I said this in the Schedule thread, and it applies here.
"The Jets are going to take a step back this year. They will be like the Falcons of 09 and the Browns of 08, ie: the suprise team from the year before that everyone picks to do big things and falls apart.
I have nothing scientific to base that off of, it's just the feeling I have. I had the same feeling about the Falcons last year and I was right."