During the draft Mac was comp'd to Derek Carr. Definitely a career backup, probably a mid-level starter, probably not a franchise QB.
However, I don't think it was a mistake to draft him, because such projections are often inaccurate.
Hitting on a 1st round QB is a huge advantage for a team if he can achieve that mid-level starter status or better, and you don't know till you play him where he'll end up.
He was more or less on track till the MP/JJ year, then the train jumped the tracks.
I can picture an alternate reality where Bill found good coaches and found good OL talent to put in front of him, and Mac became the next Derek Carr.
However Bill in essence did the opposite of that, and it all went to ****.
Good point, Derek Carr is probably a better comparison, a solid mid level starter with the right team and support around him. That is probably Mac's 4th floor ceiling with a great QB coach and a solid team.
But....I'm really excited by Drake Maye, I think we may have hit on our next franchise QB. I was amazed he showed such promise under such trying conditions last year (and, it has be be noted, stayed strong under similarly difficult, if not identical, conditions to what destroyed Mac's confidence and tenure with the Pats).
If you think about it, the Pats have really had pretty good luck with their recent post-Brady QB selections, we have spent two 1st picks (Drake and Mac) with only one in the top 12, and one late second pick (Garoppolo) and walked away with what appears to be a long term solution (Drake), a Derek Carr lite type with a decent career, (Garoppolo, although not so much at NE who had some other guy in place at QB), and a player that looked pretty good as a rookie and now seems like possibly/maybe (?) a decent back-up with better coaching (Mac).
In contrast, think about a team like the Jets and the draft capital they have spent on QBs. In the same period they have spent
4 first round draft picks with three in the top 5, 2 overall (Wilson), 3rd overall (Darnold), 5th overall (Sanchez), 18th (Pennington) plus three second round picks (Geno Smith, Christian Hackenburg, Kellen Clemens). That is a WHALE of an amount of draft capital, and not only do they still not have a solution at QB, one could argue the most successful of that passel of high picks (at least with NY) was Pennington. Smith and Darnold have had somewhat solid careers after leaving NY, but that is kind of the point in that NY got no return on their draft investment.