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2018 mocks


Yeah seems highly unlikely that he’d fall that far, but I did like the insight on the OT. He seemed to have several reaches causing guys like Evans to fall out of the first.

While I have no idea if he got the players right, he definitely got the concept right. Every single year players go higher / lower than people anticipate. I fully expect a few surprises on Thursday, which is part of what makes this whole thing so fun. :)
 
I hadn't heard of this site. But, Miguel tweeted his link. It's a consensus
of 35 big boards. Here's my mock based on that.

DRAFT GUIDE: Arif Hasan's Consensus Board | Zone Coverage


1A R. Evans - LB - Bama
1B M. Hughes - CB - UCF
2A J. Reid - S- Stanford
2B B. O'Neill - T - Pitt
3 Chad Thomas DE - Miami Fla

No idea on Rounds 6&7

He compiles that board every year I believe. I linked to it earlier in my big board thread, but the information is probably more useful here, for reference while putting together mocks.
 
The Cowboys podcast I listen to do a mock draft just before the draft. Through the first 43 picks they had the Pats taking:

23: Kolton Miller
31: Lorenzo Carter
43: Justin Reid

These picks just make so much sense which is why we keep mocking it and why everyone keeps mocking it (ok, you could swap Rashaan Evans for Lorenzo). Aside from CB, a difference over the linebacker or the QB issue, I don’t think I remember such a consensus over what our picks likely will be. I realise that B.B. could go any different way but just maybe, these type of picks are just so obvious because they are so likely. If you include Evans, I’d be amazed if one of these four isn’t our pick early Friday night.
 
today's mock....players were slipping left and right, so after the first round, I loaded up for more arrows...I think it's a great group to go with what's already here

Round 1 Pick 23: Jackson, Lamar, QB, Louisville (A)
Round 1 Pick 31: Hubbard, Sam, DE/OLB, Ohio State (B+)
Round 2 Pick 18 (DAL): Crosby, Tyrell, OT, Oregon (A)
Round 3 Pick 1 (BUF): Jewell, Josey, ILB, Iowa (A-)
Round 3 Pick 17 (DAL): Jackson, Donte, CB, LSU (A)
Round 3 Pick 31: Kelly, John, RB, Tennessee (A+)
Round 4 Pick 5 (CHI): Hall, PJ, DT/DE, Sam Houston State (A)
Round 4 Pick 25 (TENN): Schultz, Dalton, TE, Stanford (A+)
Round 5 Pick 8 (CHI): Avery, Genard, ILB, Memphis (A)
Round 6 Pick 7 (CHI): Conklin, Tyler, TE, Central Michigan (A+)
Round 6 Pick 24: Wilson, Cedrick, WR, Boise State (A+)
Round 6 Pick 31: ****son, Michael, P, Texas (A+)
Round 6 Pick 36: Harrison, Desmond, OT, West Georgia (A+)
 
Trade #31 and #43 to the Packers for #14
Trade #23 to the Chiefs for #54, #78, #86, and #124
Trade #86 to the Saints for #91 and #164

#14 Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
#54 Brian O'Neill, OL, Pittsburg
#63 Josh Sweat, EDGE, Florida State
#78 Ronald Jones II, RB, USC
#91 Dane Cruikshank, SAF, Arizona
#95 Genard Avery, LB, Memphis
#124 JC Jackson, CB, Maryland
#164 Christopher Herndon, TE, Miami
#198 Braxton Berrios, WR, Miami
#219 Bilal Nichols, DL, Delaware

Wow! Fantastic trades and nice picks.

I love the Rosen pick.
 
I've been reviewing numerous mock drafts in recent days. It's not that I've wanted to. I don't. I really don't. It's just that they've become as ubiquitous as ***holes - everybody has one and I can't seem to avoid them.

I saw one in a classified ad group on Facebook. The 80-year-old widow next door has hers posted on her front lawn (changes almost daily). The cop who stopped me for a busted tail light the other night "accidentally" let his slip out of his citation booklet (I told him it was the best I'd ever seen and got off with a warning). I found another one dated April 16th, 2018 in the package of Chips Ahoy! that I just opened (at least I knew that the package was fresh!).

Anyway, the point is that, if this draft goes the way most of them go, all of these mocks (including Kiper's, Mayock's, etc.) should begin to get some holes in them around pick 11 or 12 - perhaps even in the top-5 this year, what with all the "which QB to whom?" melodrama. Around pick #11/#12, some prospect will get selected who was widely projected to be picked 5-10 slots later. Then another one by around Pick #14. Then some team will trade up to #20 to take a guy who was almost universally projected to be picked in the early 2nd round.

By the time pick #23 rolls around, most of the mocks will be in full-on disintegration mode. Numerous prospects who were projected as "late-1st/early-2nd" will be free-falling into late-2nd or the 3rd or even later, dragging some "Top-15 lock" prospect with them. Prospects who were casually discarded as being late-3rd/4th/5th or after will be getting selected in the late-1st/mid-2nd (NOT including Belichick's semi-annual DB plucked from obscurity).

Kiper, of course, will be setting yet another world speed record in the 100-yard Rationalization without breaking a sweat or mussing his hair. BB's DB pick will just get a shrug. At some point, Eisen and Mayock will get the giggles and begin reminiscing about the good old days (including clips of Mayock's two interceptions) while missing several consecutive picks crossing the stage. McShay's camera and mic will develop "technical problems, and Jeremiah will begin mumbling and then start reciting his segments with an "I can't stand it! I don't care anymore!" attitude.

Rank-and-file fans will have a choice of laughing it off ("Pshaw! I only did those 7-round mocks, hourly, for three months, just for the fun of it!"), or slinking away in shame - or pretending that they missed the whole thing ("Wait! The draft was THIS weekend?! Crap! I thought I still had time to do my final, final version - which was going to be radically different from all my previous versions!").

So, best of luck to all you "mockers" out there! Don't be too disheartened if you get only four correct in the first round - and then nothing until the Giants trade the #220 and #241 to the Raiders for #212 in order to take RJ Bergsdorf-Other, the QB out of Northwest Alaska State Technical institute. At least you'll have nailed that one when no one else saw it coming!

BTW - have you seen my latest weekly mock? All seven rounds for every team, including UDFAs, plus 43 different trades, including some for NFL players! (Two words: Fish Smithson).
 
I've been reviewing numerous mock drafts in recent days. It's not that I've wanted to. I don't. I really don't. It's just that they've become as ubiquitous as ***holes - everybody has one and I can't seem to avoid them.

I saw one in a classified ad group on Facebook. The 80-year-old widow next door has hers posted on her front lawn (changes almost daily). The cop who stopped me for a busted tail light the other night "accidentally" let his slip out of his citation booklet (I told him it was the best I'd ever seen and got off with a warning). I found another one dated April 16th, 2018 in the package of Chips Ahoy! that I just opened (at least I knew that the package was fresh!).

Anyway, the point is that, if this draft goes the way most of them go, all of these mocks (including Kiper's, Mayock's, etc.) should begin to get some holes in them around pick 11 or 12 - perhaps even in the top-5 this year, what with all the "which QB to whom?" melodrama. Around pick #11/#12, some prospect will get selected who was widely projected to be picked 5-10 slots later. Then another one by around Pick #14. Then some team will trade up to #20 to take a guy who was almost universally projected to be picked in the early 2nd round.

By the time pick #23 rolls around, most of the mocks will be in full-on disintegration mode. Numerous prospects who were projected as "late-1st/early-2nd" will be free-falling into late-2nd or the 3rd or even later, dragging some "Top-15 lock" prospect with them. Prospects who were casually discarded as being late-3rd/4th/5th or after will be getting selected in the late-1st/mid-2nd (NOT including Belichick's semi-annual DB plucked from obscurity).

Kiper, of course, will be setting yet another world speed record in the 100-yard Rationalization without breaking a sweat or mussing his hair. BB's DB pick will just get a shrug. At some point, Eisen and Mayock will get the giggles and begin reminiscing about the good old days (including clips of Mayock's two interceptions) while missing several consecutive picks crossing the stage. McShay's camera and mic will develop "technical problems, and Jeremiah will begin mumbling and then start reciting his segments with an "I can't stand it! I don't care anymore!" attitude.

Rank-and-file fans will have a choice of laughing it off ("Pshaw! I only did those 7-round mocks, hourly, for three months, just for the fun of it!"), or slinking away in shame - or pretending that they missed the whole thing ("Wait! The draft was THIS weekend?! Crap! I thought I still had time to do my final, final version - which was going to be radically different from all my previous versions!").

So, best of luck to all you "mockers" out there! Don't be too disheartened if you get only four correct in the first round - and then nothing until the Giants trade the #220 and #241 to the Raiders for #212 in order to take RJ Bergsdorf-Other, the QB out of Northwest Alaska State Technical institute. At least you'll have nailed that one when no one else saw it coming!

BTW - have you seen my latest weekly mock? All seven rounds for every team, including UDFAs, plus 43 different trades, including some for NFL players! (Two words: Fish Smithson).

Son, you have a problem. Sunday can’t come around quick enough for you can it :) ?
 
My latest stab at fans peak...
23: R1P23

G WILL HERNANDEZ
UTEP
31: R1P31

LB LEIGHTON VANDER ESCH
BOISE STATE
43: R2P11

S JUSTIN REID
STANFORD
63: R2P31

TE DALLAS GOEDERT
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
95: R3P31

EDGE HERCULES MATA'AFA
WASHINGTON STATE
198: R6P24

DL LOWELL LOTULELEI
UTAH
210: R6P36

QB LOGAN WOODSIDE
TOLEDO
219: R7P1

WR RAY-RAY MCCLOUD
CLEMSON

I passed on Ridley at 43 knowing I might have a chance at Goedert or Hurst at 63.

My boys Hercules and Lotulelei were rated much higher this time so I felt I had to grab them where I did.
 
Matt Miller has his big board out. Top 4 lb's all in Top 20...ugh for us.

2018 NFL Draft Big Board: Matt Miller's Top Overall Players

Maybe something like;
1A. J. Alexander - CB - Louisville BPA
1B D. Payne - DL - Bama - No way does he fall this far IMO.
2A H. Hurst - TE - South Carolina - Cut Allen as Deion Branch is announcing the pick.
2B K. Turay - Edge - Rutgers - BB can't help himself.
3, Skai Moore - LB - South Carolina

Don't get a tackle. But, maybe can trade for one. Or, pick-up Jason Peters
if he gets cut.
 
Matt Miller has his big board out. Top 4 lb's all in Top 20...ugh for us.

2018 NFL Draft Big Board: Matt Miller's Top Overall Players

Maybe something like;
1A. J. Alexander - CB - Louisville BPA
1B D. Payne - DL - Bama - No way does he fall this far IMO.
2A H. Hurst - TE - South Carolina - Cut Allen as Deion Branch is announcing the pick.
2B K. Turay - Edge - Rutgers - BB can't help himself.
3, Skai Moore - LB - South Carolina

Don't get a tackle. But, maybe can trade for one. Or, pick-up Jason Peters
if he gets cut.
Would hate this mock.
 
Did you watch Payne destroy Georgia in NCAACG? You don't think we need a corner?
I think the draft is deep at corner you can get a guy in the third or 4th with upside.
Holton Hill,McFadden the kid from BC the kid from Colorado
JC Jackson in the 6th if you need a 3rd or 4th corner with upside this draft has that in spades.
 
I’m not a huge fan of Hurst and Turay (they’re ok and wouldn’t hate those picks) but I’d be leaping for joy over Alexander and Payne.

Turay just needs to stay healthy. He's great in space, and he's shown up on special teams. I could see him easily sliding into the OLB rotation. I don't like him as a pure EDGE guy, mostly because he lacks a bit of sand in his pants, but as a 3rd down rusher and coverage guy, he could find a lot of snaps in this defense. He's fluid, athletic, and shows considerable more burst and explosion on field than his testing numbers indicate (and they weren't bad at all).

Hurst scares me a bit. Some snaps he looks fantastic, but he just disappears for long stretches when I watch him. Add in the medical, and I'd rather let someone else take the gamble.
 


TRANSCRIPT: Eliot Wolf’s Pre-Draft Press Conference 4/18/24
Thursday Patriots Notebook 4/18: News and Notes
Wednesday Patriots Notebook 4/17: News and Notes
Tuesday Patriots Notebook 4/16: News and Notes
Monday Patriots Notebook 4/15: News and Notes
Patriots News 4-14, Mock Draft 3.0, Gilmore, Law Rally For Bill 
Potential Patriot: Boston Globe’s Price Talks to Georgia WR McConkey
Friday Patriots Notebook 4/12: News and Notes
Not a First Round Pick? Hoge Doubles Down on Maye
Thursday Patriots Notebook 4/11: News and Notes
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