The guys who put up the odds in Vegas have always been more believable to me than sportswriters. They put their money where their mouths are after all. They may not always be right but they do come extremely close year after year. Of course, if they didn't, they wouldn't be in the wagering business would they.
Aren't the lines in Vegas set based, at least in part, on what they think the BETTORS will do - what will attract the most bets??? If so, it's not necessarily the case that they believe Indy has the best shot at the Super Bowl, just that they think John Q. Stupid does.
Aren't the lines in Vegas set based, at least in part, on what they think the BETTORS will do - what will attract the most bets??? If so, it's not necessarily the case that they believe Indy has the best shot at the Super Bowl, just that they think John Q. Stupid does.
Hooray, someone mentions this. Never, ever take the Vegas lines as what the bookies think is going to happen - the lines are set to induce betting, period. And I bet they're getting a lot of takers on the Colts at 5:1 or so, and laughing all the way to the bank, knowing that they've just been handed a fat sack of free money.