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Re: Peter King, when asked if BB feels "pressure" to use all his draft picks this yea
My premise is that his first round choices have delivered production to date, while his later round choices have been much more of a mixed bag. Now, if you wanted to project forward, you could either point to the idea of falling back to the mean, or you could point to the string of successes as indicative of future performance. The way you look at it will determine what you choose as a preference. I think that BB's earned the credit of his first round picks, which means I'd rather not risk the trade down(s) at this point, because the draft tallies for rounds two and three have been spotty for as far back as 2006.
I don't know about majority or minority but, if you're going to talk about second rounders, talk about all of them:
Vereen - MIA
Dowling - MIA
Cunningham - MIA
Brace - MIA
Butler - Gone
Wheatley - Gone
Gronk
Spikes
Chung
Vollmer
100% > 40%, and the percentage gets much worse on the defensive side of the ball when you look at it by unit (2 for 7). And, since it's the defensive side of the ball that needs the upgrading, that's not a good sign at all. The numbers just don't bear out the idea that dropping down is a good choice right now. Whether they can flip those numbers, and whether Vereen/Dowling can alter those numbers going forward, are questions we won't know until sometime in the next few years.
And the 3rd round is where it hits the skids, with a 1 for 7 production hit (Ridley).
Your premise assumes BB believes he can keep getting hits on the late first rounders that he has traded away. Clearly they have been far from perfect but I think the trading down method has worked better than most teams draft methods and over the long run has served the team well.
My premise is that his first round choices have delivered production to date, while his later round choices have been much more of a mixed bag. Now, if you wanted to project forward, you could either point to the idea of falling back to the mean, or you could point to the string of successes as indicative of future performance. The way you look at it will determine what you choose as a preference. I think that BB's earned the credit of his first round picks, which means I'd rather not risk the trade down(s) at this point, because the draft tallies for rounds two and three have been spotty for as far back as 2006.
I am in the minority who think if Belicheck can trade either first round pick for a first round pick next year and a second this year he should take it and run. I think the second rounders he as picked over the last few years have been pretty good - Gronk, Chung, Spikes
I don't know about majority or minority but, if you're going to talk about second rounders, talk about all of them:
Vereen - MIA
Dowling - MIA
Cunningham - MIA
Brace - MIA
Butler - Gone
Wheatley - Gone
Gronk
Spikes
Chung
Vollmer
100% > 40%, and the percentage gets much worse on the defensive side of the ball when you look at it by unit (2 for 7). And, since it's the defensive side of the ball that needs the upgrading, that's not a good sign at all. The numbers just don't bear out the idea that dropping down is a good choice right now. Whether they can flip those numbers, and whether Vereen/Dowling can alter those numbers going forward, are questions we won't know until sometime in the next few years.
And the 3rd round is where it hits the skids, with a 1 for 7 production hit (Ridley).