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Its an impossible argument to have.I disagree about the NFL being very popular without the current players. Yes, a single player is replaceable but not all of them in my opinion. There would be a dramatic dropoff in play if the NFL didn't have any of the current players which would effect fan interest.
Looking back to 1987 when the NFL played with replacement players the attendance and viewership were all down. Given how heavily the NFL relys on fantasy football for interest I think that would take a huge hit as well since I don't believe most people would want to draft teams of replacement players.
If it were the case that any talent level of football is popular I think you would have seen other football leagues be more successful such as the XFL or USFL. The XFL couldn't even get people to watch for free.
IMO, it is the competitiveness of the games and the perception that these are the best that attracts the fans, not the individual abilities of the players.
If none of the current 1700 or so NFL players had chosen football as a career, you would never know they existed and would view the next best 1700 as the best there is, and marvel at their abilities.
In fact, as we have seen in other sports, which has not impacted the NFL yet, when they become global there are many great athletes from other parts of the world that are better than many of the American professionals.
Would you miss some of the greatest players in the league if they have never become football players? Hard to say yes when you don't miss the great ones from countries that don't play football, because you don't know they exist.
Football's popularity, IMO, is first and foremost the game, secondly the job the league has done in marketing it (for an example look at the NBA pre- and post-Stern. Same great athletes with remarkably different popularity levels) and 3rd the perception that these are the greatest players in the world, enhanced somewhat by the individual skills demonstrated by the best players.
The top players end up tremendously popular, but in their absence someone else would have taken their place.












