Agree to disagree. Post our last 5 drafts, an incredible amount of high misses in first 3 rounds
I'm just not seeing it.
2017 was the worst draft by far, but thats not a fair comparison because they only had two 3rd rounders that year that were middle and end of the round. Its unreasonable to expect hits on late 3rd rounders, the percentages drop significantly in the 2nd round. You're fortunate to even get a solid role player in round 3
1st round hasn't had any misses. these make up 4/17 (23.5%) of the picks.
They didn't miss on any 1st rounders, mostly because they either had them stolen from the league or traded 1 for Cooks, who helped get us to a Superbowl and then proceeded to get KO'd by being an idiot in the 1st quarter... but anyways.....
2nd round has hits and misses.. these make up 4/17 (23.5%) of the picks.
3rd round has hits and misses.. these make up 9/17 (53%) of the picks, more than twice that of 1st and 2nd rounders
FYI, 4th round has been very good to this team
2019 (Impossible to make judgements on this draft class since most were not thrown into a starting role)
1. N'Keal Harry - We'll see real soon, but rookie WRs get some benefit of doubt.
2.Joejuan Willams - Impossible to tell, our secondary is absolutely incredible.. he has no way of cracking into lineup without a major injury to a starter. We're very fortunate to be able to develop him behind an elite secondary
3a. Chase Winovich - He's having a great rookie year as a role player on defense.
3b. Damien Harris - Has too many veterans in front of him, basically a redshirt year for him.
3c. Yodny Cajuste - IR, i think Dante said this was essentially a redshirt year for him too.. or was that another rookie?
2018 (hit on both 1st rounders as far as talented players.. Wynn needs to get/stay healthy)
1a. Isaiah Wynn - Too early, very talented but has not been healthy to show it on field
1b. Sony Michel - This was certainly not a miss/poor pick. He directly contributed to a SB his rookie year.
2. Duke Dawson - Bust
2017 (I don't even really count this draft, two mid-late 3rd rounders that didnt pan out isn't a shocker)
3a. Derek Rivers - Bust, often injured and never really contributed.. but this was a mid 3rd rounder, so....
3b. Antonio Garcia - Bust, non-football injury prevented him from ever seeing the field. Risk/reward chance that is expected in late 3rd round.
2016 (Would have to weight this year differently, since they had no 1st rounder and three 3rd rounders)
2. Cyrus Jones - Bust, had potential as PR but fumbled a lot. Other than Asante Samuel, Eugene Wilson and Patrick Chung, Belichick has a pretty terrible track record with DBs in round 2
3a. Joe Thuney - Insanely good pick... elite left guard that has started every single game I think.
3. Jacoby Brissett - Good pick, would have been worth keeping around to develop but we traded him for Philip Dorsett. Colts are paying him $20+ million a year now to be their starter and he's playing well.
3c. Vincent Valentine - Bust pick, but not shocking for the last pick in 3rd round
2015 (This looks like a bad draft in the first 3 rounds, but this was a great draft as a whole)
1. Malcolm Brown - He was a solid pick, and was a starter on our team for 4-5 years. Didn't quite reach the potential we had hoped he would, but he was not by any stretch of the imagination a bad/bust pick
2. Jordan Richards - God have mercy on us all.
3. Geneo Grissom - JAG... not a bust tho because he contributed for many years