Because the conclusion came first then the fact finding, or fact manipulation came later.
We do not disagree on this.
We do not disagree that there is no proof of the accusation - there is proof neither of a specific instance nor of a systematic effort.
To your first part, I don't agree, because in the leagues eyes, its not psi that is important, its a scheme to violate rules to gain an advantage.
I think you mean where I said, tongue in cheek, that it depends on what "thermometer" you use, extending your temperature argument. They have in effect proven that if you take a ball in from a 50 degree field and put it in a 70 degree room, it will, with time, end up at room temperature. And that's it.
Until you flip the gauges.
Then the narrative they used, via unsupported "Oh we flipped the gauges," becomes:
(1) The Colts' balls didn't behave that way, and
(2) The balls behaved in a way the ideal gas law did not explain.
This in turn is used to bootstrap their way to "more probably than not" creating a competitive advantage through a systematic effort.
And I get that. Had the Patriots actually developed a scheme to get balls down to 11 psi because Brady felt he threw a ball below spec psi better than one at the requirement, and they manipulated the system to trick the ref into approving the ball the snuck off and deflated it, they woul deserve the penalties they got. Of course the problem is they didn't do that.
I strongly agree that it does not look like they did that. I strongly agree that the NFL* was trying very hard to prove their "point," and that it was a fault-finding mission rather than a fact-finding mission.
However, I disagree w/everyone saying they
know nothing happened. It sure
looks like nothing of the sort happened, just like it sure
looks like we know what's happening in the pile when there's a fumble...
This is sort of important. Another important piece is that this rule was completely unimportant before the Pats-Clots game - to everybody in the NFL*. We have the football-heaters on the sidelines. We have Aaron Rodgers talking about how he wants the balls rock-hard. We have the texts between J. and M. saying an official went rogue and pumped 'em up to 16 PSI. None of that's important enough to follow up if we're to believe the NFL*. Once again, shades of Danny Aiello c 2006: "That's football."
Here's why that's important: There
will be another rule that
only the Pats have to follow. The rulebook is now a weapon, because it is applied selectively.
Any infraction - even as in this case, an
unproven accusation of an infraction - can be trumped up into a "systematic effort" by the Pats.
NFLPA has the bridge here to player personnel issues which also involve capricious/arbitrary punishment, leaks to media as part of the process, etc.