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Content Post OT-ish: The gambling thread

This has an opening post with good commentary and information, which we definitely recommend reading.
My play of the day is the bears, buy it to 2.5. This is a bad matchup for Tampa Bay. I’m suprised this line hasn’t gone up through the week.

I bet it straight, and have it leading off in an if bet ?



I think this might be close to my bet of the week. I can't believe the line is -3 given how mediocre the Titans have looked in general and pretty awful on offense in particular.

Actually kind of leaning Tennessee here. Philly has looked far from great this year. And home dawgs ?
 
Actually kind of leaning Tennessee here. Philly has looked far from great this year. And home dawgs

I don't see how the Titans can score. They have looked awful so far on offense in every game.
 
 
Last edited:
I don't see how the Titans can score. They have looked awful so far on offense in every game.

NFL

No effing logic

You’re not wrong though. Tennessee getting anybody back on the oline today?
 
NFL

No effing logic

You’re not wrong though. Tennessee getting anybody back on the oline today?

Didn't pay too much attention because I decided to stay away until W6.

Did a few small bets but have miscalculated a lot so far so decided that I need more information.
 
Didn't pay too much attention because I decided to stay away until W6.

Did a few small bets but have miscalculated a lot so far so decided that I need more information.

Smart. Takes a few weeks before you can make solid judgements about some of these teams
 
Week 3 was not good for my prognostications, going 2-3 on the money picks ATS and 6-4 on the others, for an 8-7 total that is equivalent to a coin flip. I was close to pulling the trigger on the Bills plus 17 at Minnesota and Titans getting 10 points at Jacksonville, but backed off at the last moment. Uggh.


Jaguars (-7½) vs Jets
Jacksonville bounces back after last week's upset loss, with a strong defense at home against a rookie quarterback.
Jaguars 31, Jets 12; Jax wins and covers by 11½. ?

Packers (-9½) vs Bills
Similar to above, Green Bay bounces back at home against a weaker opponent after a tough road loss.
Packers 22, Bills 0; GB wins and covers by 12½. ?

Bengals at Falcons, over 52½
Neither team has a strong defense. Julio Jones and AJ Green could set a record for receiving yards by opposing wide receivers in a single game.
Bengals 37, Falcons 36: 73 points, over covers by 20½. ?


Five-Team Six-Point Teaser (+450): ?
Jaguars (from -7½ to -1½) home vs Jets ?
Packers (from -9½ to -3½) home vs Bills ?
Bengals at Falcons (from over 52½ to over 46½) ?
Ravens at Steelers (from under 51 to under 57) ?
Niners at Chargers (from -10 to -4) ?
San Diego 29, SF 27: miss the teaser by two points.


The rest of the games:
Texans (pk) at Colts ?
Dolphins (+7) at Patriots ?
Titans (+3) vs Eagles ?
Bucs (+3) at Bears ?
Saints (-3) at Giants ?
Cowboys (-2½) vs Lions ?
Bengals (+3½) at Falcons ?
Cardinals (+3½) vs Seahawks ?
Raiders (-2½) vs Browns ?
Chargers (-10) vs Niners ?
Broncos (+4½) vs Chiefs ?
Steelers (-3) vs Ravens ?

[bye week: Washington, Carolina]


Week 4:
Top Picks: 3-0, +600
Teaser: 0-1, -110
Other Picks: 6-6
Week 4 Total: 9-7


Season Totals:
Top Picks: 7-4-1, +530
Teasers: 0-1, -110
Other Picks: 18-15
Total: 25-20-1
 


@fnordcircle already spent the money ?
 
Stop being so cheap and causing the team to lose you ****.

Don't think that hasn't crossed my mind. I'm superstitious for fun but....
 
This one hurts really bad. I haven’t gotten lucky on a bet in what feels like weeks. I’ve had my fair share of bad beats though.

 
This one hurts really bad. I haven’t gotten lucky on a bet in what feels like weeks. I’ve had my fair share of bad bears though.

Ugh, sorry dude. That's...that's just awful. I was sorta paying attention to Red Zone when the 9ers/chargers game was on, wasn't there some missed kicks?
 
Ugh, sorry dude. That's...that's just awful. I was sorta paying attention to Red Zone when the 9ers/chargers game was on, wasn't there some missed kicks?
2 missed PATs and a missed FG by Sturgis. I just had john brown first TD 14 to win 154 though so that eases the pain
 
Oh well, I lost my imaginary $50 bets with a record of 6-8-1 vs the spread for a net loss of $140. I wanted to change two games but didn't so I could stay with my "system." If I had I would have been 8-6-1 instead and won $70. The two teams that I decided not to take were the Pats and Cincy.

This week I'll go with NE, Ten, Pitt, Den, KC, GB, Bal, Car, Cin, LAC, SF, Phi, LAR and NO
 
This one hurts really bad. I haven’t gotten lucky on a bet in what feels like weeks. I’ve had my fair share of bad beats though.


(Almost) right there with you, though not quite as bad of a beat as yours.

OT-ish: The gambling thread

jmt57 said:
Five-Team Six-Point Teaser (+450):
Jaguars (from -7½ to -1½) home vs Jets
Packers (from -9½ to -3½) home vs Bills
Bengals at Falcons (from over 52½ to over 46½)
Ravens at Steelers (from under 51 to under 57)
Niners at Chargers (from -10 to -4)
 

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