Let me try a slightly different spin on this (and see if perhaps we can get the thread back on track).
To the best of my knowledge these are all the players that began the 2013 NFL year under contract with the Patriots, that are still on the roster:
QB: Tom Brady, Ryan Mallett
RB: Brandon Bolden, James Develin, Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen
WR: Matthew Slater, Kamar Aiken
TE: Rob Gronkowski, Daniel Fells, Jake Ballard, Michael Hoomanawaui
OL: Logan Mankins, Marcus Cannon, Dan Connolly, Nate Solder, Markus Zusevics, Ryan Wendell
DL: Chandler Jones, Marcus Forston, Justin Francis, Vince Wilfork, Marcus Benard, Jermaine Cunningham, Rob Ninkovich, Jake Bequette
LB: Jerod Mayo, Dont'a Hightower, Jeff Tarpinian, Dane Fletcher, Mike Rivera, Brandon Spikes
CB: Alfonzo Dennard, Ras-I Dowling
S: Nate Ebner, Tavon Wilson, Steve Gregory, Devin McCourty
ST: Stephen Gostkowski, Danny Aiken, Zoltan Mesko
Here is a list of players that became free agents on March 12, then re-signed with the Pats and are still on the roster:
- CB Kyle Arrington
- CB Marquice Cole
- WR Julian Edelman
- LB Niko Koutouvides
- CB Aqib Talib
- OT Sebastian Vollmer
As a point of reference here is a list of players that were on the 2012 roster but are no longer with the club (not re-signed as free agents):
- CB Will Allen
- S Josh Barrett
- WR Deion Branch
- S Patrick Chung
- S Derrick Martin
- G Jamey Richard
- DE Trevor Scott
- WR Donte' Stallworth
- OL Donald Thomas
- WR Wes Welker
- LB Tracy White
- RB Danny Woodhead
And here is a list of players that were on the 2012 roster and were under contract at the start of the 2013 NFL year, that have since been released; this includes practice squad players that were signed to future/reserve contracts as well as various reserve (military, did not report) lists
- WR Brandon Lloyd
- WR Shun White (Military/reserve in 2012)
- DT Myron Pryor
- RB Jeff Demps (traded)
- WR Jeremy Ebert (PS)
- FB Tony Fiammetta (Exempt/Left Squad)
- TE Brad Herman (IR)
- DL Tracy Robertson (PS)
- DB Malcolm Williams
- RG Brian Waters (Did Not Report)
- WR Andre Holmes (PS)
- DL Brandon Deaderick
- DL Kyle Love
- QB Mike Kafka (PS)
- TE Aaron Hernandez
- OL Nick McDonald
Right now the Patriots have 45 players that were on their roster in some form last year. I would divide them into the following groups:
Roster Locks, will not be cut:
- QB Tom Brady
- RB Stevan Ridley
- RB Shane Vereen
- TE Rob Gronkowski
- ST Matthew Slater
- LG Logan Mankins
- LT Nate Solder
- C Ryan Wendell
- RT Sebastian Vollmer
- DE Chandler Jones
- DT Vince Wilfork
- DE Rob Ninkovich
- LB Jerod Mayo
- LB Dont'a Hightower
- S Devin McCourty
- CB Kyle Arrington
- CB Aqib Talib
- K Stephen Gostkowski
- LS Danny Aiken
Likely To Make Roster:
- QB Ryan Mallett
- OL Marcus Cannon
- OL Dan Connolly
- LB Brandon Spikes
- CB Alfonzo Dennard
On The Bubble:
- RB Brandon Bolden
- TE Daniel Fells
- TE Jake Ballard
- TE Michael Hoomanawanui
- OL Markus Zusevics
- WR Julian Edelman
- DT Marcus Forston
- DE Justin Francis
- DE Marcus Benard
- DE Jermaine Cunningham
- DE Jake Bequette
- LB Jeff Tarpinian
- LB Dane Fletcher
- LB Mike Rivera
- LB Niko Koutouvides
- CB Ras-I Dowling
- CB Marquice Cole
- S Nate Ebner
- S Tavon Wilson
- S Steve Gregory
- P Zoltan Mesko
Unlikely To Make Roster
- FB James Develin (on 53-man roster for 4 games in '12; appearing in one)
- WR Kamar Aiken (appeared in only one game in 2012)
If we remove Develin and Aiken from the conversation, which of the 43 other players would we place on a list of five players that are most likely to be cut? I'll go with the following:
- Ras-I Dowling
- Jeff Tarpinian
- Mike Rivera
- Jermaine Cunningham
- Marcus Forston