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We're on to Miami


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Every game is different. Every year is different. According to BB, anyway.

As it happens, the Bills defense this season has been Top-3 in nearly all statistical categories, and they played the Pats offense tough in their earlier meeting. The Bills offense is also extremely unpredictable with rookie Allen at QB.

Meanwhile, the 'Fins offense and defense are both in the bottom 1/3rd of the league, or worse, in pretty much every category. The 'Fins may be missing their best DB, while the Pats are going into the game are very healthy, for a change.

So, having more concern about the Bills than about the 'Fins doesn't seem "bizarre" to me.

Let's just try to be objective here:

The Patriots are favored by about 7 points against the Dolphins.

The Patriots will be favored, if they are actually playing for something, by about 17 points at home against the Bills (they were favored by 13 in Buffalo with Anderson).

That's about a 10-point difference, an enormous gap by any statistical standards. By implied probability, they have a 75% chance to beat the Dolphins and over a 99% chance to beat the Bills.

I think there is REALLY a big burden for someone who says the Bills game is more concerning than the Dolphins game, as more concerning implies it is more likely we'll lose.
 
The Patriots will wipe out the Bills at home. They always do. Playing in Miami, even against very mediocre teams and bad QBs has been a longstanding pattern.

The Bills at home should be an easy W.

Every game is different. Every year is different. According to BB, anyway.
 
Let's just try to be objective here:

The Patriots are favored by about 7 points against the Dolphins.

The Patriots will be favored, if they are actually playing for something, by about 17 points at home against the Bills (they were favored by 13 in Buffalo with Anderson).

That's about a 10-point difference, an enormous gap by any statistical standards. By implied probability, they have a 75% chance to beat the Dolphins and over a 99% chance to beat the Bills.

I think there is REALLY a big burden for someone who says the Bills game is more concerning than the Dolphins game, as more concerning implies it is more likely we'll lose.

Vegas odds and point spreads are "objective"? LOL!

If it wasn't for DMac's pick-six, the Pat would've won the first meeting by only 12, and lost to the spread.
 
I've never felt better about a game in Miami. Health of the team is looking good and the team is getting close to firing on all cylinders. This game smells like a blowout or one of those games the Pats control the entire time. Not worried.
 
If the Pats can lose to the Jags they can lose to anybody. Hopefully they won't come out with the idiotic game plan in Miami that cost them the top seed in 2015
 
If the Pats can lose to the Jags they can lose to anybody. Hopefully they won't come out with the idiotic game plan in Miami that cost them the top seed in 2015

jaguars getting up for their revenge/september SB ruined their season, meanwhile that was the Sept Pats. Pats right now would beat them by 17+

Why would they come in with that gameplan it's a complete different circumstance. They have 3 more games after this, that was the last game of the season and they were trying to manage a ton of injuries

IIRC Edelman, Hightower, Chandler Jones, and Vollmer were inactive because of injuries and McCourty, Chung, Ninkovich and Amendola played injured.
 
jaguars getting up for their revenge/september SB ruined their season, meanwhile that was the Sept Pats. Pats right now would beat them by 17+

Why would they come in with that gameplan it's a complete different circumstance. They have 3 more games after this, that was the last game of the season and they were trying to manage a ton of injuries

IIRC Edelman, Hightower, Chandler Jones, and Vollmer were inactive because of injuries and McCourty, Chung, Ninkovich and Amendola played injured.

The “Sept Pats” seemed pretty similar to the “Nov Pats” who got crushed by a very mediocre Titans team

This team has been awful on the road 3 out of 5 games this year.
 
The “Sept Pats” seemed pretty similar to the “Nov Pats” who got crushed by a very mediocre Titans team

This team has been awful on the road 3 out of 5 games this year.

Yes they have. And even in those games that they have won, the offense has not played great at times. But I do think they are getting better. The Jets game was the first game on the road where they failed to score the first TD but still won.

If I am not mistaken, the Jets game was also the first road game with Jules and Gronk both active.
 
Keep an eye out for CB Bobby McCain as well. He always seems to do pretty well against us.
 
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