Supafly, since you noted this, here's some stats at the end showing the recent trend for teams without rest winning SBs.
NFL Playoffs: "Hot" Myth or the Bye Week Advantage in Conference Championships? | Bleacher Report
My point is simple. Unless anybody's wearing a helmet this Sunday and next nothing you say has any effect on what happens. statistically, less than a handful of games, with a ball that isn't round and bounces funny and the possibility of in game injuries and fluky plays are unpredictable.
If you have a great quarterback, coach and some veterans you have a leg up, but teams without those have won. Football is a lot less predictable than basketball or baseball, IMO, because the possibility of large scores on turnovers and few games compared to 7 game series.
All we can do is win the next game and if not, win the next game. We're as good as the ravens, so a good game plan gives us a great shot IMO.