2019 Patriots PPG Predictions

Taking a SWAG at PPG and rankings for 2019 Patriots.

Offense - takes a dip, ends up around 25 PPG, top 10
- speaks to Brady, Scar and McDaniels as this group is a significant step down at skill positions

Defense
20 PPG - top 6
- deeper unit but trend is towards offensive production, all rules favor offense, etc.

 

D will be in top 5 of PPG easy.

 

More points scored.

Less points allowed.

28ppg

17ppga

 

Patriots PPG History
2018 27.7
2017 28.9
2016 28.7
2015 28.3
2014 30.4 (<- peak Gronk)
2013 27.9

I think 28 ppg is likely. We're going to play power, possession football. Defense will get us the ball back and will likely score more points themselves on turnovers.

Defense will likely hold teams to 17 points per game.

Completely agree with "The Dude".

 

The season will consist of strikes and gutters, up and downs but they'll be fine

 

I don't make predictions on the first half, preseason for Belichick.

I expect the second half to be what has been posted 28 for 17 against, in the top 5 for both.

 

19-0

 

Patriots have been top 4 in scoring offense for 8 straight years. No reason to believe that will stop.
Defense has been top 10 in 13 of the last 14 and 15 of the last 17 years. No reason to believe that will change.

 

I really like our defense and think it could be a top 6 defense.

But our offense has serious issues at wr and te. James white is going to need to catch 10 to 12 balls a game for us to have any success in the air because the outside receivers not named Edelman are green and below average at best.

Really hoping we can pick up a te on roster cut down day. What we have now is terrible!

 

There is definitely going to be a dip in offense PPG since ya know, Gronk retired (even though he was only 70% of his peak self). The offensive line is still going to be pretty good, and Sony Michel will feast, but our receiving options if Josh Gordon doesn't come back is pretty meh. Outside of Edelman and James White, we have a bunch of unknowns and potential breakout players.

A few top 10 offensive teams scored 26.8 PPG last season, I think the Patriots will score around that number.

 

We really dont know any of this so I am not sure why you are making this claim. They are in a better place than last year going into the season.

First JE is back for the whole season and is now 1 year removed from his injury.

Dorsett went 7 for 66 on 7 targets in week 1 last year. He has more time in the system now so he should be improved over last year.

Hogan and Patterson had 2 catches and 17 yards combined total for week 1 last year. I doubt we will miss them this year.

You are adding a 1st rd pick (Harry) who I doubt will be worse than Paterson or Hogan. He could be much better.

Then for a 4th WR you have either Harris, Inmann or Myers. Myers has looked very sharp and the other WR is going to give you an upgrade on depth VS last year.

This dosent take into account Thomas who is traveling with the team and could be ready to play or maybe ready by week 7. They would not have him travel with the team if he had no hope of being a contributor.

Gordon should be reinstated at some point and he will be more comfortable in the system.

You have Merideth in the bullpen.

This group (regardless of the configuration) will be much improved over last year and if Gordon is back and DT can play they could be one of the top units in the league.

 

The last 6 seasons the patriots have scored between 436 and 468 points each year good for top 4 each time.
From 10-12 they scored over 500 but that was also at a time the defense was allowing more. I wold estimate we leave on average 25-30 points on the table each year because we don’t need them and just run out the clock.
The level of talent from 2013 to now wasn’t any greater than it is today. Different with different strengths and weaknesses but not overall better by any significant level.
We will continue to score in that range. Maybe a little more if the defense struggles maybe a little less if the defense dominates.
More points does t necessarily mean better offense because the goal isn’t to score as many points as possible it’s to win and win comfortably by protecting a safe lead.

 

Our wr corps needs josh Gordon he is a game changer

 

Offense scoring 27 and defense allowing 18 is a safe bet. Maybe 28 and 17 but it will likely be in that range...

 

38 ppg scored by the offense (to break the NFL record of 606 with 608 points) with Tommy throwing for 60 TD's.

22 ppg allowed by the D

 

What happened to your N’Keal Harry thread @cstjohn17 ?

It mysteriously disappeared.

 

From week 8 on and on the playoffs ( 12 games) defense gave up 201 points ( and 7 in that fakakta special teams meltdown in Miami) or little less than 17 points per game. I think the results may be better this year and offense comes around w 28 ppg...

 

The other thing as well is I'm not seeing a lot of high powered offenses here.

1 Sun September 8 8:20PM ET Pittsburgh Steelers preview - not any more
2 Sun September 15 1:00PM ET @ Miami Dolphins preview- no
3 Sun September 22 1:00PM ET New York Jets preview- maybe
4 Sun September 29 1:00PM ET @ Buffalo Bills preview- no
5 Sun October 6 1:00PM ET @ Washington Redskins preview- no
6 Thu October 10 8:20PM ET New York Giants preview- no
7 Mon October 21 8:15PM ET @ New York Jets preview- maybe
8 Sun October 27 4:25PM ET Cleveland Browns preview- maybe/yes
9 Sun November 3 8:20PM ET @ Baltimore Ravens preview- no
10 Bye Week
11 Sun November 17 4:25PM ET @ Philadelphia Eagles preview- maybe/yes
12 Sun November 24 4:25PM ET Dallas Cowboys preview- not w/o Zeke plus I think NE has a good run D anyway
13 Sun December 1 8:20PM ET @ Houston Texans preview- we always handle them
14 Sun December 8 4:25PM ET Kansas City Chiefs preview- yes
15 Sun December 15 1:00PM ET @ Cincinnati Bengals preview- no
16 Sun December 22 1:00PM ET Buffalo Bills preview- no
17 Sun December 29 1:00PM ET Miami Dolphins preview- no

So I'm seeing 6 games with decent to good Qb play and decent offenses.

Thats it.

 

It must have been too hot of a take... hopefully NKH can stay healthy.

 

Regular Season is more like Two Seasons in One.
First half is like finding an identity what we're trying to be. Factor in new players getting accustom to schemes, Players being out and others playing in different roles not normally their natural positions. Seems to be our MO early......
Second half or after Thanksgiving is when we really know what we have especially going in Playoffs. That's when I throw out all Stats in Regular Season and Playoff Season kicks into whole other dimension depending on how we want to play each opponent that week.
That's what separates Us from them.