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Money Decisions On Offense and Kicker

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s1. Solder is gong to get a big LT type long term deal sometime before he becomes an UFA in 2016. Book it. You can also book that McCourty will either also get a long term deal or be franchised before the season starts. (BTW- anyone know what his brother got when he signed his big deal with the Titans)

2. I have long thought that Vareen was a likelihood to come back, and Ridley a lock to leave. I'm now thinking that I could be wrong. Ridley is by far the better runner and will come back cheap after his injury....and he LOVES it here. Vareen is going to get some looks and might be more of a west coach guy and want out when his market will be at his highest. If we can get Vareen back at a reasonable number (under 3MM/yr) they'll bring him back, and Ridley will be gone. I have no faith in White. CJ Spiller anyone?

3. Including the playoffs, I read where Danny Amendola had 35 catches in the last 5 games. That would be well over 100 catches and well over 1000 yds a if done over an entire season. Also 2 players had 3 TD catches this playoffs. Gronk and Danny Amendola.

The Pats have an real problem here. In that time, against the toughest competition, , Amendola proved that given the looks, he can produce the kind of production that would justify the money we are paying him. But the problem is that I'm not sure he will ever get those number of looks, and THAT makes it tough to keep him here with a $6MM cap number. Its a simple matter of duplication of skills. Barring a massive number of injuries to the WR position DA will never get the kind of looks that would justify that number fighting Gronk, Jules, LaFell, Wright, Dobson and Tyms, and that's just to start

So what IS the number? Amendola has value as a blocker, ST's guy, as well as a receiver. If anything happened to Julian, the drop off could be almost nil. So he does have a lot of value, just not $6MM worth. As late as early December I thought he'd jump at the chance to stay at $2MM. Now I "hope" we can keep him for $3MM plus incentives

4. I like Ayers, but I wonder about why his snaps dropped off so much toward the end of the season. Also I'm optimistic that we can duplicate his production with improved play from Moore and Buchannon.

5. I hear Vince has thrown his hat in the ring once again, so his cap number is going to have to be looked at closely. He gave us more than we had any reason to expect coming off such a horrible injury for his age size and position. However much like Mankins, I think Vince is still a fine player, but is he an elite one worthy of his larger cap number? Also like Mankins, the issue here is less about the actual real dollars the Pats have to pay him up front, than that cap number which is much higher.

Vince is like Family, so maybe this might be one of those rare Kraft decisions.

6. Its interesting that Arrington, coming off his finest year as a CB might be the last man standing in that CB logjam if Revis comes back. Butler looks like he's ready to take over at the slot CB, and Dennard will be there as well as Ryan. Lots of CB's Lots of S's, all who are pretty good. We've come a long way from needing Sergio Brown and Julian Edelman as starting DB's
 
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Jason McCourty got 6/$44.25M or $7.1 or so a year. He was guaranteed $17m (bonus and first two year's salary). After that he got about $7M each year.

BOTTOM LINE
This was a 2 year for $17M, with a team option at $7M a year for the next four years.
 
I am all for everyone's excitement at keeping all of our players, but its just not that feasible. Simply put, we dont have any players that are easy to walk away from. Everyone that would create the most space financially, also carry immense value to the team. The players that might be a little over-priced, dont provide much in the way of cap help, unless you are doing post-june 1st cuts, which is just pushing the cap in to the future.

Solder, Vince, Mayo, McCourty, Revis, Vereen, Ghost. Those are 7 guys we probably dont win a championship without. The problem being, its going to be near impossible to keep them as well.

You have to pick and choose.
 
4. I like Ayers, but I wonder about why his snaps dropped off so much toward the end of the season. Also I'm optimistic that we can duplicate his production with improved play from Moore and Buchannon.

6. Its interesting that Arrington, coming off his finest year as a CB might be the last man standing in that CB logjam if Revis comes back. Butler looks like he's ready to take over at the slot CB, and Dennard will be there as well as Ryan.


AYERS
There is no mystery. Ayers was a backup DE. Belichick was fine with Ninkovich and Chandler Jones playing more than 95% of the reps when they were healthy. As AJ said last year, this strategy limits how much Belichick is willing to pay for DE. I suspect that Belichick is fine with Buchanan and Moore as the backup DE's, with Easley also available. Ayers was also available as a linebacker, but again Hightower and Collins were getting over 90% of the reps. Ayers did move ahead of Casillas as the base linebacker.

I am one of those who prefers to have a quality DE like Ayers on the 53, especially given his ability to be a backup linebacker.

ARRINGTON
I strongly disagree that Arrington is the 5th wheel in the corner rotation. He is the #3 corner on this team and did extremely well even in man coverage. The combo that won games was Revis-Browner-Arrington. Yes, Butler and Ryan made contributions, and yes, they should be on the squad next year. But I strongly oppose cutting our top slot back and our #3 corner.

I would much rather have Arrington on the team than Dennard.

With regard to Butler, I understand those who believe that 1/3 of a game makes one a starter, but I really think that this is an over-reaction.
 
2015 New England Patriot Offense (24 minimum)

Quarterback (2) - Brady (38), Garoppolo (23)
Fullback (1) - Develin (27)
Halfback (4) - Blount (28), Bolden (25), xxxxx, xxxxx
Tight End (3) - Gronkowski (26), Hoomanawanui (27), xxxxx
Wide Receiver (5) - Edelman (29), LaFell (28), Slater (30), xxxxx, xxxxx
Offensive Center (2) - Stork (24), Wendell (29)
Offensive Guard (3) - Kline (25), xxxxx, xxxxx
Offensive Tackle (4) - Solder (27), Vollmer (31), Cannon (27), Fleming (23)

() - player age as of September 10, 2015

Salary Cap Casualties:
Amendola (29)

On The Bubble:
Gaffney, Gray, White, Wright, Boyce, Dobson, Tyms

Unrestricted Free Agents:
Connolly, Ridley, Vereen
 
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