Playoffs odds

[sb1]

Nice to look at this site again and see actual Patriots numbers instead of "*" lol

New England Patriots Playoff Picture

The Patriots playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Patriots will win each playoff spot.

www.playoffstatus.com

Pats control their destiny for the #3 seed. Need help for 1 or 2. 99% chance of making the playoffs.


This chart is also interesting.

New England Patriots What If?

The Patriots What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Patriots play future games.

www.playoffstatus.com

There apparently is still a very small path to the #1 seed if the Pats win only 1 of their next 7. Lol

 

[StockingAnarchyNumber12]

I think we’ll make the playoffs but I’m not sold on the number 1 seed yet. I’m guessing we’ll lose a couple more and go 13-4.

 

[p8ryts]

I think we’ll make the playoffs but I’m not sold on the number 1 seed yet. I’m guessing we’ll lose a couple more and go 13-4.

I'm happy with that.

 

[jmt57]

The next few weeks will be interesting for NFL fans, regardless of rooting interest.
AFC East actually takes a back seat to the closer AFC West and AFC North races.
Chiefs have a couple tough games coming up; Colts and Bills also have difficult remaining schedules.


8-2 New England Patriots: 1 game vs winning team, plus Ravens; cumulative record 22-43
Week 11 vs 2-7 NYJ
Week 12 at 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 13 at 2-8 Giants
Week 15 at 6-3 Buffalo
Week 16 at 4-5 Baltimore
Week 17 at 2-7 NYJ
Week 18 vs 3-7 Miami

6-3 Buffalo Bills: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 37-36
Week 11 vs 6-3 Tampa Bay
Week 12 at 4-5 Houston
Week 13 at 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 14 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 15 at 8-2 Patriots
Week 16 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 17 vs 7-2 Philadelphia
Week 18 vs 2-7 NYJ

8-2 Indianapolis Colts: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 36-28
Week 12 at 5-4 KC
Week 13 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 14 at 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 15 at 7-2 Seattle
Week 16 vs 6-4 San Francisco
Week 17 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 18 at 4-5 Houston

8-2 Denver Broncos: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 32-32-1
Week 11 vs 5-4 KC
Week 13 at 3-7 Washington
Week 14 at 2-7 Raiders
Week 15 vs 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 16 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 17 at 5-4 KC
Week 18 vs 7-3 Chargers

7-3 LA Chargers: 4 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 34-29-1
Week 11 at 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 13 vs 2-7 Las Vegas
Week 14 vs 7-2 Philadelphia
Week 15 at 5-4 KC
Week 16 at 3-5-1 Dallas
Week 17 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 18 at 8-2 Denver

5-4 Kansas City Chiefs: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 41-34-1
Week 11 at 8-2 Denver
Week 12 vs 8-2 Indianapolis
Week 13 at 3-5-1 Dallas
Week 14 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 15 vs 7-3 Chargers
Week 16 at 1-8 Tennessee
Week 17 vs 8-2 Denver
Week 18 at 2-7 Raiders

5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers: 3 of last 8 vs winning teams (plus 2 vs Ravens); cum record 34-39
Week 11 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 12 at 6-3 Chicago
Week 13 vs 6-3 Buffalo
Week 14 at 4-5 Baltimore
Week 15 vs 3-7 Miami
Week 16 at 6-3 Detroit
Week 17 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 18 vs 4-5 Baltimore

4-5 Baltimore Ravens: 4 of last 8 vs winning teams, cumulative record 33-39-1
Week 11 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 12 vs 2-7 NYJ
Week 13 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 14 vs 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 15 at 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 16 vs 8-2 Patriots
Week 17 at 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 18 at 5-4 Pittsburgh

 

[Toofy]

Looks like Steelers or potentially chiefs could miss out playoffs .

I feel chargers might inch up higher. We need 4 wins to make sure we qualify for playoffs. 2 jets , 1 Giants, 1 fins and 1 Bengals ( 4 out of these 5 hopefully)

 

[jmt57]

Looks like Steelers or potentially chiefs could miss out playoffs .

I feel chargers might inch up higher. We need 4 wins to make sure we qualify for playoffs. 2 jets , 1 Giants, 1 fins and 1 Bengals ( 4 out of these 5 hopefully)

Yeah, Steelers have lost 3 of their last 4 after it looked like they were a lock to win the AFCN
Meanwhile the Ravens have won three straight.

Chiefs at Denver this week is a huge game for both teams.

 

[sb1]

If the Pats win and Chiefs (#8) lose I wonder how early we can clinch a playoff spot. There will be a 3.5 game gap on #8 (Pats have tiebreaker) with 6 to play

 

[PatsFan2]

Looks like Steelers or potentially chiefs could miss out playoffs .

I feel chargers might inch up higher. We need 4 wins to make sure we qualify for playoffs. 2 jets , 1 Giants, 1 fins and 1 Bengals ( 4 out of these 5 hopefully)

Regarding the Steelers next 8 Games: I think they can win 6 of them that gets' them to 11 wins. They have the Browns - Bengals and Dolphins still on tap. They host both the Bill and Ravens @ Home: if you can't win @ home you have no business in the Playoffs. The Ravens are playing but they still have a First place Schedule: and I feel that slow start will do em in at the end. The Ravens have Three Road Games to close out the season with us sandwiched in there. We are not going to Baltimore to kiss Lamar's rings...oh wait.

 

[PatsFan2]

The next few weeks will be interesting for NFL fans, regardless of rooting interest.
AFC East actually takes a back seat to the closer AFC West and AFC North races.
Chiefs have a couple tough games coming up; Colts and Bills also have difficult remaining schedules.


8-2 New England Patriots: 1 game vs winning team, plus Ravens; cumulative record 22-43
Week 11 vs 2-7 NYJ
Week 12 at 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 13 at 2-8 Giants
Week 15 at 6-3 Buffalo
Week 16 at 4-5 Baltimore
Week 17 at 2-7 NYJ
Week 18 vs 3-7 Miami

6-3 Buffalo Bills: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 37-36
Week 11 vs 6-3 Tampa Bay
Week 12 at 4-5 Houston
Week 13 at 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 14 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 15 at 8-2 Patriots
Week 16 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 17 vs 7-2 Philadelphia
Week 18 vs 2-7 NYJ

8-2 Indianapolis Colts: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 36-28
Week 12 at 5-4 KC
Week 13 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 14 at 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 15 at 7-2 Seattle
Week 16 vs 6-4 San Francisco
Week 17 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 18 at 4-5 Houston

8-2 Denver Broncos: 5 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 32-32-1
Week 11 vs 5-4 KC
Week 13 at 3-7 Washington
Week 14 at 2-7 Raiders
Week 15 vs 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 16 vs 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 17 at 5-4 KC
Week 18 vs 7-3 Chargers

7-3 LA Chargers: 4 of last 7 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 34-29-1
Week 11 at 5-4 Jacksonville
Week 13 vs 2-7 Las Vegas
Week 14 vs 7-2 Philadelphia
Week 15 at 5-4 KC
Week 16 at 3-5-1 Dallas
Week 17 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 18 at 8-2 Denver

5-4 Kansas City Chiefs: 4 of last 8 games vs winning teams, cumulative record 41-34-1
Week 11 at 8-2 Denver
Week 12 vs 8-2 Indianapolis
Week 13 at 3-5-1 Dallas
Week 14 vs 4-5 Houston
Week 15 vs 7-3 Chargers
Week 16 at 1-8 Tennessee
Week 17 vs 8-2 Denver
Week 18 at 2-7 Raiders

5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers: 3 of last 8 vs winning teams (plus 2 vs Ravens); cum record 34-39
Week 11 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 12 at 6-3 Chicago
Week 13 vs 6-3 Buffalo
Week 14 at 4-5 Baltimore
Week 15 vs 3-7 Miami
Week 16 at 6-3 Detroit
Week 17 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 18 vs 4-5 Baltimore

4-5 Baltimore Ravens: 4 of last 8 vs winning teams, cumulative record 33-39-1
Week 11 at 2-7 Cleveland
Week 12 vs 2-7 NYJ
Week 13 vs 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 14 vs 5-4 Pittsburgh
Week 15 at 3-6 Cincinnati
Week 16 vs 8-2 Patriots
Week 17 at 5-3-1 Green Bay
Week 18 at 5-4 Pittsburgh

It goes without saying the Patriots have the Easiest schedule all things considered. Of all the AFC Teams the only one I trust to finish well is KC. Buffalo could be in trouble: their next Three are Tough winnable but tough sledding: Home vs Bucs @ Houston and @ Pitt. Houston have been a disappointment but they still have players: they can play a spoiler role.

 

[PatsFan2]

Yeah, Steelers have lost 3 of their last 4 after it looked like they were a lock to win the AFCN
Meanwhile the Ravens have won three straight.

Chiefs at Denver this week is a huge game for both teams.

It's going to Huge for Denver; I think KC is living rent free in all those AFC West opponents heads. IF it's a must win Game I'm taking Mahomes 24/7. We'll see if Bo Nix can bring it.

 

[sb1]

It goes without saying the Patriots have the Easiest schedule all things considered. Of all the AFC Teams the only one I trust to finish well is KC. Buffalo could be in trouble: their next Three are Tough winnable but tough sledding: Home vs Bucs @ Houston and @ Pitt. Houston have been a disappointment but they still have players: they can play a spoiler role.

Patriots SOS remaining: .338. Lol

 

[PatsFan2]

Patriots SOS remaining: .338. Lol

It's more like WOS = Weakness of Schedule.

 

[TommyD4207]

It's going to Huge for Denver; I think KC is living rent free in all those AFC West opponents heads. IF it's a must win Game I'm taking Mahomes 24/7. We'll see if Bo Nix can bring it.

The only way Denver wins that game is if it's like 13-10 or something. They're going to miss Surtain in this one.
As much as I think Mahomes has regressed, Nix has fallen off a cliff.

 

[ScottishPatriots]

Looking at how it's setting up right now i think the best scenario that's actually realistic would be us getting the 1 seed and the Chargers the 7 and them beating either Denver/Indy at the 2 in the Wildcard Round and coming to Foxborough in the Divisional Round while the Chiefs/Bills/Ravens are all fighting it out.

 

[Actual Pats Fan]

Yeah, Steelers have lost 3 of their last 4 after it looked like they were a lock to win the AFCN
Meanwhile the Ravens have won three straight.

Chiefs at Denver this week is a huge game for both teams.

There are definitely potential pitfalls in getting that coveted bye, including rust, an interruption in momentum, distractions like being told how great you are, and difficulty retrieving intensity. Many a favored team has sleepwalked their way through an opening playoff game on the way to their premature elimination.

For the Patriots, we have had success and even relied on the free pass to the next round, taking advantage of the chance to physically recuperate, prepare and strategize.

Vrabel's experience will be crucial, especially since the Patriots are a young team.

 

[Gumby]

How it looks today:


If you are wishing for a low-ranked upset to make the 1-seed path easier…I don’t see Jax beating dolts. Volts & Jill’s beating their home opponents = odds. But most likely means we face Jill’s for 3d time ( w our wonderful HF advantage -both losses haha).

NFC picture seems clearer, just Rams are really a 3-seed bumped down by Div winner rules to be a pretend 5 seed. Just means the NFCCG actually gets played one week early.

 

[NovaScotiaPatsFan]

I just want to win the East, knock those table smashing morons off their fraudulent throne. Everything beyond that is the icing on the cake.

 

[Actual Pats Fan]

I just want to win the East, knock those table smashing morons off their fraudulent throne. Everything beyond that is the icing on the cake.

Sheesh, that's a lot of vitriol there.

Do you mean the Bills or the Chiefs?

 

[Steve102]

Just win baby.

 

[Actual Pats Fan]

Just win baby.