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Pats Rebuild Intermittent View of Progress

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It is what it is, you are not objective, you have an agenda. It’s clear as day and you just admitted it.
Objective? We're mostly dealing with interpretation and opinion here. You think you're just reciting facts all day long? The majority of interactions on this forum are heavily influenced by personal opinions. This isn't Britannica.com
 
If you go by yards allowed (which is how most people rank defenses), lots of times: 2001, 2002, 2005, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017, and 2018.
They only go by what makes their argument better.
 
If you go by yards allowed (which is how most people rank defenses), lots of times: 2001, 2002, 2005, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017, and 2018.
I don't go by yards, when have yards ever won you games. Maybe I'm wrong, but I would think points is a much better indicator.
 
Yes points are ultimately what matters. But whenever you read an article talking about "The Pats have the X ranked offense" or whatever, the rankings used are virtually always yards allowed. That's just how it is, for better or worse.
 
I don't go by yards, when have yards ever won you games. Maybe I'm wrong, but I would think points is a much better indicator.
Points allowed
3rd down D
Red zone D
Turnovers forced

All the good/great defenses rank highly in all 4 of those categories.
 
Points allowed
3rd down D
Red zone D
Turnovers forced

All the good/great defenses rank highly in all 4 of those categories.
+ Negative plays/sacks

The 2011 Steelers were the #1 defense in points and yards but they also ranked in the bottom half of the league in sacks and third down defense and close to dead last in the league in turnovers forced.

So they weren't as good as their points ranking might indicate and then they allowed 29 points to Tebow's Broncos and lost a playoff game to them...
 
3 years into the rebuild we have 0 playoff wins and the second oldest roster in the NFL, a roster worse than last years.

Choosing Belichick over Brady was a ****ing horrible decision by Kraft.
 
3 years into the rebuild we have 0 playoff wins and the second oldest roster in the NFL, a roster worse than last years.

Choosing Belichick over Brady was a ****ing horrible decision by Kraft.
We completed year 1 of the rebuild. It started when Mac Jones name was called. I don't consider 2020 a rebuild year. Remains to be seen how good the roster is compared to last year. The only massive downgrade that we know of is the coaching staff but hopefully they surprise us in a good way.

I don't like that we moved on from Brady as much as anyone but it happened and it's done and can't be undone. Onward.
 
+ Negative plays/sacks

The 2011 Steelers were the #1 defense in points and yards but they also ranked in the bottom half of the league in sacks and third down defense and close to dead last in the league in turnovers forced.

So they weren't as good as their points ranking might indicate and then they allowed 29 points to Tebow's Broncos and lost a playoff game to them...
Sacks are overrated.

Negative plays, TFL I agree
 
Sacks are overrated.
I'd say yes and no. Yes when you're looking at individual players but during a game I think good defenses can get pressures which lead to sacks. Also QB hurries. Things that break a play. Sacks are a costly negative play and bad things can also happen on sacks like fumbles...
 
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I'd say yes and no. Yes when you're looking at individual players but during a game I think good defenses can get pressures - and sacks come from that. Also QB hurries. Things that break a play. Sacks are a costly negative play and bad things can also happen on sacks like fumbles...
Pressures can be caused by great coverage/indecisive QB/bad line play.

I don't disagree with you. Just saying sacks are not a metic I consider a key metric when determining a defense is good/great.
 
Points allowed
3rd down D
Red zone D
Turnovers forced

All the good/great defenses rank highly in all 4 of those categories.
Points allowed can be determined by how your offense plays too. Example. Tampa was 27th in 2019 with a bad Qb turning the ball over, in 2020 they went to 7th, they had the same guys. If your offense is stalling out or turning the ball over, you are going to give up points, I dont care what players you have.
 
Points allowed can be determined by how your offense plays too. Example. Tampa was 27th in 2019 with a bad Qb turning the ball over, in 2020 they went to 7th, they had the same guys. If your offense is stalling out or turning the ball over, you are going to give up points, I dont care what players you have.
Yep that can be a big part of it.

The #1 difference between 2019 TB and 2020 TB was + - turnovers.

In 2019 they finished 28th w/ 53 offensive turnovers
In 2020 they finished 1st with only 24
 
Yep that can be a big part of it.

The #1 difference between 2019 TB and 2020 TB was + - turnovers.

In 2019 they finished 28th w/ 53 offensive turnovers
In 2020 they finished 1st with only 24
Exactly. It does not matter what your defense is, if they are on the field most of the game, they are going to give up points. POints against is very subjective on more than just the defense. If you turn the ball over and the other team scores from the 5 yard line in 3 tries, whos fault is it. People tend to use what makes their argument work as to what really consititues being good or bad. The pats offense for 19 years was the most consistent offense in football, they are not going to give up a ton of points off mistakes.
 
Exactly. It does not matter what your defense is, if they are on the field most of the game, they are going to give up points. POints against is very subjective on more than just the defense. If you turn the ball over and the other team scores from the 5 yard line in 3 tries, whos fault is it. People tend to use what makes their argument work as to what really consititues being good or bad. The pats offense for 19 years was the most consistent offense in football, they are not going to give up a ton of points off mistakes.
Yes and no. It's a combination of things sometimes. Look at the 2010-2012 Patriots. They were top 10 in points allowed even with an explosive offense when we all know they gave up yards in chunks. Part of that was by design but the other part was talent/gamechangers. We can all agree that was not a stout defense. They did some things well but they played conservative because they a) had no choice and b) had an offense that forced teams to gamble and try to keep up.

Main reason they did OK was forcing TOs.
 
I don't go by yards, when have yards ever won you games. Maybe I'm wrong, but I would think points is a much better indicator.
DVOA is usually the best indicator. The problem with points is that the defense can be mediocre but the offense and special teams set it up for success. Example, if you have a team that usually gets out to an early big lead and they have a good kickoff team, all of a sudden the opposing offense is incentivized to make higher risk throws on a longer field which helps out the defense. That's why most people go by yards. But yards has the problem of a bend but don't break defense getting discredited.

DVOA usually just isolates what the defense actually does.
 
If you go by yards allowed (which is how most people rank defenses), lots of times: 2001, 2002, 2005, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017, and 2018.
Baloney.
Pts allowed is a way more accurate gauge of a D than yds allowed.Teams that are often blowing other teams out will give up a lot of garbage time yds.
Only a neophyte ranks by yds allowed.
But the best ranking is a combo of several things like pts,turnovers,red zone d,3rd down d and rushing d combined.
Tedy Bruschi has a formula similar to this
 
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