DRAFT DAY DISCUSSION 2026 NFL Draft: Day 2

[manxman2601]

I wonder if this has ever happened before. While researching day 3 picks, I realised that only 1 RB went on day 2 (Kaelon Black). Such a bad class.

 

[patfanken]

Henry sucks as a blocker. This isn't news. Certain people are touting Raridon as the next great WR since Gronkowski.. Which is f'in absurd.

The thing is, DB, no one knows what these kids are going to turn into over the next 3 years. Lumo and Raridon both need to add 10+ lbs of strength. They both need to learn to play in pro-offenses and like Brady, NO one knows who has that insatiable drive to keep getting better and doing whatever he has to do to make that happen. But if we want that to happen, we will just have to wait and see 3 years down the road.

I saw a list put up one of the draft coverage shows that tracked all the first-round picks over the last 20 years who got their 5th year options picked up. The average success rate was just over 40%. Something like 43% IIRC. Interior offensive linemen had the most success at around 60%, but they had the fewest players taken. QB's were just at 40% and there were a few positions that ranges in the high thirties to the rest at 50%. IIRC, IOL were the only group above 50%.

So a majority of yesterday's picks ARE likely to fail (if you are judging not picking up the 5th round pick a failure) Obviously as you go down in the draft each round the failure rate goes higher. So, each year we ***** and moan about the draft. even before we get to camp and are SHOCKED when so many fail (cue the casino scene in Casablanca)

 

[Joey007]

Considering where the Pats were drafting, and in a weak draft, you gotta love what the Pats have been able to do.

Looks like they got three contributors at positions of need.

Agreed. Off ball LB is probably the only other position I feel needed addressed for sure.

 

[mayoclinic]

The thing is, DB, no one knows what these kids are going to turn into over the next 3 years. Lumo and Raridon both need to add 10+ lbs of strength. They both need to learn to play in pro-offenses and like Brady, NO one knows who has that insatiable drive to keep getting better and doing whatever he has to do to make that happen. But if we want that to happen, we will just have to wait and see 3 years down the road.

I saw a list put up one of the draft coverage shows that tracked all the first-round picks over the last 20 years who got their 5th year options picked up. The average success rate was just over 40%. Something like 43% IIRC. Interior offensive linemen had the most success at around 60%, but they had the fewest players taken. QB's were just at 40% and there were a few positions that ranges in the high thirties to the rest at 50%. IIRC, IOL were the only group above 50%.

So a majority of yesterday's picks ARE likely to fail (if you are judging not picking up the 5th round pick a failure) Obviously as you go down in the draft each round the failure rate goes higher. So, each year we ***** and moan about the draft. even before we get to camp and are SHOCKED when so many fail (cue the casino scene in Casablanca)

Yet the mediots persist in hyping each pick up, trying to justify how good each player is and how smart the organization was for picking him. It's so nauseating.

 

[uknepatsfan]

If you want my ideal draft though... (realistically)

63 - Golday - LB - I'd love edge but i don't see it falling our way... and frankly i don't value Moore, Thomas, Young, Hollow, Jacas, Thomas and others at this pick. I know other boards do, but for me i just don't see them being 2nd round players). And i don't think Parker/Young fall. Who really are the only 2 guys i like at 63. And while I'd love a WR.... if we are not trading Boutte (Which i wouldn't do for anything less than a high 3rd which we would use on a WR). Then I am okay going Brown/Boutte/Doubs as our top 3 next year. If Boutte moves this changes.

Assuming we take Golday or Rodriguez.

95 - Ramsay/Kilgore - S (the value at safety in RD3 should be fairly good. Guys will fall who usually wouldn't be there. Special Edge like Height/Thomas/Hollow (some i think will be overdrafted... but overall guys like them make a lot of sense here if one falls). WR - I only mention it cause SOMEONE will fall. This is also why i am a little hesitant to pick any WR not named Bell/Stribling in RD 2. I feel like a lot of guys are really close together here. For instance. Branch/Brazzel/Sarratt/Barnard/Fields/Williams/Skylar Bell(the other one) could all fall to 96 among other guys. To me there is some value here from WR. Though maybe waiting to see if anything is still there are 131 is the better option... though that becomes very unlikely. Still with 12+ interesting guys between now and then... who knows.

As for guys i LOVE on day 3... quick preview.

Eli Raridon - TE - most seem to have him as round 4... I'd had him as a late round 2 prospect for months. I don't see what people or missing here. Many of what I call the 'braintrust' on this site see it the same way. If we 'reach' for him at 95 I would not be at all mad about it. He is 100% worth that pick. Ideally he falls to 131 or we trade up in the 4th to get him for max value

Eli Heidenreich - RB/WR (really RB) - Has been my #1 value player and first and biggest binkie since the process began. I have a mid rd 3 grade on him... most have him going in the 6th... if he goes at all. To me he is our change of pace RB and Joker weapon for the next 8-10 years. Just look at his tape and try to tell me this 6th rounder isn't a 3rd round value. I dare you.

If we leave day 3 with both of these guys this draft becomes a home run for me. And we don't even need to draft A WR at that point as i think having both improves our offense substantially.

Kudos for the Raridon pick at exactly where you placed him. Good work, Bob D!

 

[TommyD4207]

I wonder if this has ever happened before. While researching day 3 picks, I realised that only 1 RB went on day 2 (Kaelon Black). Such a bad class.

I don't even know if it's a bad class, necessarily.
Just a weird class. Very specialized, and everyone's pretty light on the pass blocking.

They're either tiny like Desmond Reid or Desmond Claiborne or weird freaks like Adam Randall who's huge, but he's a converted WR, so he doesn't really run with the power someone his size should.

Maybe you can get a short-yardage bruiser like CJ Donaldson down the board a bit.