NYCPATS4LIFE
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CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.The chargers were 5-11 and now have Tyrod Taylor at QB.
My point is the chargers weren’t a good team last year and have a crappy qb.The chargers had rivers at QB . Also they have a promising rookie. The pats have stidham who is a second year QB. What’s your point?
Hmmmmmn.....
No mention of no Brady
No mention that vet LBs replaced by rookies
Ring6 thesis grade D+
YesThe Patriots play the same opponents as their AFC East rivals with the exception of 2 games. The Pats have to play Houston and Baltimore, but the Bills have to play the Titans and Steelers instead. Is that really a huge advantage for the Bills?
The chargers had rivers at QB . Also they have a promising rookie. The pats have stidham who is a second year QB. What’s your point?
Yeah, I really have no idea how much they make on that or other bets. Just saying it’s so hard to know what schedules are really going to be like.The handle for the season over/unders is nowhere as high as you perceive it to be. It's definitely true that the public (including me) loves to bet them. Heck, I used to fly out to Vegas in late August to bet the Patriots over, bet future games and sign my friends up for the Super Contest.
But the sharps, betting syndicates, quants, etc rarely if ever bet the over/unders for one simple reason: they don't want to tie up any part of their bankrolls for bets that will take around 4 months to resolve.
A lot of that was Phillip Rivers nose divedThe chargers were 5-11 and now have Tyrod Taylor at QB.
Rivers through 20 interceptions last year, had his worst passer rating 13 years, had 23 TD’s which is his lowest in 13 years as well. If nothing else, Taylor is safer with the ball.And you think Tyrod is an upgrade over Rivers?
Tyrod is terrible and will probably give way to Herbert at some point this season.
Rivers threw for 4600 yards and completed 66% of his passes. They had a losing record in games he threw 0 or 1 pick.Rivers through 20 interceptions last year, had his worst passer rating 13 years, had 23 TD’s which is his lowest in 13 years as well. If nothing else, Taylor is safer with the ball.
If you think Tyrod Taylor makes a bad team good we will have to disagree and accept this is a topic we just shouldn’t discuss.A lot of that was Phillip Rivers nose dived
If you think Tyrod Taylor makes a bad team good we will have to disagree and accept this is a topic we just shouldn’t discuss.
Oh Jesus we’re going to use the novice rudimentary non sensical formula in place of assessing how a QB plays now. Ok I’ll sit this one out.Taylor has better passer ratings every year as a Bill than Brady did for the Patriots last year. Weird eh?
This is atrocious logic. You're taking away the toughest opponent this year and the weakest opponent last year so you can call all the others "a wash". That's faulty analysis. You should look at them in order:So NFCE vs NFCW
philly vs Seattle is close to a wash
Dallas vs Rams is a wash
Giants vs Arizona is essentially a wash
so we play the 49ers instead of the redskins.
the schedule is the same with one game changing from weak opponent to strong opponent.
Why? I find 3 like games on the schedule balance them out and look at the 4th as the difference.This is atrocious logic. You're taking away the toughest opponent this year and the weakest opponent last year so you can call all the others "a wash". That's faulty analysis. You should look at them in order:
The 49ers are significantly better than the Eagles.
The Seahawks are significantly better than the Cowboys
The Rams are significantly better than the Giants
The Cardinals are moderately better than the Redskins.
All 4 out-of-conference games next year will be tougher than the 4 they played last year.
I’d like to see the average difference between a given team’s schedule opponents w-l record from one year to the next.
In other words, how often does a “brutal schedule”, as calculated based on W-L the previous year, actually turn into a tough slate as many of those teams regress.
With all the variability and injuries in the NFL, my guess is there’s only a weak correlation between predicted toughness and actual toughness.