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My belief is the spread will die down in a few weeks which is greatly accelerated compared to China because of our government (as bungling as they are), tech and medical superiority.Actually, I believe the worst (psychologically speaking) is yet to come because the number of tests available is woefully low at this point (The CDC has cited that as an "epic fail"). As more and more tests become available to the public, and more and more people take it and test positive, this will give the false impression that the pandemic is "exploding." This will probably create more unnecessary panic.
If you look at China, they're already past their peak. From mid-December when the virus was first reported, to now- that's just a little over three months.
However, their shutdown was far more draconian than what would ever be allowed in a democracy. With that in mind, I would give us probably a few more months than that timeline, depending on what level of intervention we engage in, in terms of "flattening the curve."
It may come back in the fall but imo at a smaller scale.
The economic impact is unfathomable. I think this might send us into a recession.