1) McDaniels wants to be a HC in the pretty near term. Why else did he go interviewing and then go further and (initially) accept the IND offer?
2) McDaniels has to know that leaving IND at the altar like that is going to make him radioactive. No one is going to want to touch him for years. So that means any HC ambitions he has are dead, dead, dead anywhere other than NE.
3) McDaniels had a guaranteed HC job. So it is very reasonable to expect he's been given assurances about becoming the next HC of the NEP. Would be strange to give up a guaranteed HC job now for a future maybe HC job.
Putting all that together, unless McDaniels has had a massive change in his ambitions, he is expecting to be the head coach here pretty soon, which in turn means that Belichick would be leaving pretty soon.
So the first argument for this point of view is to try to negate its opposite (the idea that Josh
doesn't want to be a HC soon.) Then after telling me your
opinion of somebody else's interior state, you posit a world of 30 other NFL owners, who immediately come to the same ironclad conclusion (Josh is now radioactive.) None of them is aware that Irsay might be problematic to work with.
I mean, sure, if Josh is an interchangeable part, like a burger flipper. If they're even thinking about what he brings, he's not. They're in the position of hiring from among a handful of people who show the requisite promise. This isn't replaceable workerbees, it's elite recruiting.
I can make up characterizations too.
This could be as simple as "do you
really want to stop working with TFB on a loss year to go work for an old psycho drunk?"
Despite what we say on here, BB gives you a chance to win every year (even if OMFG he benched M.B.!!!!) Luck might not be all that well. Colts ownership might not be what he wants to surround himself with.
And, it's a descent into the mortal world from the Olympian heights of New England. You remember before 2001, how you didn't have any idea whether and when we'd ever be relevant again? Going to the Colts now is walking out of a NE machine that works, to basically risk being the next post-patriots disappointment (and walking into the disarray of Irsayland in the process.)
Maybe this reeks of deja vu after leaving after a SB loss last time (a year removed, if I remember correctly.)
And so on, and so on, and so on.
All I asked is whether there's evidence of any of some heir-apparent status. By setting up the cascading if-thens above, you told me there isn't. No knock on you, if we could only talk about things we know to be the case, it would kill the board.
I just don't know how anybody can be so sure of this world... there seem to be so many ways it could be off. We're starting with others' internal states, which is tough enough in the normal world where people can lie. In the NFL world every statement is made with knowledge that fans and media must be managed.
Just like the endless benching argument, we just don't have reliable intel.
