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Let’s point out that both would be obvious MVP choices almost any other year, including last year when TB12 won it despite a pretty standard season for him. If Mahomes wins it, that’ll be some real snake bitten luck for Brees, and even though the award is in reality pretty lame, I do think Brees legacy is moderately different with one versus without one. Brees also was runner up to Rodgers historic 2011 season and Manning’s robbery in 2009 (Brees clearly deserved it over the media darling.). This would be another really bad beat for Brees and may be his last chance. All that said, Patrick Mahomes is more deserving of the 2018 MVP in my opinion, and while I wouldn’t say it’s a no brainer or they aren’t close, I think Mahomes deserves it beyond a reasonable doubt.