I'm oscillating on this often.
Many times even the most capable Patriots teams would win by one score, one favorable bounce, and it happened against great teams and bad teams. So the while the close-loss metric isn't useless, it is certainly prone to confirmation bias. Great Patriots teams reflect this bias as well, as they tended to uncover our worries and heighten "is this team even that good?" talk.
That being said, I do think our defensive meltdowns can be attributed to fatigue (not entirely explained though) - I said this when we had the boogeymen as well.
It's also worrisome that our losses come at home. That's typically when you have a higher expectation to win those close games.
It also doesn't help that as soon as Brady leaves, the AFC - by coincidence - happened to get tougher. Not only do we have Mahomes here, but now we have Burrows w/ the Bengals (not saying they're great, but much better now), the Bills look like a well-rounded team, Ravens are powerful again, Raiders are a weird threat, and the Dolphins - no matter how bad - have a coach that's very familiar with Bill.
This is a very polarizing team. I don't think this is our year, but I do think if Jones keeps healthy and happy, we have some decent young pieces to build around.
Goddamnit we need a hot hot draft, specifically on offense. Brady made it so we can develop cheaper WR's into studs, and we don't have that luxury. It has resulted into us paying big dollars to skill positions that cramp our cap.
And... I'm getting more and more into the idea that I am not a fan of McDaniels. I'm willing to concede that his could be an emotional response, but goddamnit, my lack of X/O knowledge has me reallllyyyyyy confused by some of his calls.
I dunno. This team is weird lol.