss hinted at a while ago, they explored moving Boutte and didn't find a taker, and I feel like they'd probably rather keep him than let him walk, unless he's struggling to pick up their new offense. That being said, I think Ja'Lynn Polk is now the one under pressure, and it's entirely possible he becomes Tyquan Thornton in terms of being someone they'd risk cutting and bringing back to the practice squad unless someone claims him.

I just don't know if they'd go with 7, given their needs elsewhere, and I guess it would probably come down between him and Boutte. Many of us thought Thornton would get snatched up, but he didn't, and Polk hasn't yet shown anything to make him overly desirable. Meanwhile, Bourne may also simply be the odd man out due to the numbers and the fact that they'd probably prefer to keep younger players.

That being said, based on that line-up, here's what I would project Maye throwing for in 2025:

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,002 yards, 31 TDs, 7 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 348 yards, 4 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

The numbers might seem high, but when I broke it down by receiver/running back and their season totals, it doesn't seem as crazy. And the players I have are just guesses with possible starters, not who I think will make it onto the roster. I do think one or more names will land on the RB group, and I'm not 100% on the TE group, either.

But post your own thoughts and play around with your own numbers player-by-player and see where you stand. You can use the PatsPicker app to grab the players if you need to:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

But like I said, if you throw out just an overall total for Maye, you'll probably find that when you start going player-by-player, it messes with your numbers. I had a much lower overall total initially until I started trying to spread it across the guys I thought he'd be throwing to, then I had to raise it. Again, definitely kind of a fun exercise.

Mack Hollins 358yds no thanks. Also K Williams and K Boutte says hello Ian.

 

[Ian]

I have no idea how you arrived at these numbers. Did you take their previous season totals and increase them by a certain percentage?

I know that Maye should certainly improve on his rookie numbers but it's difficult to project because he will be starting in a brand new system with Josh Mcdaniel's offense. How well he picks it up will determine his success in New England. We all know he has elite physical tools but can he absorb the new system and how long will be the adjustment period before it clicks?

We know that Josh Mcdaniels is kind of an offensive guru and he even managed to hide Mac Jones deficiencies for a season. What will he be able to get out of Drake Maye? DM has way better physical talent, but that offensive system is hard to pick up and learn. Many good WRs have failed to pick it up. Obviously TB12 mastered the system, but can a 2nd year QB who has never seen it before pick it up just like that?

I like that we got an experienced veteran like Diggs to give Maye that #1 option to look for. I'm not sure how well Campbell will play his rookie year, but obviously if he can protect Maye's blind side that will be a big help compared to last year.

I'm gonna estimate the cumulative effects of the talent additions to offense will help Maye. But the effect of picking up the new system will prompt some ups and downs, there will be an adjustment period. By 8 games in, Maye should be comfortable with the system if it's something that he can pick up.

So I'm predicting games 1-8 will be the adjustment period and 9-17 we should see Maye hitting on all cylinders. With that basis of thought he will get the bulk of his production in the second half of the season.

Let's examine the schedule since it's out.
Weeks 1-8
1. Raiders Home. Big start to the season. Maye will face off against Brady's Raiders. They were 4-13 last season. So this is an opportunity for Maye to pick up his first win at home. I like our odds here.
2. Dolphins Away. We always play bad at Miami and the Dolphins are stacked on offense. We probably lose this one and it's not gonna be pretty either.
3. Steelers home. This is going to be a tough game. Steelers were a better overall team last year. My head tells me the Steelers win this but we will have an outside shot to make it competitive.
4. Panthers home. They were 5-12 last season. Did they improve more in the offseason than we did? I'd say this is a very good chance to pick up our 2nd win of the season. If we start the season 2-2 that will be a nice improvement over last year's pace.
5. Bills away. We lose. Not going to speculate by how much but we're not ready to beat these guys on the road yet.
6. Saints away. Saints were 5-12. It's still going to be tough beating them on the road. This game could go either way but it should be close.
7. Titans home. Vrable faces his former team. They were 3-14 terrible last season. This should be a great chance for Vrable to pick up a sweet revenge win.
8. Browns home. Browns were 3-14 last season. This should be another opportunity to pick up a win against a bad team. If we win 3/4 against the bad teams in this soft part of the schedule that would put us at 5-3 over the first half of the season.

Of course Drake Maye needs to bring his A game to ensure that we get those wins, but there's a real opportunity considering we are playing quite a few teams who were pretty weak last season. If Maye can keep his TD to INT ratio relatively clean, at least 2:1 I can see him having a very good sophomore season at least in the first half even though there will be some adjustment period. There's a reasonable chance he can put up 3,500 yards and 30 TDs over the course of the season. Probably a little over that because we play 17 games now.

I looked at last year's totals and based it at or around where most guys finished last year, and where I thought Diggs might end up. I think I had Maye initially closer to 3,700-ish yards, which was where I started. But like I said, it wasn't until I started attaching the totals to players that it really altered it, and I ended up starting over and working back from there.

I also looked at Mac Jones' numbers in 2021 and where some of those guys ended up that I started thinking McDaniels' presence here should see him put up better totals. So I looked position-by-position and putting in #s and then sort of guessed from there.

 

[Real fan 02]

Last season, Maye finished with 2276 yards along with 15 touchdowns and 10 INTs, based on a terrible offensive line and a rough group of wideouts through the 13 games he appeared in.

Looking at who they have ... I think they'll be better but they have some tough calls to make, and here's what I have:

WR (6) Stefon Diggs, Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III, Kayshon Boutte
RB (3) Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson, TreVeyon Henderson
TE (3) Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, Jaheim Bell

It sounds like, based on what Reiss hinted at a while ago, they explored moving Boutte and didn't find a taker, and I feel like they'd probably rather keep him than let him walk, unless he's struggling to pick up their new offense. That being said, I think Ja'Lynn Polk is now the one under pressure, and it's entirely possible he becomes Tyquan Thornton in terms of being someone they'd risk cutting and bringing back to the practice squad unless someone claims him.

I just don't know if they'd go with 7, given their needs elsewhere, and I guess it would probably come down between him and Boutte. Many of us thought Thornton would get snatched up, but he didn't, and Polk hasn't yet shown anything to make him overly desirable. Meanwhile, Bourne may also simply be the odd man out due to the numbers and the fact that they'd probably prefer to keep younger players.

That being said, based on that line-up, here's what I would project Maye throwing for in 2025:

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,002 yards, 31 TDs, 7 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 348 yards, 4 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

The numbers might seem high, but when I broke it down by receiver/running back and their season totals, it doesn't seem as crazy. And the players I have are just guesses with possible starters, not who I think will make it onto the roster. I do think one or more names will land on the RB group, and I'm not 100% on the TE group, either.

But post your own thoughts and play around with your own numbers player-by-player and see where you stand. You can use the PatsPicker app to grab the players if you need to:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

But like I said, if you throw out just an overall total for Maye, you'll probably find that when you start going player-by-player, it messes with your numbers. I had a much lower overall total initially until I started trying to spread it across the guys I thought he'd be throwing to, then I had to raise it. Again, definitely kind of a fun exercise.

Last season, Maye finished with 2276 yards along with 15 touchdowns and 10 INTs, based on a terrible offensive line and a rough group of wideouts through the 13 games he appeared in.

Looking at who they have ... I think they'll be better but they have some tough calls to make, and here's what I have:

WR (6) Stefon Diggs, Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III, Kayshon Boutte
RB (3) Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson, TreVeyon Henderson
TE (3) Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, Jaheim Bell

It sounds like, based on what Reiss hinted at a while ago, they explored moving Boutte and didn't find a taker, and I feel like they'd probably rather keep him than let him walk, unless he's struggling to pick up their new offense. That being said, I think Ja'Lynn Polk is now the one under pressure, and it's entirely possible he becomes Tyquan Thornton in terms of being someone they'd risk cutting and bringing back to the practice squad unless someone claims him.

I just don't know if they'd go with 7, given their needs elsewhere, and I guess it would probably come down between him and Boutte. Many of us thought Thornton would get snatched up, but he didn't, and Polk hasn't yet shown anything to make him overly desirable. Meanwhile, Bourne may also simply be the odd man out due to the numbers and the fact that they'd probably prefer to keep younger players.

That being said, based on that line-up, here's what I would project Maye throwing for in 2025:

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,002 yards, 31 TDs, 7 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 348 yards, 4 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

The numbers might seem high, but when I broke it down by receiver/running back and their season totals, it doesn't seem as crazy. And the players I have are just guesses with possible starters, not who I think will make it onto the roster. I do think one or more names will land on the RB group, and I'm not 100% on the TE group, either.

But post your own thoughts and play around with your own numbers player-by-player and see where you stand. You can use the PatsPicker app to grab the players if you need to:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

But like I said, if you throw out just an overall total for Maye, you'll probably find that when you start going player-by-player, it messes with your numbers. I had a much lower overall total initially until I started trying to spread it across the guys I thought he'd be throwing to, then I had to raise it. Again, definitely kind of a fun exercise.

As always thank you for giving us your great insights and perspectives. As a fan I appreciate it. Good to see you have Boutte on this team. As I go back to last season when Drake took over Boutte was the main guy who commanded the opposing teams best CB. He also made all Drakes Big plays for TDs.. I going to assume Diggs and Hollins availability will determine alot on the WRs making the final cut. Also Bourne has familiarity with Josh as he amassed 800 yards in 2021.

What if it comes down to Hollins or Chism? What does Vrabel do?

 

[Ian]

Mack Hollins 358yds no thanks. Also K Williams and K Boutte says hello Ian.

Obviously omitted them...no idea how I did that. #Fail

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,296 yards, 33 TDs, 8 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 285 yards, 4 TDs
K.Williams: 385 yards
Boutte: 425 yards, 2 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

 

[Patsfan1645]

Obviously omitted them...no idea how I did that. #Fail

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,296 yards, 33 TDs, 8 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 285 yards, 4 TDs
Kyle Williams: 385 yards
Kayshon Boutte: 425 yards, 2 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

I really liked Gibson last year and thought he out performed Stevenson when given the chance. Gibson direct competition is Larison. If they look similar in preseason do they let Gibson go due to age/contract and the fact that Larison also can play ST. If Larison is looking good but Gibson gets the nod I am not sure he will sit on PS for the season. @Ian Thoughts?

 

[Ian]

I really liked Gibson last year and thought he out performed Stevenson when given the chance. Gibson direct competition is Larison. If they look similar in preseason do they let Gibson go due to age/contract and the fact that Larison also can play ST. If Larison is looking good but Gibson gets the nod I am not sure he will sit on PS for the season. @Ian Thoughts?

By all accounts, Gibson was outperformed by Henderson in the early going, and the consensus among the guys who were present this spring was that his stock has dropped overall. That's why I had his numbers lower. Again, I was just guessing, but I based those on that.

However, in terms of what's real and not me filling this dead time with absurd guesstimates, it sounds like one of those other names could push for his spot coming out of camp if what they're saying is true.

 

[signbabybrady]

Mack Hollins 358yds no thanks. Also K Williams and K Boutte says hello Ian.

Williams says, "Don't drop the money"

 

[JoeSixPat]

I'm liking the prediction of what would be an exceptionally well balanced passing game - one that I think defenses would really struggle to cover!

Someone like Henderson doesn't need to have eye popping numbers - but the notion of him picking up an average of 10 yards per catch when you NEED that 10 yards are one of the many game changers that the Patriots need.

My only question is whether McDaniels will favor such a well balanced attack. We remember only too well in 2007, when they loaded up on WRs having only friggen Reche Caldwell as a receiver the year before (and they STILL should have beaten the Colts and gone on to win the SB that year!)

Of course for the next near perfect season we watched them bring in quite a few receiving options, but in the end, nearly every passing play called by McDaniels was to Welker or Moss, and despite the ability to spread the field and leave Defenses guessing, when the Patriots NEEDED that 10 yard pickup (or even less) Defenses knew that threats like Stallworth or the TEs would be ignored.

That didn't catch up to the Patriots until the SB but we all saw that potential weakness being exploited in games as the season wore on and there was zero surprise in the Pats offense.

So we will see if McDaniels even WANTS Maye to spread the field rather than make one or two guys his receiving "binkie"

I'm with Ian on this, hoping they adopt a spread the field strategy

 

[Ring 6]

Last season, Maye finished with 2276 yards along with 15 touchdowns and 10 INTs, based on a terrible offensive line and a rough group of wideouts through the 13 games he appeared in.

Looking at who they have ... I think they'll be better but they have some tough calls to make, and here's what I have:

WR (6) Stefon Diggs, Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III, Kayshon Boutte
RB (3) Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson, TreVeyon Henderson
TE (3) Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, Jaheim Bell

It sounds like, based on what Reiss Adam Schefter hinted at a while ago, they explored moving Boutte and didn't find a taker, and I feel like they'd probably rather keep him than let him walk, unless he's struggling to pick up their new offense. That being said, I think Ja'Lynn Polk is now the one under pressure, and it's entirely possible he becomes Tyquan Thornton in terms of being someone they'd risk cutting and bringing back to the practice squad unless someone claims him.

I just don't know if they'd go with 7, given their needs elsewhere, and I guess it would probably come down between him and Boutte. Many of us thought Thornton would get snatched up, but he didn't, and Polk hasn't yet shown anything to make him overly desirable. Meanwhile, Bourne may also simply be the odd man out due to the numbers and the fact that they'd probably prefer to keep younger players.

With that in mind, based on that line-up, here's what I would project Maye throwing for in 2025:

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,002 yards, 31 TDs, 7 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 348 yards, 4 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

The numbers might seem high, but when I broke it down by receiver/running back and their season totals, it doesn't seem as crazy. And the players I have are just guesses with possible starters, not who I think will make it onto the roster. I do think one or more names will land on the RB group, and I'm not 100% on the TE group, either.

But post your own thoughts and play around with your own numbers player-by-player and see where you stand. You can use the PatsPicker app to grab the players if you need to:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

But like I said, if you throw out just an overall total for Maye, you'll probably find that when you start going player-by-player, it messes with your numbers. I had a much lower overall total initially until I started trying to spread it across the guys I thought he'd be throwing to, then I had to raise it. Again, definitely kind of a fun exercise.

EDITED: Left Kyle Williams and Kayshon Boutte out - thanks to @PatsFan2 for the heads up.

2025 Drake Maye July Predicted Total:
4,296 yards, 33 TDs, 8 INTs.

By Receivers/TEs, etc:
Diggs: 978 yards, 8 TDs
Douglas: 634 yards, 3 TDs
Hollins: 285 yards, 4 TDs
K.Williams: 385 yards
Boutte: 425 yards, 2 TDs
Henry: 625 yards, 7 TDs
Chism: 453 yards, 3 TDs
Stevenson: 178 yards, 1 TD
Gibson: 127 yards, 1 TD
Henderson: 358 yards, 3 TDs
Hooper: 185 yards, 1 TD
Bell: 116 yards

I don’t see chism being more productive than Williams, he a long shot to even make the team, especially with Diggs, Douglass, Hollins, Williams and Boutte also on the roster.

In any event, this is one of the mist difficult predictions to make every year and is even more so this year, so I don’t think any guess is more right or wrong than another at this stage.

 

[Real fan 02]

Mack Hollins 358yds no thanks. Also K Williams and K Boutte says hello Ian.

Twin.. I noticed even Ian has Chism with more yards than Hollins..

 

[sb1]

So hard for me to predict anything right now because I don't know how good our OL is if at all even with Campbell in there. I like the optimism about Maye and hope everyone is right.

 

[Real fan 02]

So hard for me to predict anything right now because I don't know how good our OL is if at all even with Campbell in there. I like the optimism about Maye and hope everyone is right.

I think another thing of note is the defensive line has been severely upgraded. It's no shame on our OL if they had issues in camp, because frankly every OL is going to face problems with our front.

 

[Ian]

So hard for me to predict anything right now because I don't know how good our OL is if at all even with Campbell in there. I like the optimism about Maye and hope everyone is right.

We've got over a month's worth of time to kill. This is the perfect time to throw out random predictions ahead of training camp. I didn't post mine claiming any accuracy, and this was just meant to be a fun random exercise. And I screwed it up anyway having left two guys out initially.

If I was making a true prediction, there would have been more time and math. Which, as you mentioned, would have also been challenging given the additional uncertainty at other positions.

 

[Real fan 02]

I don’t see chism being more productive than Williams, he a long shot to even make the team, especially with Diggs, Douglass, Hollins, Williams and Boutte also on the roster.

In any event, this is one of the mist difficult predictions to make every year and is even more so this year, so I don’t think any guess is more right or wrong than another at this stage.

What if Chism has a better camp than Hollins? What does Vrabel do?

 

[MrTibbs]

28 TD's 10 INT's 4150 pass yards+ 650 rush yards and 6 TD's

Would be better numbers than Stroud has ever put up mind you some are calling Stroud elite. Something tells me Maye won't be allowed the same classification because of Patriots hate.

 

[Real fan 02]

28 TD's 10 INT's 4150 pass yards+ 650 rush yards and 6 TD's

Would be better numbers than Stroud has ever put up mind you some are calling Stroud elite. Something tells me Maye won't be allowed the same classification because of Patriots hate.

I like it. But if he could have single digit INTS would be nice!

 

[Ian]

28 TD's 10 INT's 4150 pass yards+ 650 rush yards and 6 TD's

Would be better numbers than Stroud has ever put up mind you some are calling Stroud elite. Something tells me Maye won't be allowed the same classification because of Patriots hate.

Here's the fun part - try and spread those around the guys you think will be on the roster:

You can play around with it and put your group of WRs/TEs/RBs together using the Picker and then see what you come up with:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

It will mess with your overall total ... or at least it did when I attempted it.

 

[PatsFan2]

Twin.. I noticed even Ian has Chism with more yards than Hollins..

Twin you're killing me.

 

[BTTA]

Yes, the era is very different, as is the offense, but just for giggles, here's Brady's stats from his second year of starting (third year in the system:

 

[Real fan 02]

Here's the fun part - try and spread those around the guys you think will be on the roster:

You can play around with it and put your group of WRs/TEs/RBs together using the Picker and then see what you come up with:

PatsPicker Patriots Roster Prediction Tool

Make your predictions on who will make the final Patriots 53 man roster with our roster cutdown tool.

www.patsfans.com

It will mess with your overall total ... or at least it did when I attempted it.

Diggs-6TDs
Pop-4 TDs
Henry-5 TDs
Boutte-4 TDs
Chism-2 TDs
Williams-4 TDs
Henderson-3 TDs