All of the above worry me, but I was forced to pick defense. They have a bunch of physical guys that will be getting in every cheap hit they can get. As John Hannah pointed out yesterday, the Jags are old school, they want to knock the QB out of the game, and HIT HIT HIT, even their secondary is simply a bunch of power players. It's not the "bigness" that everyone keeps focusing on that matters, it's the physicalness, the toughness, that old-school Raiders mentality.
That could, in a worst-case scenario, wreak havoc with our passing game. We don't want to have to rely on Maroney (though it worked fine against the Jets).
That said, the team that will be most likely to be complacent is the Jags: they are getting ****y listening to the pundits talk about how they have the perfect team to implement the "blueprint." More bulletin board material. And there is no way Junior Seau will let his guys get complacent on defense. And Brady knows how big a game this is, they all do. Belichick has been hammering them all week with humble pie and bulletin board fodder. The Pats will be amped, come out all five guns blazing, pumelling the Jags overwhelmed defense with confusing routes and formations.
So, while the Jags defense matches up against our offense pretty well (probably better than anyone), the less tangible factors will nullify them:
1. Coaching. We win hands down.
2. Home field advantage pumps up Pats and decreases number of offensive penalties.
3. Experience. Brady is tried and tested. He and Moss have a few more tricks up his sleeve.
Predicton: Pats 27 Jags 21. :rocker: