Burrow and Tua will go top 5. Obviously, would love to have one of them.
My sleeper is Jordan Love. To me, his ceiling is either a very good game manager that can throw it as well as Kirk Cousins but has much better mobility, or his arm talent brings him closer to the next Pat Mahomes. Either way, I think he has loads of potential and represents the best QB who won't go in the top 5 of the draft.
It's very important to me that a QB is able to 'run an offense' and his skills serve him in doing so. That means a QB that won't be a hazard with slow feet and a slow release in the pocket (Eason and Herbert concern me here), an arm that can chuck it 50 yards without significant crow hopping (looking at you, Fromm), and accuracy that doesn't require wide open receivers at all times (Herbert, Hurts). These standards sound low, but I'm talking about these things at an NFL level.
If you have a decent enough QB, you can expand your playbook and have him function as part of your machine. I'll take this approach over trying to find the next star gunslinger. Most gunslingers don't become superstars, and the ones that don't hold back an offense more than they help it. And in fact, the elite of the elite sometimes start as game managers anyways, not gunslingers (looking at you, Brady).
This philosophy flies in the face of the concept that the NFL is a 'QB-driven' league. These people would accept slow feet and releases because they want to pass all game. Running the ball, using play action, and avoiding pass rush (if you take the Air Raid approach) seem less important in this context. They would accept a weaker arm sometimes because they focus so much on complex short and intermediate passing (with tons of containment plays), and they sometimes care less about stretching the field (and again, they care less about play action). They would accept lesser accuracy because they think it's a trainable thing, and they're looking for 'high potential guys'. And if you're throwing 30-40 times a game, what're a few misthrows? A misthrow is much more important when you throw it just 15-20 times a game.
I'm not expecting Lamar Jackson speed, Ryan Mallett arm, and Drew Brees accuracy. I'm just saying that people tend to overlook weaknesses whenever there is a superlative QB attribute because they want to exploit it with high passing volume. I'm saying high passing volume is not the goal, so this exploit is not a good strategy. Let's seek competence across the board first, then look for superlatives.
My goal would be to build a machine that works with anyone at QB and to find QBs which allow this machine to continue to operate, first and foremost.
