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Good read on Atlanta's cover 3 pattern-matching defense

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Thanks for the links, particularly the second one. I hope the Falcons trot out those coverages. Brady would torch them if given time.
 
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.

What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.
 
Here is also a good write up by Ryan Hannable:

Falcons could be like Steelers where Patriots expose weaknesses in big way

During the regular season, the Falcons led the NFL in points per game with 33.8 and were second in total offense averaging 415.8 yards per game. Led by Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, it is an impressive offensive attack, but it may be a team that feasts on weak competition and isn't nearly as good when it faces better teams.

The Falcons had eight games (including the playoffs) where they faced defenses better than 20th in points allowed per game, and in those games the Falcons scored 28.9 points per game. In the 10 games against defenses 20th or worse in the league, the Falcons scored 38.9 points per game. That is exactly a 10-point difference between good and bad competition, which is pretty telling.

On defense, the Falcons were one of the worst units in the league, allowing an average of 25.4 points a game in the regular season, good for 27th in the NFL. When discussing the Falcons on defense, it's worth bringing up how bad they are when it comes to stopping the run. Atlanta allowed 104.5 yards per game on the ground in the regular season, 17th in the league, but has allowed over 100 yards in six of its last seven games and the one game it didn't was Sunday against the Packers when it allowed 99 yards.

The overall numbers could have been even worse if not for having games against poor offenses. In six games against top 10 offenses, the Falcons allowed 32.9 points a game, which is compared to 20.8 points a game in 12 games against offenses not in the top 10. A 12-point difference. Not good.

It appears the Falcons thrive on bad competition and are a different team when facing the better teams in the league. The Patriots on the other hand are the same team no matter who they are going up against.
 
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.

What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.


they don't have the front 7 nor the secondary to reproduce anything the seahawks were successful at.....but by all means since the pats cut up the real version
 
I haven't finished the links yet...








...on account of I can't find my protractor and slide rule.

 
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.

What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.
....unless the offense goes into no-huddle. Where have we seen that lately?
 
I see the gameplan being a combo of the Seahawks game from two years ago and the tried and true Colts gameplan.

Go with heavy or pony personnel, largely two back dominant with Bennett and two wide receivers, and run lots of routes to the flats and wheel routes with the backs, just like in the superbowl after the widereceivers clear out the cornerbacks.

The Falcons are also likely to be vulnerable to a heavy look, and I think that some extra tackle, bennett, 1 wr, and devlin and blount could have some good success. That look lets the defense know whats coming, but like the colts I'm also not sure that they'll be able to stop it.
 
Pattern matching cover 3 looks very good as a concept but just like there is no perfect offensive play there is no perfect defensive play.

It is clear there are some points where the cover 3 breaks down.

In the superbowl the Pats got 28 points off the Seahawks. In the regular season they got 24 (but could have got 27 if not forced to go for it on 4th down late).

So back to back times they scored or could have scored 28/27 on a team with a ton of talent that executes this scheme the best. That means to me that is the best possible outcome for Atlanta. The difference is they don't have the talent of the Seahawks particularly at DB and LB.

To me the cover 3 breaks down at a few spots particularly. There can be a soft spot about 15-20 yards in the middle if you can hit it. There is a soft spot about 10 yards down the field on either side line especially when you stop and come back just a few yards on a timed throw. There is a soft spot when you go into the slot then go inside and cut back outside after you have been committed to a bit. There is a soft spot at the 5 yard out from the inside and cutting outside.

Generally the concept is this. Once the defender commits to man you tend to have too many people who can be mismatched against a player that can break quickly. The cover 3 too often ask LBs and Safeties to cover players they shouldn't cause they are in your zone and you can't take them off the field for pure DBs cause then you get run on.

The thing this D does very well is take away vertical deep routes particularly from WRs. Against cover 3 play action is not nearly as effective as by the time anyone might bite on it people are already committed to man on the vertical. So Hogan running free over the top cause a safety bit is unlikely.

This D is hard to beat stretching vertically but can be had stretching horizontally pretty consistently.
 
Pattern matching cover 3 looks very good as a concept but just like there is no perfect offensive play there is no perfect defensive play.

It is clear there are some points where the cover 3 breaks down.

In the superbowl the Pats got 28 points off the Seahawks. In the regular season they got 24 (but could have got 27 if not forced to go for it on 4th down late).

So back to back times they scored or could have scored 28/27 on a team with a ton of talent that executes this scheme the best. That means to me that is the best possible outcome for Atlanta. The difference is they don't have the talent of the Seahawks particularly at DB and LB.

To me the cover 3 breaks down at a few spots particularly. There can be a soft spot about 15-20 yards in the middle if you can hit it. There is a soft spot about 10 yards down the field on either side line especially when you stop and come back just a few yards on a timed throw. There is a soft spot when you go into the slot then go inside and cut back outside after you have been committed to a bit. There is a soft spot at the 5 yard out from the inside and cutting outside.

Generally the concept is this. Once the defender commits to man you tend to have too many people who can be mismatched against a player that can break quickly. The cover 3 too often ask LBs and Safeties to cover players they shouldn't cause they are in your zone and you can't take them off the field for pure DBs cause then you get run on.

The thing this D does very well is take away vertical deep routes particularly from WRs. Against cover 3 play action is not nearly as effective as by the time anyone might bite on it people are already committed to man on the vertical. So Hogan running free over the top cause a safety bit is unlikely.

This D is hard to beat stretching vertically but can be had stretching horizontally pretty consistently.

They are easily stressed by four verts plays, but we almost never run that. Could be a nice surprise if we go that route.
 
Pattern matching cover 3 looks very good as a concept but just like there is no perfect offensive play there is no perfect defensive play.

It is clear there are some points where the cover 3 breaks down.

In the superbowl the Pats got 28 points off the Seahawks. In the regular season they got 24 (but could have got 27 if not forced to go for it on 4th down late).

So back to back times they scored or could have scored 28/27 on a team with a ton of talent that executes this scheme the best. That means to me that is the best possible outcome for Atlanta. The difference is they don't have the talent of the Seahawks particularly at DB and LB.

To me the cover 3 breaks down at a few spots particularly. There can be a soft spot about 15-20 yards in the middle if you can hit it. There is a soft spot about 10 yards down the field on either side line especially when you stop and come back just a few yards on a timed throw. There is a soft spot when you go into the slot then go inside and cut back outside after you have been committed to a bit. There is a soft spot at the 5 yard out from the inside and cutting outside.

Generally the concept is this. Once the defender commits to man you tend to have too many people who can be mismatched against a player that can break quickly. The cover 3 too often ask LBs and Safeties to cover players they shouldn't cause they are in your zone and you can't take them off the field for pure DBs cause then you get run on.

The thing this D does very well is take away vertical deep routes particularly from WRs. Against cover 3 play action is not nearly as effective as by the time anyone might bite on it people are already committed to man on the vertical. So Hogan running free over the top cause a safety bit is unlikely.

This D is hard to beat stretching vertically but can be had stretching horizontally pretty consistently.
Nor do they have a Michael Bennett or Cliff Avril to wreak havoc on the D-line. That's really the key!
 
I think Bill needs to give his buddy Sean Payton a call and see what info he has on beating the falcons.
 
Nor do they have a Michael Bennett or Cliff Avril to wreak havoc on the D-line. That's really the key!

No but their pass rush is the closest thing to Seattle and is not bad at all.
 
We don't even need to run all 9's.

I wrote about this in the Atl Def thread. When in zone they have serious spacing, pass off route recognition problems. If an offense comes out in trips the lb or S is responsible for the inside the guy.

They've been caught biting, which lead to moving them back. That only gives up more space underneath.

Even if their in perfect position its a lot to ask a S or backer to stay w/ Nelson. I could see Brady and Hogan killing them.

Look at the 20 second mark. Again I could see Hogan doing that.



They are easily stressed by four verts plays, but we almost never run that. Could be a nice surprise if we go that route.
 
LG & Lewis are going to have a field day in the run game. ATL aligns their DEs out a bit wide, similar to the "Wide-9." Brady & JMD will see & exploit that.

What to expect: Quinn was the Seahawks defensive coordinator for only two years (2013-14), but he is basically trying to reproduce the Seattle defense in Atlanta. The Falcons line up with a basic four-man front, play a lot of press coverage at cornerback, have a deep center fielder at free safety, and they don’t change up much from week to week. They align their defensive ends out wide, and freely substitute on the line to keep players fresh into the fourth quarter.


Vic does all his damage in space. Its almost an exaggerated wide/9 alignment at times. Speed and bend.

Hes not winning w/ power, hands, counters etc. He has a motor but get hands on him and its a different story. Play is dead for him.

Even inline hes looking for space that makes it look like hes stunting.

He's def priority #1 tho. He's capable of putting together a great game.

Our oline should hate him and Grady come next Sunday from all the coach speak.
 
The Falcons play man to man coverage.
 
Thanks for sharing! Here is another article from Bleach Report that discusses Cover 3 Concepts.

One thing to also keep in mind, is the kind of personnel required takes to to implement this kind of scheme. Cover-3 puts three defenders in deep zones over the top of the defense, with the middle of the field “closed” by a free safety—usually Earl Thomas, a player with unique range from that spot. That free safety effectively takes away any post pattern, and the range of Thomas—coupled with the deep zones on the edge—ward off any other deep pattern. When the defenses play man coverage, it forces offenses to challenge some elite coverage defenders, like Richard Sherman, a fast, hard-hitting player who will can punish you if you attack him often enough.

Having a premier free safety and an elite cornerback is the only way that a like Seattle can safely defend deep passing zones with three players and use eight-man fronts (giving them both a one-for-one match of the eight run gaps and four underneath pass defenders to patrol the intermediate passing zones.) However, we’ve also seen the Jaguars implement Seattle’s famous press cover-3 scheme, running a 3-shell more than any other team in the NFL, without being able to replicate Seattle’s success.

Quinn is basically trying to reproduce the Seahwaks defense in Atlanta and when Atlanta hired him from Seattle, Dimitroff knew they needed to add more talent. That's why they picked two linebackers and a safety in the first four rounds of the 2016 draft (Deion Jones, De’Vondre Campbell, and Keanu Neal) and unearthed Brian Poole (a rookie free-agent corner).

Atlanta’s defense has excelled in some areas and really struggled in others. For the most part, the Falcons have relied heavily on their offense to keep them in games all season, and their defense has been more accustomed to protecting leads. But they still have good athletes on defense. The defensive line and linebacker units are getting better and have shown tremendous promise at times throughout the season. Jones and Neal fly fast to the ball and have become two of the best open-field tacklers on the team.

They are playing faster and smarter in all phases, which has stabilized many of the personnel packages Quinn spent the first half of the season tinkering with. They're also starting to shift to more man coverage as the season has progressed (essentially making man-to-man their second foundation).

But most people agree that their defense is young, athletic, and inconsistent. The median age of its 11 most-used defenders is 24, and seven of those guys are in their first or second seasons. This makes them prone to miscues and youthful mistakes at times.

In theory, Cover-3 might seem like a much easier defense to play than man coverage, because you’re watching the quarterback most of the time, but there is more to it than that. Corners need to be able to understand route combinations, alignment, and tendencies, and have to learn when zones change from how they’re drawn up on the chalkboard. Those complex assignments can also be Atlanta's undoing if an offense is good enough to identify them, as well as the bind they can place defenders in. And that’s usually when Brady goes to work at the line of scrimmage, sniffing out the coverage before the snap and audibling to a play that will work. Against zone, expect a lot of throws over the middle, as we saw against Pittsburgh. Against man, we’ll see crossers, slants, and pick plays.

Given what we've seen in the past, you could also argue that the Patriots’ offense is almost uniquely suited to succeed against the Cover-3 defense. Brady faced a similar (more talented) defense in the Super Bowl two years ago, and finished with 328 passing yards, four touchdowns, and completed 73.5 percent of his passes. Brady also faced a similar defense when the Patriots played the Jaguars in Week 3 of 2015, throwing for 358 yards and two touchdowns in a 51-17 win. The Patriots had nine offensive possessions that game, and scored a touchdown or field goal on all nine.
 
In theory, Cover-3 might seem like a much easier defense to play than man coverage, because you’re watching the quarterback most of the time, but there is more to it than that. Corners need to be able to understand route combinations, alignment, and tendencies, and have to learn when zones change from how they’re drawn up on the chalkboard. Those complex assignments can also be Atlanta's undoing if an offense is good enough to identify them, as well as the bind they can place defenders in. And that’s usually when Brady goes to work at the line of scrimmage, sniffing out the coverage before the snap and audibling to a play that will work. Against zone, expect a lot of throws over the middle, as we saw against Pittsburgh. Against man, we’ll see crossers, slants, and pick plays.

I think that what I've outlined is where Atlanta is in trouble because Brady is a master at moving DB's with his eyes. Thomas is canny and talented enough to overcome this but Atlanta isn't. I think they'll bite on this one time too many.
 
The Falcons play man to man coverage.

They play it more than Seattle, yeah, but their "base" defense is zone. They won't stay in that for very long because the Patriots will tear them up in that underneath if given enough time. I think they'll try to go into more of a man under look to duplicate the defenses that have had some level of success choking off the underneath stuff against the Pats in the past and, most recently, the Texans however there are big play opportunities for Hogan and Mitchell if they do that. This game, unlike our last two playoff games, should see the Patriots doing a lot of running using 11, 12, and 21 personnel as I said in the other thread. Atlanta has had trouble containing the run this year and I believe the Pats will essentially borrow past game plans against the Colts for the Falcons.
 
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