I want Houston cause them coming to Foxboro is the best matchup for the Pats but i think Indy might win a close game, they couldn't get to Luck in the first 2 meetings and he tore them up.
If the passrush can't get to him he's going to throw for 400 and 3 TDs and then it's up to Deshaun to outduel him.
I also think Indy could win in KC although most wouldn't give them a chance, Indy is a team who does a lot of run and short passes this year and are the type of team who have sustained a lot of 8/9 minute scoring drives, that could put pressure on Kansas City a different way than Baltimore would by limiting possessions rather than playing suffocating defense.
I think any team who has nothing to lose going up to Arrowhead where they have all the pressure is dangerous, nobody expected Indianpolis or Baltimore to even make the playoffs this year so they're the type of teams who have nothing to lose and can play loose.
The fact Houston is only favored by 1 point in Vegas right now and you get 3 for home field is quite shocking. Vegas is basically saying Indianapolis is 2 points better than Houston on a neutral field and would be a 5 point favorite in Indy.