$6.75M is the cap hit from the old contract. It is only $13.5M if Brady leaves (acceleration of the 2021 cap hit. I see a $20M cap hit for Brady or for a veteran signed if Brady goes. I don't see the crisis.
As I see it we have $30M of cap space to use, whether Brady leaves or not.
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It's a day early, but I suppose we can start discussing 2020 weapons.
WR #3 - funded by cutting Sanu
TE #2 - funded by cutting Sanu
starting RT - either Cannon or someone using his cap money
interior OL - Karras or other would cost $4M-$5M
Van Noy or McCourty - Hightower restructure plus $2M
NT - Shelton or replacement would cost $4M-$5M
WHERE ARE WE
A) We have used $10-$12M of cap money, cut Sanu, and restructured Hightower.
B) This leaves us with $18M-$20M to use for a #1 WR, #1 TE, another OL, other re-signs, and other free agents. This isn't a lot, but it isn't terrible either.
C) A Gilmore restructure can be done during camp to take care of camp costs, and in-season costs.
SOME GUESSTIMATES
OFFENSE
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1) We will cut Sanu, or extend him if Belichick really likes him. Or we can replace him with mid-level WR who would be expected to be our #3 (or compete for WR 2-4). A new contract might be a $2M salary and a $4.5M bonus over 3 years, for a 2020 compensation of $6.5M, and a cap hit of
$3.5M.
This is a SAVINGS of $3M, enough perhaps to sign our #2 TE ($1.5M salary, $4.5M bonus).
So, we have taken care of our need for a #3 WR and a #2 TE with NO cap effect.
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2) Cannon will either go or stay. If he goes, his cap savings would allow us to sign a replacement.
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#3 Karras or equivalent could cost $4M (salary of $2M and a $8M bonus (4 years); an addition $4M bonus adds $1M to the cap.
DEFENSE
A) A Hightower restructure would produce cap savings of $5.3M, almost enough to re-sign McCourty or Van Noy.
CONTRACT: $2.3M salary, $15M bonus over 3 years or a cap hit or $7.3M.
B) Shelton or equivalent might cost $4M (a $2M salary an $8M bonus over 4 years (an additional $4M bonus adds $1M to the cap)
I’m guessing the ONLY way to make this work is to be incredibly creative. Cap experts would know better than me, but doesn’t he count for 13.5 mill vs the cap whether he leaves or not ? So have to add 16.5 mill a year to that. How much cap space would we have left to add REAL weapons to satisfy the ALLEGED prerequisites for Brady to resign with the Pats.
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