I'm starting from the end game (AFCCG) and trace backwards from the Pats' best interest standpoint. Since naturally I would like nothing more than seeing the Pats hosting the AFFCG game, the only way this happens is if Denver loses.
Right now, coming out of the wild card round, the only team that has the potential of stopping Manning are the Ravens. That means that the Ravens will need to defeat Luck & co. Ravens will be playing a very physical game at home in front of their home crowd and make sure Luck pays for their own embarrassments they suffered in recent weeks.
Cincinnati at Houston... This one is a tough one to pick. If the game was at Cinci, I'd take Cinci without even thinking twice. But on the road, the Texans at home, are bound to make a comeback from their recent sloppy playing.
This scenario plays in our favor. We handle the Texans in the divisional round, and hopefully the Raven can avenge their embarrassing loss to the Broncos from a couple of weeks ago.
From there two things can happen:
1. Ravens upset the Broncos, Manning chokes one more time in his career, the Manning MVP story is shut out, and most importantly: we end up hosting the Ravens again. This time it won't be this close, and we blow them out.
2. Ravens lose to the Broncos, but not before Ed Reed, Brenard Polard, Ray Lewis, Haloti Ngata, t-shizzle, and the rest of their dirty-playing lineup bangs up the Broncos real good. I'm not wishing harm on any player, but merely speaking based on past events. The Ravens play dirty football, and someone on the Broncos side is bound to get hurt.
My .02