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Playoffs odds

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Just win baby.
You could take Al out of Brockton, but could never take the Brockton out of Al.
 
I did my first Playoff Machine prediction.
Pats go 3-2 over last 5 - end up with the 1 Seed at 13-4
2 Broncos 12-5 host 7 Chargers 11-6
3 Colts 11-6 host 6 Jaguars 11-6
4 Ravens 1-7 host 5 Bills 12-5

(even if Chiefs finish 4-2 they miss the playoffs)

Each of those wildcard games will be a toss up. It's going to be a crazy AFC race.
Whoever is 1 - most healthy, 2 - plays mistake free could make it to the SB.
 
The next few weeks will be interesting for NFL fans, regardless of rooting interest.
AFC East actually takes a back seat to the closer AFC West and AFC North races.
Chiefs have a couple tough games coming up; Colts and Bills also have difficult remaining schedules.

10-2 New England Patriots: 1 game vs winning team, plus Ravens; cumulative record 22-43
Week 13 at 2-8 Giants
Week 15 at 6-3 Buffalo
Week 16 at 4-5 Baltimore
Week 17 at 2-7 NYJ
Week 18 vs 3-7 Miami

7-4 Buffalo Bills: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 37-36
Week 13 at 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 14 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 15 at 8-2 Patriots
Week 16 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 17 vs 7-2 Philadelphia
Week 18 vs 2-7 NYJ

9-3 Indianapolis Colts: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 36-28
Week 14 at 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 15 at 7-2 Seattle
Week 16 vs 6-4 San Francisco
Week 17 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 18 at 4-5 Houston

9-2 Denver Broncos: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 32-32-1
Week 13 at 3-7 Washington
Week 14 at 2-7 Raiders
Week 15 vs 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 16 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 17 at 5-4 KC
Week 18 vs 7-3 Chargers

6-5 Kansas City Chiefs: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 41-34-1
Week 13 at 3-5-1 Dallas
Week 14 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 15 vs 7-3 Chargers
Week 16 at 1-8 Tennessee
Week 17 vs 8-2 Denver
Week 18 at 2-7 Raiders

6-5 Baltimore Ravens: 4 of last 8 vs winning teams, cumulative record 33-39-1
Week 13 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 14 vs 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 15 at 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 16 vs 8-2 Patriots
Week 17 at 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 18 at 5-4 Pittsburgh
In order to get the #1 seed, the most realistic way is:
1. we need to win 4 out of 5, and need to be the only team finishing at 14-3
2. Denver needs to lose 2, and the only candidates look like home vs GB and @KC
3. Indy needs to lose 1, and they need to play @Seattle and @Houston

This Giants game is HUGE, then find a way to split Buffalo/Baltimore, then finish up with the Jets and Phins.

As a cherry on top, I'd like to see KC lose @Dallas tomorrow and vs Houston, giving them 7 losses and hopefully out of the playoffs.
 
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