He won’t get in on the first ballot, second ballot, etc., likely going to wait quite a bit of time. Let’s say it’s 2030 or so and there’s a big push from the NY press to get Eli into the Hall of Fame.
Now you’re going to have a bunch of QBs from the 2020s who are “locks” and are about 5x better than Eli. You’ll have Brady, Peyton, Brees, Rodgers, Roethlisberger in there. Wilson is either in or about to get in. That’s six. Maybe Rivers and Ryan, who were both much better than Eli. That’s 8.
I actually think his case will grow weaker, not stronger, each year. But I do think he’ll get in when it’s been long enough for people to actually not realize or just forget that he wasn’t actually a good quarterback.