Sounding like a broken record here, but here are W/L records and per game stats versus Top 25 teams over their last 2 years. Milton was more accurate against much better ranked teams (which included Georgia), and that was with mind numbing drops like the below. TBF my dream would be for Maye to be the successful long time starter and Milton to be the long time backup... after Zap wins the SB in '25. I like all of them and hope they all succeed.
Drake Maye (avg team rank 18)
1-3 56% 250yds 2.3TD 1INT
Joe Milton (avg team rank 8)
1-3 66.7% 234yds 1.5TD 0.25INT
IN 2021 there was a scientific paper done to analyze things that determine whether a college QB will be successful in the NFL. What they found:
"..among quarterbacks selected for the NFL,
college passing ability was not significantly correlated with NFL performance."
That sample size is so ridiculously small, Maye played 2 of those games basically on 1 leg.
What that same study found was QBR and rushing ability were 2 things that translated. Maye blows Milton away QBR and Maye seems to have a small edge in rushing ability, but Milton only played one year and ran pretty well.
A UNC team
without Maye was completely inept in the bowl game. Against the very middling,
65th ranked West Virginia defense they scraped
10 points together.
Without Milton, and facing the 7th ranked Iowa defense Tennessee put up 35 points.
This same study analyze performance against better defenses vs worse defenses.
The adjusted QBR adjusts the rating for the strength of the defense played.
Miltons QBR for the ENTIRE year was 70, Maye had QBR above 70 in 3 of the 4 games against ranked opponents and was 68 in the other
Maye was under pressure on 29% of drop-backs vs 24% for Maye which is the #1 thing that effects QB performance. Yet Maye still blew Milton away.
Percent of starts with Adjusted QBR:
QBR over 70: Maye 77%, MIlton 64%
QBR over 80: Maye 58%, Milton 35%
QBR over 90: Maye 23%, Milton 14%