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Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by TheAdultintheRoom, Jan 9, 2020.

  1. lancerman

    lancerman Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    1. If everything is equal, they are always better with Brady.

    2. If they marginally retool the offense, Brady with a bad offense is probably equal or better.

    3. If they load the offense, it 100% depends on the QB. If you really can't find an average QB, then it doesn't matter how good the offense is. If you can find above mid range, yeah you have a shot, but the QB still might lose you an important game or not get you over the hump (again see a Dalton or Romo type, hell even Rivers.

    When your best case scenario without Brady could still be bad because QB is such a major variable, you have to consider where you want to place your bets. Do you want to place your bets that we can be a little healthier next year and find a piece in the draft or free agency that will contribute with Sanu learns the system and Harry develops? Or do you want to bet that we can find someone at the position the whole league struggles to find someone in.
     
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  2. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    You seem to believe that we cannot succeed without a top 4 quarterback. That is illogical on its face. Lots of teams are successful without a top 4 quarterback. Perhaps, this depends on what a successful team would be for you.
    =====
    From where I sit, at least since 1994, a successful team has been defined as one that is competitive and has a reasonable chance of winning the division or being a wildcard.
    =======
    But let's play. If we sign a 2nd tier QB, not one of the top ones, we could have the same cap hit as we would have if we re-signed Brady. That is just a matter of deferring an extra $6.75M into the future. Of course, we would be likely to carry 3 quarterbacks after drafting one.

    In the next 3 years, our defense would continue to be among the best. We certainly COULD BE competitive. And yes, belichick would have a game plan for developing a QB. I gave one: draft a quarterback each year, and keep a veteran on the squad, until 2 youngsters are able to replace the veteran (or until we find a veteran that we want too keep).
    =====
    MY BOTTOM LINE
    is that Brady is better than the alternatives that we might sign.

     
  3. rochrist

    rochrist Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract Weekly Picks Winner

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    The problem with that is that there are a boatload of people who could see Brady have to come out with a walker and claim 'He just needs more weaponz!'
     
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  4. rochrist

    rochrist Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract Weekly Picks Winner

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    For that matter, Brady wasn't a top 4 QB when they won their first SB.
     
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  5. Actual Pats Fan

    Actual Pats Fan PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    BLEDSOE'S RECORD DEAL: 10 YEARS, $103 MILLION
     
  6. lancerman

    lancerman Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    Here are the last 10 SB champions

    2009: Drew Brees (top 4 QB)
    2010: Aaron Rodgers (top 4 QB)
    2011: Eli Manning (had a top 5 all time statistical playoff run for a QB)
    2012: Joe Flacco (had a top 5 all time statistical playoff run for a QB)
    2013: Russell Wilson (had a historically great defense)
    2014: Tom Brady (top 4 QB)
    2015: Peyton Manning (former top 4 QB, but had a historically great defense)
    2016: Tom Brady (top 4 QB)
    2017: Nick Foles (had a top 5 all time statistical playoff run for a QB)
    2018: Tom Brady (top 4 QB)

    So there are 4 models

    1. Have a top 4 QB
    2. Have a QB who just randomly goes off and plays at a super elite level in a playoff stretch and defies the odds
    3. Have a historical defense.

    The more sustainable outlet is number 1. The second is very flukey. The 3rd is something that lasts one to two seasons and then you can't really maintain a defense of that caliber.

    But that's really besides the point. The bigger point is about the situation. Is there a guarantee we even get a top 10 QB? And if we don't, can win without one? And beyond that is, the chance of that worth not just trying to go with Brady for two years and enduring some cap pains?

    To me Brady is the best option right now until it's definitive he can't go.

    While there is some truth to that, I think like Peyton, there will be a point of "this is not acceptable play anymore" and a plurality will agree on it and Brady himself will not want to play anymore once he hits that. It's premature right now when we have him playing and hitting the same stats as 2013 when he had personnel issues, and we know for a fact this year was particularly bad on that front. So it's not really worth the move right now because it's just as likely we end up with a bottom 1o QB who gives us no chance vs a top 10 who gives us a chance with the right circumstance so banking on Brady still being able to get it done with the right grouping makes more sense. If there was a true heir apparent waiting in the wings or a guy we realistically could get in the draft that's one thing. But we don't have that. So it's betting on Brady or a mystery box to save some cap space. I'm going to choose Brady there.
     
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  7. Bradyking12

    Bradyking12 In the Starting Line-Up

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  8. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Sorry, I didn't see that you were a newbie. Obviously, SB winners in the last 10 years have required a top 4 quarterback more often than not.
     
  9. cmasspatsfan

    cmasspatsfan Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    The ten year deals weren't really ten year deals once you looked at the fine print.
     
  10. Ring 6

    Ring 6 PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club

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    3 of the last 8 Sb qbs did not have a top 5 post season of all time
     
  11. lancerman

    lancerman Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    From a purely statistical driven by inflation and era perspective they did. Eli, Flacco, and Foles certainly were the best in the post season those seasons regardless, you were getting elite play for that stretch
     
  12. lancerman

    lancerman Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    There’s a point where the league is too different that it’s not really relevant to go that far back
     
  13. 203Pat

    203Pat In the Starting Line-Up

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    Jerry Thornton posted something about Brady’s family suite at Gillette getting “cleared out”. Apparently they moved to Greenwich officially as well.
     
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  14. goheels22002

    goheels22002 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I think the Patriots have to stay disciplined with the salary cap. They have needs at several positions, and some big decisions to make with other veterans.

    They need to set their price for the QB position group just like they do for every other position. Once they set that figure, they will sit down with Don Yee and go over their options. If they can keep Stidham, add another QB, and pay Brady for the next two years, they should go for it.

    My feeling is that this is a Hightower situation where they let Brady explore the market, and agree on what's best for everybody. Brady cannot go to a team with a proven starter or a bad offensive line. He can't go to a team with no chance of winning. He needs a Joe Montana situation where he can win immediately.

    The only teams that fit the bill are Indianapolis, Pittsburgh (if Roethlisberger retires), Las Vegas, LA Chargers, New Orleans (if Brees retires). The Colts, Raiders and Chargers have the cap space to do this. How much of that money are they willing to commit to a 43-year-old QB?
     
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  15. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I think that several teams with cap money will be willing to give Brady 2/$60M with $40M guaranteed. NTW, I would add Tampa Bay to the list. Also note that teams like Indy with lots of cap room can add an OL or two as well as Brady.
     
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  16. Ladypatsfan

    Ladypatsfan Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    They drafted Stidham last year. I think they drafted him for the future. I love Brady, don't want him to leave. But I know who the head coach is, I watched Ty Law leave and Mcgnest 2 of my favorite players left.
    BB is done with Brady. He hasn't said it but I know how he thinks. All of us do. We have all seen how he operates. BB is not going to invest in a 43 year old QB. I have accepted it. Nothing else to do, except sit back and watch how he puts the team together for the 2020 season.
     
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    Last edited: Jan 15, 2020
  17. Ring 6

    Ring 6 PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club

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    No they were the greatest overachievers. They were not statistically 3 of the best 5 ESPECIALLY when you adjust for era.
     
  18. TB_Helmet

    TB_Helmet In the Starting Line-Up Weekly Picks Winner

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    This thread is interesting since it has 40 positive ratings and only 21 negative ratings, but the top rating is 'disagree' so that shows on the front page, which makes it look like people are overwhelmingly opposed to the OP. Most posts don't get this many ratings so it's essentially a poll (which is another reason for my idea to allow polls as posts mid-thread!)
     
  19. LJRomanoff

    LJRomanoff Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    From your friend Bart Scott:

    Bart Scott Discusses QB Matthew Stafford Being Traded

    "He also expressed that he feels the Stafford era has gone on for too long in Detroit and that Patricia and Co. may consider trading Stafford to the New England Patriots this offseason."
     
  20. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I suspect that many free agent QB's want to play for the patriots. I suspect that many teams have QB's that they want to trade to the patriots.

    If Brady goes, I would think that there would be many options, almost all including having Stidham and a draftee in camp.

     

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