Of the three opponents, the Patriots appear to be the most beatable because they simply don’t have the offensive weapons that Patriots teams have had in the past. They are also missing nose tackle Vince Wilfork (Achilles tendon) and inside linebacker Jerod Mayo (torn pectoral muscle), their two best defensive players.
But the Patriots are a 5-1 team and they are coming off a home victory over the Saints. Tom Brady threw a game-winning touchdown pass to Kenbrell Thompkins with five seconds remaining, and the Pats stole a victory they deserved and played their best game of the season in the process.
This is a game that the Jets must win if they are going to survive their three-game gauntlet prior to their bye week.
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But the Pats are vulnerable. They have made great strides on defense since the midway point of last season, but the losses of Wilfork and Mayo should open them up against the run. If Bilal Powell runs with a purpose and gets just a little bit of blocking, he should be able to gash the Patriots’ front seven.
If the running game gets going, Bill Belichick will have to make several adjustments to his defense and that could allow Smith to hit open receivers.
That’s just what the rookie quarterback needs. He has shown the ability to connect with open receivers for big plays, but he can’t fit the ball into a tight window at this point in his development.
Opportunities will not be plentiful against the Patriots, and it will be up to the Jets’ fourth-ranked defense to shut down Brady and Co. The Pats are not going to string drive after drive together, but the test for the Jets’ defense will come at the end of the game if the Pats need a field goal to tie or a touchdown to win.
That’s when it’s toughest to stop Brady. That’s no newsflash, but Brady did it once again against the Saints and he will be hungry for another opportunity against the Jets.