Actually, don't give me that "they just need to hit more on their 2nd round picks" crap
The competition and research that goes into drafting in the NFL is just mind boggling. We are talking billion dollar organizations here. The competition is as cut-throat and prepared as it gets.
And even if you arent a believer in the Market Efficiency Theory, it's pretty clear there is a cap on elite talent in the NFL. There are only so many super talented, NFL players to go around.
This is the one quantifiable and tangible stat when it comes to the NFL draft. The earlier you draft, the better chance you have of that player being a success (with position also having an effect).
And for the past 18 years, Belichick has drafted on average behind everybody else.
It is my theory is that drafting behind all other teams for such
extended periods of time IS a very insidious and cumulative handicap -much more so than gets pooh-poohed by posters and pundits like yourself.
But lets take the last five years of the draft not including 2018 (where players are at least in their sophomore year and they have had a chance to start playing the position they were drafted for).
Code:
JAGUARS DRAFT POSITION IN THE FIRST ROUND (before trades)
2013 - 2nd
2014 - 3rd
2015 - 3rd
2016 - 5th
2017 - 4th
PATRIOTS DRAFT POSITION IN THE FIRST ROUND (before trades)
2013 - 29th
2014 - 29th
2015 - 32nd
2016 - FORFEITED
2017 - 32nd
Gee.
Where would you like to draft?
Which team would you
expect to have better/more talent?
As I've tried to express here. No other team has drafted in a worse average draft position than the Patriots during this same 5 year period.
And over the past 18 years, no matter WHAT five year period you look at, the Patriots have drafted in the worst average position.
So yes, drafting behind all other teams for 18 straight years is going to have a cumulative effect on your team.
Even Belichick's.