I really don't think they're much to talk about in the AFC. If Kansas City doesn't get to the Super Bowl then it will be a major upset. I'm rooting for Buffalo but I just think Kansas City is too good.
Buf 31
Bal 27
KC 38
Cle 23
The NFC is less obvious.
The key match in the Packers vs Rams game is Adams vs Ramsey. If Ramsey can limit or shutdown Adams then the Rams chances of winning goes way up. Perhaps the Rams should watch tape of the Bucs vs Packers game since the Bucs did it with a crappy secondary. Otherwise the Rams weakest link is their quarterback, which usually will be a fatal flaw in postseason play (we saw it firsthand in SB 52). Overall a great matchup, especially the Rams defense vs the Packers offense, it should be fun to watch.
GB 23
LAR 19
Best game of the weekend is the Bucs vs the Saints. Watching the replay of the Bucs vs WFT, you can see how comfortable and confident Brady is with their offense now. Really from the 4th quarter of the KC game forward, the Bucs offense has been one of the better units in the league. They trounced a WFT defense that had given up more than 350 yards of total offense only once since week 5. The Bucs finished with 505 in the wild card game. Prior to the 380 passing yards from Brady, the most the WFT pass defense had allowed all season was 309 in week 5. They held opposing quarterbacks to less than 250 yards passing 12 times throughout the season. So these are pretty good indicators that the Bucs offense is rolling pretty good right now.
Look for Chris Godwin to rebound from an uncharacteristic case of the dropsies too. He had a catch percentage of 77% during the season (the highest of his career). Versus WFT it was 42%. Cameron Brate is coming off his most productive game of the season and I think his targets will continue to be key as Gronk is likely to have mostly pass protection duties again.
The biggest problem for the Bucs is their pass defense, specifically their secondary, which is weak. Under Todd Bowles, the Bucs had the highest blitz percentage of any defense. It'll continue in this game so if the Saints can pick up the blitz then the Bucs secondary is going to get torched with the Saints short passing game and YAC. Brees' arm strength has noticeably diminished this season so he's relying heavily on the short passing game and YAC from his receivers. The Bucs are the opposite, having led the NFL in passing plays >25 yards.
Other interesting differences between Brady and Brees this season (35 QB's qualified for official NFL stats this season).
Intended air yards per pass attempt (average depth of target):
Brady = 9.1 (ranked 1st)
Brees = 6.0 (ranked 34th)
Intended air yards (total of all pass attempts):
Brady = 5539 (ranked 1st)
Brees = 2332 (ranked 29th)
If the Bucs offense can maintain the momentum they have going then we're in for a classic matchup. Bringing history into it, Brady owns the postseason but he's really dominant in the divisional round with a 13-2 record. Brees is 3-3 in the divisional round. Also, I think Brady will be more relaxed in this game because he's coming back for at least another season and realistically 2021 will be the season when the Bucs put it all together. Brees reportedly is leaning toward retirement so he knows this will be his last shot at another ring. And all-time elite quarterbacks generally need that second ring to cement their legacies. I can envision Brees cracking under the weight of the moment.
Bucs 30
Saints 27