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It's time for Amendola to step up

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Hard to see any of these 3 sticking around considering the money is much needed for other signings.
On Kelly, I'd like to see him stick around but it's probably too tempting a savings. But if we have struck gold with SIliga (if he's for real), an interior DL depth chart of Vince, Kelly, Siliga, Jones is not bad.
On Sopoaga, wow! Considering how desperately we needed a DT who just needed to be a one trick pony (stop the run), what an utter disappointment that he can't even crack the active roster when the DTs above him are all unknowns. Either Sopoaga's hurt or it's time to hang it up.
Armond Armstead replaces Tommy Kelly next season. If cutting Tommy Kelly is required to re-sign Aqib Talib, it's a no brainer from my perspective.

http://www.patriots.com/team/roster.html
 
Armond Armstead replaces Tommy Kelly next season. If cutting Tommy Kelly is required to re-sign Aqib Talib, it's a no brainer from my perspective.

Official Website of the New England Patriots | Team - Players

I was just thinking out loud in terms of it being nice if we had that inside DL depth chart that included Kelly. But no doubt whatsoever he's gone in a heartbeat if the savings of cutting him means we sign Talib to a palatable deal (or any other key signing for that matter).

The one thing I would say is Armond who? At this point is he anything more than a completely untested theory??
 
I AGREE that we should not cut Gregory or Connolly, I want to extend both. At very least, I expect them to stay at current salaries of the year. As you says, they are starter quality players, like Wendell is
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With regard to your suggested cuts. I'm lazy; I use Miguel's numbers of the effect of the cuts.

I agree 100% that we should cut Sopoaga and save his $2M hit. He just isn't worth having on the team.

With regard to Kelly, tell me how healthy he is and I'll tell you whether he is worth the $1.7M savings. For me, he is well worth the money as a situational backup.

I suspect that Adrian Wilson might stay through camp. The cap savings is only $670K. Of course, he may not have come back enough from his injury to risk another injury by bringing him to camp. In any case, the savings is chump change.

If you want to see significant enough savings, the New England Patriots can start by cutting Adrian Wilson (34 years of age), Tommy Kelly (33 years of age), Isaac Sopoaga (32 years of age). That amounts to $6.167 million in salary cap savings (not taking account replacement costs).
 
No disrespect taken. Just so you know, prior to you joining here, I had stats and a prediction about Julian Edelman in my signature. Many laughed at me, and predicted that he wouldn't even make it out of camp again. I was one of his bigger supporters, who even brought up a thread exploring the possibility of trading Wes Welker while his value was still at its highest prior to his last season here, since I did not believe for one second that we would franchise him 2 years in a row, and felt that if he were going to stay we'd have likely signed him by the beginning of 2012.

This is nothing about disliking Julian Edelman, nor being more fond of Danny Amendola. I simply don't believe in attempting to judge after one year where Amendola was nothing near the focal point of the receiving game, such as Julian Edelman was.

I know you like Edelman and didn’t mean to imply otherwise. The difference Edelman had a limited sample size coming into this season having been targeted just 60 times in the previous 3 seasons (32 of which came last season) and 112 times in his career. Amendola on the other hand 293 times career despite playing in 15 less games.

They’ve both played in 5 NFL season:

Edelman – 69 games, 273 targeted, 183 receptions, 67% reception ratio, 1845 receiving yards, 10.08 average, 95 first downs, 13 receiving touchdowns, 114 punt returns, 1422 punt return yards, 12.47 average and 3 return touchdowns.
Amendola – 54 games, 376 targeted, 250 receptions, 66% reception ration, 2359 receiving yards, 9.4 average, 133 first downs, 9 receiving touchdowns, 90 punt returns, 947 punt return yards, 10.5 average and 0 return touchdowns.

The way I see it Edelman catches more balls that go for more yardage, more first downs and more touchdowns than Amendola in the passing game, and returns punts for more yards and more touchdowns in the punt return game. I cannot wrap my head around the Amendola being better than Edelman.

Amendola led the NFL in kick return yardage and was top 3 in punt return yardage in just his rookie season, also catching 43 balls. The next full year he went on to catch 85 passes, so let's not act like he's never had a "good year," or that Julian Edelman totally blew him away. Any receiver who typically catches 50-60 balls a year while missing time is going to be taken a lot more seriously than a guy who had totals of 37, 7, 4, and 21. There's no "hope" involved aside from hoping that Amendola (and Edelman) both stay healthy. It just so happens that Belichick felt that using Edelman in the slot as our primary quick passing target was best for the team this past season...nothing more.

I never said Amendola has not had a good year but he has never had more than 689 receiving yards in a season, he averages under 10 yards per receptions in his career and is still in single digits for career touchdowns. Another overlooked factor is that Amendola entered the NFL as a wide receiver and Edelman entered as a college QB who converted to wide receiver. Edelman’s first season he played 12 games, he was targeted 62 for 43 receptions totaling 403 receiving yards, 23 first downs and 3 touchdowns; Amendola played in 14 games, he was targeted 63 times for 43 receptions totaling 326 receiving yards, 20 first downs and 1 touchdown. Edelman was a more productive player than Amendola from day 1, he was then buried behind Wes Welker, the return of Deion Branch and the integration of the 2 tight end offense. With Welker at the Z-WR, Branch at the Y-WR and then Gronkowski and Hernandez also playing the underneath and intermediate passing game the only opportunity other than backup would have been at the X-WR where Edelman would not have be very good. In that time Edelman did continue to return punts better than anyone in the history of the NFL (average) and played a very important role as a nickel and dime CB in 2011 that helped this team get to the Super Bowl.

All you're doing is making the exact same argument with Amendola as many of Edelman's doubters did with him. He had one good year in 5 NFL seasons, and that was under our dire circumstances here at the WR position. As a whole, you know darn well that Amendola has been more reliable and productive than Edelman has throughout their careers. You are basing your entire debate and judgement off of one season that showed us some of the most dire circumstances that we've seen at the WR position in many, many years here in N.England.

I really am not making the same argument though, Edelman was not receiving reps at all in 2010 and 2011; it had little to do with injuries as many suggest it had to with Wes Welker, Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, Deion Branch, Rob Gronkowski, Brandon Tate, Taylor Price and Aaron Hernandez all being integrated or attempting to integrate them into our offense. Welker seldom if ever came off the field, Branch also seldom came off in 2010 and 2011, they used Hernandez as a WR a lot in both 2010 and 2011, they had Moss at the X-WR initially when he was traded they attempted to fill that position with the likes of Tate, Price, Johnson and Lloyd. It was not until 2012 when the Patriots started using Edelman at the Y-WR instead of the older Branch that he was seeing any WR reps and even then they were limited most weeks.

Amendola has been a starter for the better part of his career, he had the #1 slot in training camp, in the preseason, in week 1 and again when he returned from injury at midseason, Edelman led the team in receptions as the 4th/5th receiver in the preseason, scored 2 touchdowns in week 1 and consistently outperformed Amendola throughout the 2013 season. The doubters of Edelman built their beliefs his lack of presence, which has not been the case for Danny as I said in his 5 NFL seasons he has had the opportunity to be a top 1-3 target on his team each season.

I'm sure not that there are too many here aside from yourself who don't think that's possible. All you have to do is look at the difference in targets this season, where Edelman had more than 150+ targets. Did Amendola even get 1/2 of that number?

Amendola was targeted 83 times in 12 games in which he played 48% of the snaps, so playing half the game Amendola was targeted on average 7 times per contest, Edelman was targeted 151 times in 16 games in which he played 86% of the snaps, so he played almost the entire game and was targeted on average 9 times a contest. It is not exactly as if Edelman received so much more opportunity than Amendola, the case could actually be made on a per rep basis Amendola was receiving more balls in his direction.

If you want to say target a player 151 times and they can do this well than I guess I would target Vereen 151 times because he is going to catch more balls and score more touchdowns than Danny, or target Dobson, Thompkins or Boyce 151 times because they’re going to gain more receiving yards and score more touchdowns than Danny. That was is somewhat flawed.

Rotoworld.com puts the situation into perspective very nicely with their fantasy report from week #17:

"Buried behind Julian Edelman in the slot, Amendola enters the postseason as a part-time player."


There's absolutely no reason whatsoever to believe that Danny Amendola isn't going to produce anything more than 54 catches during his time here as a Patriot. Assignments and responsibilities change from season to season, along with the personnel that we have to play at the position itself. Edelman got the call to be our focal point this season, and Amendola may very well get that same call next year. If not, he'll have to hope that he turns those 54 catches into about 70-75 or so, or his situation will be addressed at some point in the next couple of seasons.

The thing is Sup is he was not buried behind Edelman, he was actually ahead of him throughout training camp and preseason and upon his return he was given the starting role back over Edelman. His ineffectiveness in the first half of the Broncos game led to Edelman reassuming the lead dog role. In the Bengals, Dolphins (@), Steelers and Panthers game Amendola had more targets than Edelman during midseason, the team made an attempt to let Amendola prove he was the superior player to Edelman.
 
I echo Supa's sentiments.

You are misunderstanding mine and Supa's point. Neither of us are saying that one is better than the other, all we are saying is that it's too early to make a judgement either way. The best one can say when comparing the two is that Edelman has had a more productive season this year.

Brady is a QB who relies on being on the same page as his receivers and in a very difficult season for him, with so many new receivers, he clearly defaulted to Gronk and Edelman with whom he has extensive experience (this became most apparent when he started throwing to Gronk in triple coverage). Edelman provides Brady with a comfort blanket and that's why he's been getting so many targets. There is no reason to think that with some more working together that Amendola and Brady can't get there too. And rushing to judgement on Amendola as you and others have done is just premature.

As for your point about his injury, all I said is that he had a season in which he was injured, an undeniable point, I said nothing about whether or not he is still affected by his groin. That's because I'm not a doctor and I'm guessing neither are you which makes your pronouncements about him being healthy a little surprising.

I firmly believe the misconception is that I am bashing Amendola because I am not, what I am doing is acknowledging the type of player Amendola is and I guess in the process bashing those fans, posters and media members who set goals that were not realistic considering he had received opportunity and never done it historically. The reality is that Amendola doesn’t deserve the disappointment amongst the fan base and media that he has been receiving because he did not do it to himself, Amendola came into town and performed better than he had in his career in many metrics, he is seen as disappointment because of the unrealistic goals and the belief that he was going to be a 1000 yards receiver, etc. Amendola entered the season with an 8.8 yard per catch average which means he would have had to catch 113 footballs just to have 1000 receiving yards in a season but still that expectation is set. Now those same fans are doing the same exact thing to the guy for the 2014 season, they’re claiming he was held back by a week 1 groin injury and next season he is going to be this 120 reception, 1200 receiving yard receiver that he would have been this season if not for the groin. Based on Amendola career averages if you tossed him 151 balls he would catch 99-100 footballs for about 930-935 receiving yards and 3-4 touchdowns. Needless to say I don’t really agree with you on this subject. I think Danny Amendola is a fine NFL player who can provide a very good #3 or #4 option to this football team and have a handful of big games in a season, but he is not worth $5.7 annually he is about a $2.5-$3.0 million a year player and that’s being generous.

My mother is a doctor she works for Beverly Enterprise as the geriatrics director in this area (Greater Boston) so I have a decent understand medicine, earlier in my life I had aspirations to follow in her footsteps but I am not fond of blood. Anyway I don’t know the full ins and outs of his injury but if he injured it as they said he did in week 1 he should have been performing at his highest level in the final month of the season and should be at near full strength in the playoffs. There is very few if any muscle tears that take 18 weeks to heal do not improve daily/weekly, especially in the NFL with the best in class medical technology and staff. If Amendola is hindered by that injury still (which he could be) than it will likely limit him for the remainder of his career.
 
Has their been a receiver that has clicked with the pats in their first season outside of welker and moss.

It seems like patriots fans underestimate just how hard the patriots system is to master.
 
Has their been a receiver that has clicked with the pats in their first season outside of welker and moss.

It seems like patriots fans underestimate just how hard the patriots system is to master.

I think we underestimate also how great Welker and Moss are. And Now Edelman, the next chosen one

Edelamn has also been my Dad's favorite player since he came into the league. Don't know why i'm writing this, but respect to him
 
I think we underestimate also how great Welker and Moss are. And Now Edelman, the next chosen one

Edelamn has also been my Dad's favorite player since he came into the league. Don't know why i'm writing this, but respect to him

Edelman is only good now because he had years to master the patriot system....Let's give amendola one more season before you guys label him a waste.
 
Edelman is only good now because he had years to master the patriot system....Let's give amendola one more season before you guys label him a waste.

That, combined with the fact that he's been able to stay healthy for an entire season and entered the year as the only WR with actual playing experience with Brady in this system.
 
Has their been a receiver that has clicked with the pats in their first season outside of welker and moss.

It seems like patriots fans underestimate just how hard the patriots system is to master.
  • Moss
  • Welker
  • Gronkowski (excellent rookie seasons)
  • Hernandez (excellent rookie season)
  • Woodhead (came in in week 2 of 2010 and caught 34 balls that season)
  • Caldwell
  • Lloyd (he didn’t live up to the unrealistic expectations but he had the second best season of his career)
  • Stallworth
  • Patten
  • Branch (after being gone for 4 seasons and with a new OC he returned without issue)
  • Edelman (37 receptions as a rookie)

Amendola clicked fine here in my opinion though; his numbers over 16 games would have amounted to 72 receptions for 844 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, which would have been his best season as a pro. Amendola didn’t underperform or fail those fans, posters and media members who suggested he would be as good as Welker or even better their failures.
 
The thing is Sup is he was not buried behind Edelman, he was actually ahead of him throughout training camp and preseason and upon his return he was given the starting role back over Edelman. His ineffectiveness in the first half of the Broncos game led to Edelman reassuming the lead dog role. In the Bengals, Dolphins (@), Steelers and Panthers game Amendola had more targets than Edelman during midseason, the team made an attempt to let Amendola prove he was the superior player to Edelman.

Obviously, his injury did have something to do with being pushed back out of the slot role, as I do not believe that anyone could come to such a conclusion otherwise, especially after watching in week #1 when he put the team on his back and carried them to victory in his first game here. On top of that his only real preseason reps came in the first or second outing, where he quickly caught 7 balls in the first quarter and had the whole forum in a buzz. After that he was battling injury from mid-August on with his groin, so I don't even know how much he played after that.

It would seem to me that there was a period from game #2 through game #6 or so where Amendola completely lost any momentum that he had earned in game #1 simply because he wasn't playing and on the field much, if any. Actually, when he returned, he promptly got planted in the N.Orleans game in the 3rd quarter and then ended up missing the rest of that game and then the following week too, so we can pretty much cross off the first half of the season entirely. Somewhere during that point is where Edelman was handed the job and responsibilities were shifted around, which is only logical.

Any talk about the first half vs DEN in pretty irrelevant in my opinion due to the fact that we lost the ball during our first 3 possessions, while DEN managed to milk the clock down and continued running the ball down our throats. I don't really think we can honestly say that "Amendola lost his chance to re-take the starting role over Edelman but blew it" based on the first half of the awful performance in the Denver game. That's not too fair.
 
Edelman is only good now because he had years to master the patriot system....Let's give amendola one more season before you guys label him a waste.

That is so untrue; in 12 games as a rookie (1 in the playoffs) Edelman had 43 receptions for 403 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

I think it is interesting that so many people just assume he will receive another season here; Brandon Lloyd, Chad Johnson, and Donte Stallworth only were 1 and done after a subpar first season. I know Amendola’s contract makes it likely he will be back but to just assume his second season here is a given is not a certainty.

That’s not to say I don’t want him back; because honestly I do like him as a player and do think he can be a solid 70-75 reception and 700-800 receiving yard player for us. I just would prefer that they can restructure his contract to bring it do $3 million annually. Which I think is absolutely a possibility, Danny is from the area and he does not have a lot of leverage as I do not think teams will be lining up for his services after a 5th injury riddled season. I am sure if given the option between being cut or taking a pay cut he would be willing to renegotiate and stay.
 
Obviously, his injury did have something to do with being pushed back out of the slot role, as I do not believe that anyone could come to such a conclusion otherwise, especially after watching in week #1 when he put the team on his back and carried them to victory in his first game here. On top of that his only real preseason reps came in the first or second outing, where he quickly caught 7 balls in the first quarter and had the whole forum in a buzz. After that he was battling injury from mid-August on with his groin, so I don't even know how much he played after that.

It would seem to me that there was a period from game #2 through game #6 or so where Amendola completely lost any momentum that he had earned in game #1 simply because he wasn't playing and on the field much, if any. Actually, when he returned, he promptly got planted in the N.Orleans game in the 3rd quarter and then ended up missing the rest of that game and then the following week too, so we can pretty much cross off the first half of the season entirely. Somewhere during that point is where Edelman was handed the job and responsibilities were shifted around, which is only logical.

Any talk about the first half vs DEN in pretty irrelevant in my opinion due to the fact that we lost the ball during our first 3 possessions, while DEN managed to milk the clock down and continued running the ball down our throats. I don't really think we can honestly say that "Amendola lost his chance to re-take the starting role over Edelman but blew it" based on the first half of the awful performance in the Denver game. That's not too fair.

Sup every NFL players is dealing with some type of injury, Talib has been playing on a bad hip and playing at a very high level, Brady’s hands at one point this season looked like someone took a sledge hammer to them, Edelman was banged up at mid-season, Vereen has been playing with a soft case and in 8 games he had just 6 receptions less than Amendola finished with in 12 games this season, I mean the list is endless. I am not sure if you heard the interview with Carmelo Anthony on ESPN last week when they asked if he was going to play, his response was “I haven’t been a 100% since I entered the NBA so I will be out there” and that’s the NBA.
 
Sorry to jump into the mix. I also mean no disrespect B6. However, that one line of yours kind of sticks out. Do you realize that at this point there shouldn't be a regular or casual poster who isn't crystal clear on what your feelings on Amendola are? The high volume/high frequency of your posting on the subject is that large. And while I am not suggesting you can't/shouldn't tell others their opinions are clouded by a feeling (fondness for Amendola), you should know that the sheer volume/repetition of your posting on the subject alone suggests your view is clouded by a feeling.
Fyi, this isn't to say you shouldn't do it -- have at it as much as you want if you enjoy it. There's nothing wrong with taking up a subject/argument and pressing home as much as you'd like. Hell we are all here because of similar motivation (our fondness/passion for the Patriots). But it's fair to say our opinions on the Patriots are probably pre-clouded by that same feeling that keeps us coming back here with high frequency.

Again, I mean no offense. My post above is just an observation I think you should consider....

TBS absolutely no disrespect taken brother; your point was fair and merited. I do have an opinion on the situation and I will attempt to outline it as clearly as possible.

• I like Amendola as a player; he appears to be a hardworking guy who is extremely competitive, in addition he is well liked in the locker room and a good presence for the younger players.
• I think we overpaid for Amendola; which is what it is, we like many teams overpay for players from time to time. The reality is we had to do something from a PR perspective knowing that Welker was going to our biggest competitor in the AFC we could not just sit idle and that may have been something that forced our hand.
• I do not think Amendola is as good as Wes Welker I liken him to Deion Branch or Aaron Hernandez, not in the type of player he is but in terms of production – he is a 75 receptions, 800 receiving yards type of player which is exactly where those 2 generally checked in during their tenures here. That production is very good production.
• The issues that I am arguing is not that Amendola played poorly because he did not, he actually exceeded his career averages in a number of metrics and had 3 big games. My disappointment is in the posters and other fans/media members who suggested he was going to be as good as Welker or some even suggested he would be better. Wes Welker is widely considered the best slot receiver to ever play in the NFL, setting Amendola up with those expectations is setting him up for failure, he has never been that type of player in 4 seasons and just because we caught lightning in a bottle once with Welker does not mean that we can do just do it again the exact season he is no longer here.
• The thing that frustrates me the most and motivates me to post in here is those same fans who set these absurd expectations this season for Amendola are once again setting them for 2014; why they feel compelled to hang this carrot is beyond me.
o I opened a thread in week 6 about Amendola having done nothing but prove his critics correct at that juncture of the season, at that time posters came along and told me to wait until the second half of the season he was going to make me eat my crow, now 12 weeks later those same posters are telling me to wait until 2014 and comeback for my crow then. Well nothing happened to Amendola between weeks 6-18 other than his groin having more time to heal so why now in week 18 is it wait until next season, I was already told to wait to the second half of the season which I did.
• The thing that really confuses me is when I or someone else says Amendola is not as good as Welker or Edelman it is bashing Amendola, first what is wrong with the fact that Amendola is not as good as arguably the best slot receiver ever and a player who had 100+ receptions and 1000+ yards in his season as a full time receiver and has the best punt return average in the history of the NFL? Is that really bashing him, I don’t see it as that and it’s also sort of hypercritical when you look at posters saying Amendola is better yet he has never achieved the things that either Welker or Edelman have done in the their careers, if anything saying a player who has not done what the other has done is the better player is bashing so if any player(s) are being bashed in these threads its Welker and Edelman because there not even as good as a guy who hasn’t broke 689 receiving yards in 5 NFL seasons.
• I don’t like excuses and as a fan of this team that overcame Hernandez arrest, the season ending injuries of Gronkowski, Wilfork, Mayo, Vollmer, Kelly, A. Wilson, Spikes and Boyce, the other injuries to players like Talib, Dennard, Gregory, Amendola, Dobson, Thompkins, McCourty, Vereen, Solder, Cannon, Ridley, Hooman and Bolden this season while still finishing with the same record as last season (12-4) and the #2 seed in the AFC; I guess you could say I am surprised that fans are so willing to accept and make excuses for Danny Amendola. Belichick is like a walking anti-excuse, he and Brady lead this team against all odds so in my opinion a top paid player on this team should embody that and perform through adversity.
• Finally I find the notion that everything should align and be perfect without adversity to be a very immature belief, if we based what NFL players do on them being 100% week in and week out there would be a lot of players that were considered great, the fact is the great ones are the ones who fight through the adversity and overachieve despite it. I can tell you without a doubt that there will never be a season that Amendola is 100% throughout so if that is what everyone is waiting for till we see this great season you all will be very disappointed, NO NFL player goes a 16 games season at 100%.
 
So, you would like AMendola to only make $3M.

1) In 2014, Amendola will be paid $3M plus bonuses.

2) In 2014, Amendola has $2M of the $3M guaranteed.
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There is exactly zero chance that Amendola will be found not to be worth $1M of new money for his services in 2014.

That is so untrue; in 12 games as a rookie (1 in the playoffs) Edelman had 43 receptions for 403 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

I think it is interesting that so many people just assume he will receive another season here; Brandon Lloyd, Chad Johnson, and Donte Stallworth only were 1 and done after a subpar first season. I know Amendola’s contract makes it likely he will be back but to just assume his second season here is a given is not a certainty.

That’s not to say I don’t want him back; because honestly I do like him as a player and do think he can be a solid 70-75 reception and 700-800 receiving yard player for us. I just would prefer that they can restructure his contract to bring it do $3 million annually. Which I think is absolutely a possibility, Danny is from the area and he does not have a lot of leverage as I do not think teams will be lining up for his services after a 5th injury riddled season. I am sure if given the option between being cut or taking a pay cut he would be willing to renegotiate and stay.
 
So, you would like AMendola to only make $3M.



1) In 2014, Amendola will be paid $3M plus bonuses.



2) In 2014, Amendola has $2M of the $3M guaranteed.

=======



There is exactly zero chance that Amendola will be found not to be worth $1M of new money for his services in 2014.


Unless you have wire tap in Belichick and Kraft offices I don't think I would use say "zero chance" for anything that has to do with this team.

I was talking annual salary; you can position the figures however you'd like but his annual salary is still $5.7 million so unless you are saying 2014 is his final season with us or he is going to restructure that money is going to be paid. Until he is cut or restructures the contract is valid and how it's paid doesn't change the value.
 
I am not extremely familiar with Danny Amendola. With that being said, here's what I have noticed with him though. He seems to be injury prone and that could be an issue depending on how you look at it. However, when he's healthy I think he does an excellent job helping the team win games.
 
 
You are free to analyze in any way you please.

However, Amendola's 2014 salary is $3M. You can make believe that he has a chance of being cut. I've watched the NFL for over 50 years. Amendola is worth a $1M salary as a #4 receiver (actually $1.375M including roster bonus). IMHO, he is more than a #4 receiver. I've analyzed Belichick's decisions for only a dozen years. There is no reason to believe that he is so unhappy with Amendola that he will be cut. And yes, I understand that you will soon start listing the rookies, players who have never played, and UDFA's who will beat Amendola out for a position.

Average annual salary makes no difference, except for press releases. All that matters each season is the amount of new money that must be spent, the cap effect, and options on future services. Those amount need to be compared with projected value and options at the position.

I will stand by my statement that there is zero chance barring injury or criminal charges that Amendola isn't worth the $1.375M to keep on the team.

Unless you have wire tap in Belichick and Kraft offices I don't think I would use say "zero chance" for anything that has to do with this team.

I was talking annual salary; you can position the figures however you'd like but his annual salary is still $5.7 million so unless you are saying 2014 is his final season with us or he is going to restructure that money is going to be paid. Until he is cut or restructures the contract is valid and how it's paid doesn't change the value.
 
Unless you have wire tap in Belichick and Kraft offices I don't think I would use say "zero chance" for anything that has to do with this team.

I was talking annual salary; you can position the figures however you'd like but his annual salary is still $5.7 million so unless you are saying 2014 is his final season with us or he is going to restructure that money is going to be paid. Until he is cut or restructures the contract is valid and how it's paid doesn't change the value.

You are free to analyze in any way you please.

However, Amendola's 2014 salary is $3M. You can make believe that he has a chance of being cut. I've watched the NFL for over 50 years. Amendola is worth a $1M salary as a #4 receiver (actually $1.375M including roster bonus). IMHO, he is more than a #4 receiver. I've analyzed Belichick's decisions for only a dozen years. There is no reason to believe that he is so unhappy with Amendola that he will be cut. And yes, I understand that you will soon start listing the rookies, players who have never played, and UDFA's who will beat Amendola out for a position.

Average annual salary makes no difference, except for press releases. All that matters each season is the amount of new money that must be spent, the cap effect, and options on future services. Those amount need to be compared with projected value and options at the position.

I will stand by my statement that there is zero chance barring injury or criminal charges that Amendola isn't worth the $1.375M to keep on the team.

As has been explained many, many times before:

Danny Amendola has almost a SEVEN million dollar dead cap hit for 2014, meaning that there's absolutely no way in the world that he'd be released prior to the spring of 2015/offseason of 2014, unless they'd want to be in the red more than 2 million dollars. This is the norm with any larger type of multi million dollar pacts, as you normally need to get through the first couple/few years until you're in the black (so to speak), and can actually save money. Gregory was a prime example of a guy who we really couldn't have saved money from if we would've cut him prior to this past season, although that may change when they can see a savings for the upcoming 2014 campaign.

As mgteich said, you are obviously free to believe what ever you choose to believe, but unless you are banking on the fact that they'd trade him at his lowest point of potential compensation of his entire career (not likely at all), then he'll definitely be here for the 2014 campaign.

If Amendola isn't living up to Belichick's expectations after 2014, then he may be approached for a pay cut or other options may be explored, but as many, many posters have pointed out--we're basically "stuck" with him for the first 2 years. That's just the gamble that teams take when they sign a higher profile player to a multi year deal for millions of dollars. It's the same everywhere around the NFL.

Not meaning to sound argumentative, but he's not making "5.7 million dollars per year." That is simply the average of the entire 5 yr deal, but after the first 2-3 yrs that becomes the Patriots choice on a year to year basis. You are attempting to look at the Amendola pact much like the Donovan McNabb pact (not exactly, but still an appropriate example for this exercise), in the sense that you're factoring in the maximum amount of possible money that he would earn after staying here for the full 5 yrs. If you simply looked at it year to year (after the initial period post 2014/2015) as the team does, you would see it in the correct way and realize that he made:

--2 million dollar base, with 3 million total guaranteed for 2013 (3.5m cap hit). I don't really see why a guy who caught 54 balls would be considered such a horrible deal for that kind of money, when you factor in a replacement's salary. I'm not going to pretend that he tore it up, but we're talking about maybe 1 million dollars or so when you consider the replacement. The Pats were prepared to sign Emmanuel Sanders to a deal this season consisting of 2.5m dollars, so the salary was close. He caught 13 more passes than Amendola, so the deal would have been much of the same. The kicker is that Sanders would once again be a free agent, while we have Amendola for the future as long as we want, or at least until spring of '18.

Going on about what he could potentially make after 2017 should he realize the full value of his entire 5 yrs isn't fair, but it's basically pointless too, because Belichick and the team will assess it year to year. For the next upcoming 2014 year though, he's safe.
 
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