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And despite all your protests you've failed to disprove the facts I've discussed that are logically based on maximizing draft value:
1. QB is the most premium and valuable position in the NFL draft.
2. Guard along with RB are NOT premium positions in the draft, therefore it is illogical to waste premium 1st round picks on them unless there are simply no other 1st round worthy picks left at your selection. "Guard, center, and right tackle are the three spots where I’m not sure any case could or should be made to take in the first round unless there is simply nobody else available." - Jason Fitzgerald OTC
3. One can draft nonpremium positions with nonpremium picks and still find good talent in the NFL draft. See Onwenu, Michael.
4. Salary cap increases aside, since a ballooning cap will cause all position salaries to increase over time, the more interesting data point from the article shows that WR has become a premium position in the NFL draft in terms of economic impact to a team's success. The WR position has historically been a weakness in the Patriots drafting process, so the success of Tyquan Thornton as a highly selected 2nd round pick becomes critical to the success of the 2022 draft considering BB already wasted a premium pick on a nonpremium position.
PS these are the credentials of the author of the article quoted above.
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.
I didn't fail to disprove anything. You continue to show your inability to do anything but regurgitate BS.
I know Jason's credentials better than you. Followed OTC since day 1. I also read the article that you butchered and clearly didn't understand. What you fail to understand and what Jason can not accurately factor in to his work is how teams view players. Based on "Opportunity Cost" N'Keal Harry was a home run. Everybody and their brother applauded the Pats pick. Some even said they got a steal. Based on REALITY, he was a failure.
One can draft premium positions with non-premium picks and still find good talent. See, Brady, Tom. See Light, Matt. See Brown Jr, Orlando. See I could go on and on showing this to be as factual as your statement.
It's not a "Wasted pick" with the flexibility that he gives them on the O-line. You also don't take into consideration that they could be planning on on moving Strange to LT. He's the same Height/Weight as Matt Light but with better all-around athleticism. You also ignore the OTHER picks they got by moving back. Which MUST factor in to the opportunity cost. Something you've completely ignored.
Since when is pick 50 a "highly selected 2nd round pick"? Hmm?? It's a Mid 2nd round pick. OH.. You're hyping it because they traded up 4 spots. Got it.