PP2
Hall of Fame Poster
- Joined
- Jul 28, 2012
- Messages
- 24,987
- Reaction score
- 26,334
Registered Members experience this forum ad and noise-free.
CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.During the regular season, the Falcons led the NFL in points per game with 33.8 and were second in total offense averaging 415.8 yards per game. Led by Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, it is an impressive offensive attack, but it may be a team that feasts on weak competition and isn't nearly as good when it faces better teams.
The Falcons had eight games (including the playoffs) where they faced defenses better than 20th in points allowed per game, and in those games the Falcons scored 28.9 points per game. In the 10 games against defenses 20th or worse in the league, the Falcons scored 38.9 points per game. That is exactly a 10-point difference between good and bad competition, which is pretty telling.
On defense, the Falcons were one of the worst units in the league, allowing an average of 25.4 points a game in the regular season, good for 27th in the NFL. When discussing the Falcons on defense, it's worth bringing up how bad they are when it comes to stopping the run. Atlanta allowed 104.5 yards per game on the ground in the regular season, 17th in the league, but has allowed over 100 yards in six of its last seven games and the one game it didn't was Sunday against the Packers when it allowed 99 yards.
The overall numbers could have been even worse if not for having games against poor offenses. In six games against top 10 offenses, the Falcons allowed 32.9 points a game, which is compared to 20.8 points a game in 12 games against offenses not in the top 10. A 12-point difference. Not good.
It appears the Falcons thrive on bad competition and are a different team when facing the better teams in the league. The Patriots on the other hand are the same team no matter who they are going up against.
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.
What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.
....unless the offense goes into no-huddle. Where have we seen that lately?LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.
What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.
Pattern matching cover 3 looks very good as a concept but just like there is no perfect offensive play there is no perfect defensive play.
It is clear there are some points where the cover 3 breaks down.
In the superbowl the Pats got 28 points off the Seahawks. In the regular season they got 24 (but could have got 27 if not forced to go for it on 4th down late).
So back to back times they scored or could have scored 28/27 on a team with a ton of talent that executes this scheme the best. That means to me that is the best possible outcome for Atlanta. The difference is they don't have the talent of the Seahawks particularly at DB and LB.
To me the cover 3 breaks down at a few spots particularly. There can be a soft spot about 15-20 yards in the middle if you can hit it. There is a soft spot about 10 yards down the field on either side line especially when you stop and come back just a few yards on a timed throw. There is a soft spot when you go into the slot then go inside and cut back outside after you have been committed to a bit. There is a soft spot at the 5 yard out from the inside and cutting outside.
Generally the concept is this. Once the defender commits to man you tend to have too many people who can be mismatched against a player that can break quickly. The cover 3 too often ask LBs and Safeties to cover players they shouldn't cause they are in your zone and you can't take them off the field for pure DBs cause then you get run on.
The thing this D does very well is take away vertical deep routes particularly from WRs. Against cover 3 play action is not nearly as effective as by the time anyone might bite on it people are already committed to man on the vertical. So Hogan running free over the top cause a safety bit is unlikely.
This D is hard to beat stretching vertically but can be had stretching horizontally pretty consistently.
Nor do they have a Michael Bennett or Cliff Avril to wreak havoc on the D-line. That's really the key!Pattern matching cover 3 looks very good as a concept but just like there is no perfect offensive play there is no perfect defensive play.
It is clear there are some points where the cover 3 breaks down.
In the superbowl the Pats got 28 points off the Seahawks. In the regular season they got 24 (but could have got 27 if not forced to go for it on 4th down late).
So back to back times they scored or could have scored 28/27 on a team with a ton of talent that executes this scheme the best. That means to me that is the best possible outcome for Atlanta. The difference is they don't have the talent of the Seahawks particularly at DB and LB.
To me the cover 3 breaks down at a few spots particularly. There can be a soft spot about 15-20 yards in the middle if you can hit it. There is a soft spot about 10 yards down the field on either side line especially when you stop and come back just a few yards on a timed throw. There is a soft spot when you go into the slot then go inside and cut back outside after you have been committed to a bit. There is a soft spot at the 5 yard out from the inside and cutting outside.
Generally the concept is this. Once the defender commits to man you tend to have too many people who can be mismatched against a player that can break quickly. The cover 3 too often ask LBs and Safeties to cover players they shouldn't cause they are in your zone and you can't take them off the field for pure DBs cause then you get run on.
The thing this D does very well is take away vertical deep routes particularly from WRs. Against cover 3 play action is not nearly as effective as by the time anyone might bite on it people are already committed to man on the vertical. So Hogan running free over the top cause a safety bit is unlikely.
This D is hard to beat stretching vertically but can be had stretching horizontally pretty consistently.
Nor do they have a Michael Bennett or Cliff Avril to wreak havoc on the D-line. That's really the key!
They are easily stressed by four verts plays, but we almost never run that. Could be a nice surprise if we go that route.
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.
What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.
In theory, Cover-3 might seem like a much easier defense to play than man coverage, because you’re watching the quarterback most of the time, but there is more to it than that. Corners need to be able to understand route combinations, alignment, and tendencies, and have to learn when zones change from how they’re drawn up on the chalkboard. Those complex assignments can also be Atlanta's undoing if an offense is good enough to identify them, as well as the bind they can place defenders in. And that’s usually when Brady goes to work at the line of scrimmage, sniffing out the coverage before the snap and audibling to a play that will work. Against zone, expect a lot of throws over the middle, as we saw against Pittsburgh. Against man, we’ll see crossers, slants, and pick plays.
The Falcons play man to man coverage.
| 0 | 210 |
| 29 | 2K |
| 32 | 2K |
| 6 | 2K |
| 7 | 324 |
From our archive - this week all-time:
April 2 - April 17 (Through 26yrs)











